JSharp Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 14 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Here's my call, I'll update tomorrow if I feel I need to but not expecting many major changes here on out. PHL: 10-14" NE Philly: 12-16" Levittown: 14-18" Trenton: 14-18" Doylestown: 18-24" Allentown: 20-26" Reading: 20-26" Hopewell: 18-24" West Chester: 16-20" South Jersey: 8-12" Shore points: 2-4" Someone in this forum, likely in the N and W will see 30+". If I missed your backyard, just quote and reply. Chadds Ford, PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I'm hoping the CCB doesn't set up so Lancaster gets screwed but Berks is in the jack. I already told my dad to keep those measurements at home true and honest lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSharp Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Anyone worried about the second part of the storm from the Noreaster? The Mid-Atlantic AmericanWX group is getting worried that the second half of the storm will be a dud. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, JSharp said: Chadds Ford, PA 16-20" could see you guys getting 2ft if things come together quick enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, JSharp said: Anyone worried about the second part of the storm from the Noreaster? The Mid-Atlantic AmericanWX group is getting worried that the second half of the storm will be a dud. Because they're missing out on the ccb that will be over us... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 26 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: I’ll make last second call Tom around 9-10 but I found a motel in Pottsville, thoughts Pottsville seems perfect. This storm just screams coal region jackpot. I wouldn't be surprised to see some 30" reports there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, JSharp said: Anyone worried about the second part of the storm from the Noreaster? The Mid-Atlantic AmericanWX group is getting worried that the second half of the storm will be a dud. The Mid-Atlantic will be getting dryslotted hard while it rips in PA/NJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 18 minutes ago, Snowman1986 said: I'm central bucks... so I hope so! Nice! I’m in Langhorne area so not too far 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 13 minutes ago, JSharp said: Chadds Ford, PA 10-14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yak Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 hour ago, The Iceman said: Top 50 for ya https://jcweather.com/50snowstorms.php I think a top 10 storm is definitely plausible. 16.8" would get them there and if banding sets up correctly, could be in reach. These long duration storms definitely have the potential to overperform. I remember growing up a junior weenie in Philly looking at that list and thinking there was NO WAY I would ever see 20 inches of snow. That only happened in the good old days. 14 inches in 1979 was amazing and 21 inches in 1983 was beyond comprehension. We’ve now exceeded that old record 5 times in the past 30 years and could potentially be doing so a 6th time beginning tomorrow. Despite some lean years, these are the new good ‘ol days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, LVblizzard said: Pottsville seems perfect. This storm just screams coal region jackpot. I wouldn't be surprised to see some 30" reports there. Nah you are in the valley etc..may lose 3-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Because they're missing out on the ccb that will be over us... Yup.. northern md can do well. dc needs a Miller A or a cross country storm that blows up off Virginia drift ne out to sea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rickymortyx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 22 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Someone gets fooked. Usually that's DC... it was the philly area back in '15. I remember that one well back in my days in philly so can't be too certain that it is only DC. these things always trend NE last minute, hopefully this one is different for the philly metro this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, yak said: I remember growing up a junior weenie in Philly looking at that list and thinking there was NO WAY I would ever see 20 inches of snow. That only happened in the good old days. 14 inches in 1979 was amazing and 21 inches in 1983 was beyond comprehension. We’ve now exceeded that old record 5 times in the past 30 years and could potentially be doing so a 6th time beginning tomorrow. Despite some lean years, these are the new good ‘ol days. We just moved to Reading from near West Chester a few months ago, and in the back of my mind I was thinking how nice it would be to get away from the I-95 corridor meso. We already cashed in last month, here's hoping for another classic over the next few days. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said: We just moved to Reading from near West Chester a few months ago, and in the back of my mind I was thinking how nice it would be to get away from the I-95 corridor meso. We already cashed in last month, here's hoping for another classic over the next few days. Welcome to Berks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcane21 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 The 18z Euro ensemble is simply incredible. Most locations averaging 1 Foot... when you have the Euro ensemble honking like this 24 hours out you’re about as good as you can get... