Animal Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: NAM has to be wrong this isn’t possible this close to a storm right? Excellent snow map...shifted SW as expected. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, Wentzadelphia said: What’s that short term meso model New England posters use a lot I forget what it’s called. Ugh it’s escaping me. Weatherfella loves it haha, curious what it shows Herpyderp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 We have the euro and almost every other model still not giving up on SE PA while the NAM seems to be lost in space. I dont trust the hrrr and haven't given it an ounce of weight in this type of situation. Yes the NAM shows a way we could fail but with so much other data insisting on a big E and SE PA hit it is just hard to think the NAM is correct. The hits are getting stronger yet the NAM miss is getting wider. Either setting up a massive massive fail by every other model or the NAM is just having a tough time here. Guess we find out in about 15 hrs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcane21 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: NAM has to be wrong this isn’t possible this close to a storm right? Not only is it the OP, but ALL 51 members average a foot of Snow for Philadelphia. Who wants to bet the NAM against that? Obviously the NAM could be right but I would not be willing to bet on it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Animal said: Excellent snow map...shifted SW as expected. @Wentzadelphia...come home!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: @Wentzadelphia...come home!! Could have saved gas! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 So when do we think that Coastal takes over? I thought Monday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: @Wentzadelphia...come home!! I knew this would happen. I’m in dover nj right now. My best shot would be tomorrow during the break but I doubt it. Could you imagine if 00z euro and NAM give northeast Philly more than me out here? I swear im the biggest jinx in the world it makes absolutely no sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, penndotguy said: So when do we think that Coastal takes over? I thought Monday morning It's in the process over the delmarva currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 9 minutes ago, RedSky said: Herpyderp? Not that one, ugh it’s calling me. I think it starts with a R. It has the black background instead of white Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, Wentzadelphia said: Not that one, ugh it’s calling me. I think it starts with a R. It has the black background instead of white Rpm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue sky Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, penndotguy said: So when do we think that Coastal takes over? I thought Monday morning Here comes the Coastal. https://weather.com/maps/currentusweather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, blue sky said: Here comes the Coastal. https://weather.com/maps/currentusweather Can't remember who, but someone said it needs to park and sit for a spell right across from Delaware for Philadelphia to cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: I knew this would happen. I’m in dover nj right now. My best shot would be tomorrow during the break but I doubt it. Could you imagine if 00z euro and NAM give northeast Philly more than me out here? I swear im the biggest jinx in the world it makes absolutely no sense In a "worse case" scenario Dover gets the same as NE PHL. Odds would favor Dover getting more, stay put. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Parachutes now in lower makefield. Nice band coming through at the moment. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Bucks snow hole "Upper Bucks", lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 hours ago, Bluescat1 said: I like my location near TTN. 2 hours ago, Violentweatherfan said: Anyone south of Bucks County can get shafted by Miller B's, sorry MontCo @greenskeeper 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 For those that need a laugh, comedic relief from the MA forum 1 minute ago, KAOS said: Radar looks great... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 If its worth anything, I seem to remember the NAM struggling with the 09-10 winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bpjones595 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Fwiw 00z HRRR looks better through hour 12. Looks like it may actually fill the dry slot back in early Monday am . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcane21 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, bpjones595 said: Fwiw 00z HRRR looks better through hour 12. Looks like it may actually fill the dry slot back in early Monday am . Was just going to post this lol. Indeed the latest run is “leaning” more towards pushing the banding back into pa. We shall see how it trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Still snowing. Moderate at times. It was a beautiful afternoon of steady snow and the Allaire park area was stunning. Roughly 3-4 thus far. Just cleared the driveway in case we mix overnight and avoid crusty muck. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 If you're south of 422 the HRRR screws you. Best snows are in the Poconos and northern NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Is the HRRR better at miller B evolution over every other model than the nam? Asking for a friend? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwxHistorian Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 So it's really 16 to 24" for Lehigh Valley> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Light to moderate snow falling here. Looks like around 1-2" of accumulation so far. Temp 22/DP 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Still lightly snowing here for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeS127 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: If you're south of 422 the HRRR screws you. Best snows are in the Poconos and northern NJ. Is it normal for the SLP to move west and the precip shield to move east? That’s what I’m seeing on the HRRR. Low jumps west and precip retreats. Curious because I’m truly an idiot and want to learn. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Newman said: Still lightly snowing here for some Well that looks disappointing for Berks/Skook and parts west. Not even a foot. How realistic is this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, dssbss said: Well that looks disappointing for Berks/Skook and parts west. Not even a foot. How realistic is this? HRRR sucks and really isn't matching well with current obs, radar, etc. It's just another piece of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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