Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,602
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

Jan. 31-Feb. 2 Miller B storm


LVblizzard
 Share

Recommended Posts

Some monster snow potential in e PA and quite a bit of NJ also if the North American models are correct, in particular the RGEM, very tight frontal boundaries will be shoved up against the cold trapped over e PA, with a coastal making a bit of a retrograde motion later Monday. Euro solution more like 15-25" max. I suppose that makes it the more likely to verify just on probability alone, but if there's more of a curl to the circulation, look out, some place in e PA could top 40" like BGM did in the December storm. 

If I had to guess where the jackpot will be, would say Pottstown to Easton. Would not expect much today, all unfolds with the coastal rapid deepening phase. 

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Amythach said:

People keep saying 6-8 in Philadelphia because there will be a hanger over into warmer air later on tonight and tomorrow morning. I’m disappointed- I want a foot!

I think you should start listening to the forum members in here.. 6-8 is laughable 

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, Amythach said:

People keep saying 6-8 in Philadelphia because there will be a hanger over into warmer air later on tonight and tomorrow morning. I’m disappointed- I want a foot!

We probly will see some sleet mix in during the lull while the energy transfers to the coast but that precip would be light anyway. After that almost every model has us getting crushed by the coastal. 6-8 is a very conservative forecast. My guess is theyre just leaving room for error and will adjust upwards as this goes.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

For reference, Philadelphia has had 10 snowstorms of 12" or more since 2000. Those snowstorms were:

February 15-18, 2003: 20.8"
January 22-24, 2005: 13.2"
February 11-12, 2006: 12.0"'
December 19-20, 2009: 23.2"
February 5-6, 2010: 28.5"
February 9-10, 2010: 15.8"
December 26-27, 2010: 12.4"
January 26-27, 2011: 15.1"
January 21-22, 2014: 13.5"
January 22-23, 2016: 22.4"

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

46 minutes ago, bpjones595 said:


Official measurement was 22.4 inches. I worked out in Chester springs and there was probably close to 30. So hard to measure with the drifting from that storm.


.

In phoenixville we had about 28 inches, maybe a bit more imby on a large hill south of town.  First time seeing lightning/thunder during a snowstorm.  

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

For reference, Philadelphia has had 10 snowstorms of 12" or more since 2000. Those snowstorms were:

February 15-18, 2003: 20.8"
January 22-24, 2005: 13.2"
February 11-12, 2006: 12.0"'
December 19-20, 2009: 23.2"
February 5-6, 2010: 28.5"
February 9-10, 2010: 15.8"
December 26-27, 2010: 12.4"
January 26-27, 2011: 15.1"
January 21-22, 2014: 13.5"
January 22-23, 2016: 22.4"

Thanks for posting here today Don‼️

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

For reference, Philadelphia has had 10 snowstorms of 12" or more since 2000. Those snowstorms were:

February 15-18, 2003: 20.8"
January 22-24, 2005: 13.2"
February 11-12, 2006: 12.0"'
December 19-20, 2009: 23.2"
February 5-6, 2010: 28.5"
February 9-10, 2010: 15.8"
December 26-27, 2010: 12.4"
January 26-27, 2011: 15.1"
January 21-22, 2014: 13.5"
January 22-23, 2016: 22.4"

I'll wager not that many in the 20 years prior - Only 1983, 1987 and 1993? = global  warming

  • Like 1
  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, LVwxHistorian said:

I'll wager not that many in the 20 years prior - Only 1983, 1987 and 1993? = global  warming

The entire 1950-99 period had 10 such storms. Almost certainly, the increased moisture content associated with warming is leading to higher impact storms when there is sufficient cold. There has also been a disproportionate increase in the frequency of such storms in the Islip, Newark and New York City areas since 2000..

  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Albedoman said:

thanks for posting in this region Don. Your comments are much appreciated. Your thoughts on for the LV snow accumaltion outcomes? Can we hit 30 inches here in Macungie

If things remain on course and there are no surprises, parts of the Lehigh Valley could see 20"-30" snow. A lot depends on where the banding will set up. This should be a memorable storm.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

The entire 1950-99 period had 10 such storms. Almost certainly, the increased moisture content associated with warming is leading to higher impact storms when there is sufficient cold. There has also been a disproportionate increase in the frequency of such storms in the Islip, Newark and New York City areas since 2000..

Wow!!  thanks.  Will you ever put out a book?

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...