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimmy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 20 minutes ago, JSharp said: Anyone worried about the second part of the storm from the Noreaster? The Mid-Atlantic AmericanWX group is getting worried that the second half of the storm will be a dud. Anyone remember March 2001? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Snowcane21 said: The 18z Euro ensemble is simply incredible. Most locations averaging 1 Foot... when you have the Euro ensemble honking like this 24 hours out you’re about as good as you can get... Interesting... Seems like it's further ne with the ccb than the op.. just saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I'm still holding my breath here. I've seen these before, we're still a long way out until the coastal even ramps up, 1.5-2 days away (Monday afternoon/evening) 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yak Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said: We just moved to Reading from near West Chester a few months ago, and in the back of my mind I was thinking how nice it would be to get away from the I-95 corridor meso. We already cashed in last month, here's hoping for another classic over the next few days. I think a few traumatic encounters with the rain/snow line as a kid have led me to Berks County as well. Welcome, neighbor! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcane21 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, The Iceman said: Interesting... Seems like it's further ne with the ccb than the op.. just saying Indeed... quite a few members are not as far west with it. Most have the low further East which in turn drags the deform band along with it. In my opinion the low right in the coast the OP showed is probably too far west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSharp Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said: We just moved to Reading from near West Chester a few months ago, and in the back of my mind I was thinking how nice it would be to get away from the I-95 corridor meso. We already cashed in last month, here's hoping for another classic over the next few days. I believe the changing climate is helping larger storms to form with more moisture. But there are also longer periods with no snow happening. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSharp Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 The front end has been trending wetter and wetter. Should be thumping tomorrow at this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Well boys, 3rd and goal at the 4.....47 seconds to play. Game tied at 24. Brady looking on from the bench hoping the defense holds here. Teams set to go at the line of scrimmage. And here we go....its a direct snap to the running back....he scurried to the right and finds an open receiver....NO its the qb in the end zone. The Philly Special....TOUCHDOWN!!!! Unbelievable! Extra point snap, the kick is up...OH MY, no good its off the upright. Nothing ever easy in this hometown but we have the lead 30-24 with 30 seconds to play. And Brady takes the field. This proves to be one heck of an exciting finish folks. Can we hold the lead?? Buckle your seatbelts!! 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, Newman said: I'm still holding my breath here. I've seen these before, we're still a long way out until the coastal even ramps up, 1.5-2 days away (Monday afternoon/evening) Yep, anything can still happen. Nobody is in the clear yet and inevitably somebody is going to get screwed. Hoping for the best for this sub, braced for the worst. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 FWIW, 21z SREFS are not that impressive across the area (with regards to other guidance), they're favoring northeastern areas like NYC and SNE. KPHL mean of ~6.5". KRDG ~ 8.5". KABE ~ 9.0" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcane21 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, JSharp said: The front end has been trending wetter and wetter. Should be thumping tomorrow at this time. Noticed that as well. Especially in the latest Euro. Over an inch qpf by mid morning Monday in most of New Jersey and Philly Metro. That’s before the banding sets up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 hour ago, The Iceman said: Good to see ya here Jrodd! Hope all is well with you buddy. Things seem to be getting better and better up to game time, all the makings of a classic! Justin! Dude it’s been too long. Yeah man I bought my first house this past March! I’m up in Gilbertsville now in upper Montgo so I’m hoping to finally reap the benefits of being well NW of the city now! Hope you’ve been well too dude!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Yep, anything can still happen. Nobody is in the clear yet and inevitably somebody is going to get screwed. Hoping for the best for this sub, braced for the worst. Me too, I would love to see an entire SE PA jackpot and spread the love to all in this sub. But I have an uneasy feeling about this one still. Maybe it's PTSD from the past, maybe it's a legit concern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcane21 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Newman said: FWIW, 21z SREFS are not that impressive across the area (with regards to other guidance), they're favoring northeastern areas like NYC and SNE. KPHL mean of ~6.5". KRDG ~ 8.5". KABE ~ 9.0" The SREFS are Part of the NAM family so that isn’t all that surprising 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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