TheBigBlueBox Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I also live directly across the river from Philly... Basically right across from NE Philly airport. Expecting 10-12” here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Also just getting this out of the way now, there will probably be a lull in the storm sometime tomorrow morning as the coastal begins takes over. The radar may even look like complete shit during that time... But if I see a single "that's it? what a bust" post during that time, I'm going to make it my life's mission to make sure you wear a weenie tag for the remainder of this season... 5 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 12z gfs is solid AF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Snow map gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Animal said: Snow map gfs We kuchera it around here for maximum buns 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 It’s a little bit nervewracking being in the jackpot zone on every single model. At this point I’m just thinking of any ways this could go wrong. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBigBlueBox Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 12z GFS bullseye over Freehold, NJ. All of central NJ gets plastered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B Dawk 20 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 GFS is very solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: It’s a little bit nervewracking being in the jackpot zone on every single model. At this point I’m just thinking of any ways this could go wrong. Most of us would kill to be where you are... Just relax lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birdbean Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 State college getting cold feet for us in Lancaster Co? NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/... 10AM/15Z: Initial shot of WAA snow (varying intensity) has overspread the majority of the CWA as of 10AM. Only minor adjustments needed to hourly T/Td with maxT still on track. After seeing the 12Z extended HRRR run, we are growing a little leary (somewhat less confident) in double-digit snowfall totals across the Lower Susquehanna Valley. This would be the result of a longer period wintry mix in the dry slot with the main deformation band setting up farther to the north. We will continue to monitor closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dodsworth Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 9 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: This would be beautiful, I’m in Jenkintown. Fingers crossed for at least 12” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 16 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: It’s a little bit nervewracking being in the jackpot zone on every single model. At this point I’m just thinking of any ways this could go wrong. We just ride and see what happens. At least it's not rain! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nicknack Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 24 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: It’s a little bit nervewracking being in the jackpot zone on every single model. At this point I’m just thinking of any ways this could go wrong. If you don't want to be in the jackpot then stick with the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 The GFS and ICON keep hope alive for far SEPA and northern DE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, bluehens said: The GFS and ICON keep hope alive for far SEPA and northern DE. GGEM too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Kevin Reilly said: GGEM too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drewtwo Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Friendship ended with NAM Now GFS is my best friend 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 GFS 2ft loli over me but that is not accounting for mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: GGEM too GGEM has been shit-bat crazy for a while...hopefully it pans out somewhat. Overcast 26F / DP 15F *Breeze has picked up a tad 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: GGEM too Wow you aren’t kidding there. All 3 are fantastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 para GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 16 minutes ago, Newman said: Goes with my thinking..1-2 ft common..isolated 3 bangers. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Revised now going with my last guess 15-20" 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 This is coming in way earlier than modeled. Bolds well for huge amounts. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bpjones595 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 This is coming in way earlier than modeled. Bolds well for huge amounts.Radar looks solid too. Me being down in far SE PA the front end could be big before that change over to sleet tonight. Hoping the dry slot limits the sleet/freezing rain over night and snow comes back heavier. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Euro coming in southeast What a crush job 4 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 12 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This is coming in way earlier than modeled. Bolds well for huge amounts. The radar last night/early morning clearly showed the progress of the precip. It didn't add up for what some were predicting for the "start time". Coming down nicely now w/larger flakes, solid coating, radar filing in...hell, all is good! 24F / DP 19F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Some of the updated NWS P&C storm totals East Nantmeal - 12"-23" (Wxsim 13"-21") Allentown - 15"- 28" Quakertown - 15"-25" Reading - 12"-25" Pottstown - 12" - 23" Gilbertsville - 12" - 22" Morgantown - 10"-21" Media - 7" - 14" KPNE - 10" - 19" PHL - 6" - 14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 hour ago, Birdbean said: State college getting cold feet for us in Lancaster Co? NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/... 10AM/15Z: Initial shot of WAA snow (varying intensity) has overspread the majority of the CWA as of 10AM. Only minor adjustments needed to hourly T/Td with maxT still on track. After seeing the 12Z extended HRRR run, we are growing a little leary (somewhat less confident) in double-digit snowfall totals across the Lower Susquehanna Valley. This would be the result of a longer period wintry mix in the dry slot with the main deformation band setting up farther to the north. We will continue to monitor closely. My bar is 6". Just give us half a foot and I'll be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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