Mshaffer526 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 27 minutes ago, Ej257 snow lover said: How many hours of virga do we see? Mt Holly said on their fb page start time for allentown was around 6pm. Storm is already on top of us OBS to the southwest made it sound like there was very little virga. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 WSW here in NYC 14-18 inches 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Final call for our area 8-16". Modest storm for us a 1-in-5 year event HERE. Modest.....LOL 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Anything less than 24" IMBY is a bust. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Upton mentioned possible Blizzard warnings being issued later for my area in NYC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6z runs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Morning.. urgent press release updated final totals. wilmington , de (city) - 15 inches my house-17.6 oxford- 18.6 phl airport - 18.4 paul’s house - 31 inches new hope - 29 inches 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Euro run is exactly what many of us wanted to see this morning. Was afraid of a last minute shift NE but that looks promising. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 hours ago, Wentzadelphia said: Feel better about NAM? Lol I told you man I had seen this model misplace qpf my entire life basically i knew it was coming I told you trust the NAM and its trends bro. Never a doubt. My bar is still set at 12" here. Anything less is just unacceptable. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Obs thread started: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Obs thread started: Bring it home Steve!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ActionPhilosopher Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Here in Glasgow, DE I'm feel too close to the possible mix line to feel confident about making a prediction so I'm going to go conservative for my house and the Glasgow/Bear area: 7 inches (which isn't horrible, but I don't love it) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 18 minutes ago, MJO812 said: 6z runs Good luck to you up there Ant, thanks for stopping by with your snow maps the last few days 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Good luck to you up there Ant, thanks for stopping by with your snow maps the last few days Good luck to you also It has been a while since we all saw a foot or more. Last time for me was Jan 2016 when I got 30 inches. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just looking across 6z, am I seeing things without my AM coffee yet or has there been a detectable nudge S or SE across guidance?? ICON has been leading the way with these adjustments. Not saying it is correct but certainly is interesting. Back in the bullseye swath here and slowly trending on extreme SE PA again? 3 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 7 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Bring it home Steve!! Let's do this ladies and gents! 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6z euro..sorta what occurs except some seed nw burbs ride hard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bpjones595 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Here in Glasgow, DE I'm feel too close to the possible mix line to feel confident about making a prediction so I'm going to go conservative for my house and the Glasgow/Bear area: 7 inches (which isn't horrible, but I don't love it) You will definitely have issues with mixing down there. You’ll be on that fringe rain/mixing line. Hopefully it stays south tho!! Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I also feel my location may be in that screw zone for a while over night. The shorter the better. Still going back to snow though. I’m ready! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 It was nice posting non stop in here the whole week. I miss when the subforums were merged. Alot of good posters in this subforum. Enjoy the snow February is looking better by the day 5 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcane21 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 25 minutes ago, Mshaffer526 said: Euro run is exactly what many of us wanted to see this morning. Was afraid of a last minute shift NE but that looks promising. It really cut back far northwest area past Berks county. Which was expected. The hot zone is between Allentown and Philadelphia. Any subtle shift will slide that Axis around a bit. Still going to be some tweaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Icon is a mauling se pa.. my model of choice 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 hour ago, Animal said: Morning.. urgent press release updated final totals. wilmington , de (city) - 15 inches my house-17.6 oxford- 18.6 phl airport - 18.4 paul’s house - 31 inches new hope - 29 inches whatcha thinking out here around Reading? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 18 at the airport seems pretty high. I think 11-12 sounds more realistic. I hope I’m wrong though. Gonna be close. Depends on the orientation of the ccb band and how far north h7 low is. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, penndotguy said: whatcha thinking out here around Reading? 20-36 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcane21 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Take it for what it’s worth but future radar according to the HRR around 10 am Monday morning depicts a band of 3-4” an hour rates pivoting in from the East from Trenton to Philly ... by this point the HRR has already dropped around 10” from Philly to Allentown 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 NAM should come further west this run. Everything at 500mb at 15 hours screams it will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 All of the 6z runs in one spot for your viewing pleasure - I will take the Icon please... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPotter_WX Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Pretty good consensus on the 6z runs. I’m leaning towards 16-20” here in the LV. However, I’m still wary of these systems as they can pull the rug out from underneath you. Just gonna have to wait and see where the 1”+ per hour band sets up. Here’s hoping to a bust on the high side for everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 8 minutes ago, Newman said: NAM should come further west this run. Everything at 500mb at 15 hours screams it will I see a tick at best not a screaming. 6z vs 12z are virtually carbon copies in every aspect. Trof looks a hair sharper 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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