Hoosier Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Since we can always take the medium range guidance to the bank... Anyway, looks like the next trackable storm for the sub. Besides the snow, the progged strength/position of the surface high could offer up an icy transition zone. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 you beat me by minutes.consider us lucky.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 btw, this period never produces.. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 The players on the field here are mostly the same as for the last system. Big block over hudson bay and some confluent flow out east. If I had to stab, I would say that this is rather unlikely to be a big rainer for the sub, especially east of the Mississippi and that even if it does rain, a front end thump looks likely. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, hlcater said: The players on the field here are mostly the same as for the last system. Big block over hudson bay and some confluent flow out east. If I had to stab, I would say that this is rather unlikely to be a big rainer for the sub, especially east of the Mississippi and that even if it does rain, a front end thump looks likely. Maybe, just MAYBE the confluence will back off just a tad and this system can be what we all thought tonight's was going to be. Hey, at least we've gone from complaining about a zzzzz pattern with no systems to complaining about how the systems always downtrend from the medium range. That's progress...right? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I figure with this system that while it could certainly be something decent, since we're skipping the 20" totals phase of modeling that our expectations will be more easy to meet this time around. That's not to say that I wouldn't want the models to go bonkers, but... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Think I'll just get ahead of the game and reserve a hotel in Des Moines for Saturday night lol. All kidding aside it'll be nice to have something to track again. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Des Moines for the win, one more time? The heavy band quickly weakens as it heads northeast from this and hits the block. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 WPC 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 3" final call with the dampening spinner 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 we meet again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 The 06z GFS says "Mighty juicy!" during the first round. 2nd round: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, Spartman said: The 06z GFS says "Mighty juicy!" during the first round. 2nd round: We’re so lucky to have you here 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 hours ago, RogueWaves said: WPC Loyal to the American brand, they are. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Definitely another system to track but considering Sunday is 5 days away, I'd snooze it til Saturday night. Jokes aside it has that look like it starts as a wave of WAA snow then gets squashed a bit by the block? Those WAA snows often produce good thumps then dryslot or turn to rain. Or am I totally seeing the modeled evolution wrong lol. Maybe the block will help? Stormfanaticind? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Where’s the guy that was posting the southern maps. Those might do better here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Ride the GEM. In all honesty I think this is going to be a slop fest and not amount to much, but would love to be pleasantly surprised. Temperatures aloft look like they will be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 yeah I always imagine these strong waa driven events as full of aggregates and huge clumpers but they always end up as white rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Slop fest on the table again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 like it or not, this is probably the it stretch of winter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Not so sure if it would be a slop fest yet, obviously way too early to tell but it is coming off of several cold days so ground temps should not be in issue id think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Honestly, this one just feels better. I'd be willing to bet that the current area of modeled snow will only shift 100 miles either way and gets a good portion of the sub! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 No to a slop fest here, maybe it ends as slop if we dry slot, though those details still too early, as we saw with how current event totally changed evolution from a few days before it. The non-GFS guidance is cold enough aloft for most of it. It's another beggars can't be choosers event lol. Without the Hudson Bay block, not a chance we'd get snow with that antecedent setup. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 6 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: No to a slop fest here, maybe it ends as slop if we dry slot, though those details still too early, as we saw with how current event totally changed evolution from a few days before it. The non-GFS guidance is cold enough aloft for most of it. It's another beggars can't be choosers event lol. Without the Hudson Bay block, not a chance we'd get snow with that antecedent setup. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk As long as the block doesn't pull a stormfanaticind and repel all the precip, id definitely imagine we are good for all or mostly snow here. What kills me is I can't believe how model consensus is meaning nothing this year. I mean it's not like this event is on one or two models. There's lots of consensus on some sort of storm this weekend. What will happen? Who the hell knows. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 3 hours ago, Cary67 said: Slop fest on the table again We can't even get slop at this point. I can't believe I moved out here for this! lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 ggem really want to give me snow, been forever since i've tracked an event with an actual snowpack 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said: ggem really want to give me snow, been forever since i've tracked an event with an actual snowpack Let it happen my guy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 ggem really want to give me snow, been forever since i've tracked an event with an actual snowpackToss the GFS thermals for sure Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 The GFS has a perfect low track for Iowa, but it's so warm it has rain up here. It looks wrong. All other models are colder with all snow for Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 16 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: ggem really want to give me snow, been forever since i've tracked an event with an actual snowpack Ive seen this one before. Models at 144 hrs give me a foot, get my hopes up, gradually let down to 3-4 inches 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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