MJO812 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 5 minutes ago, hazwoper said: Maps? Its not out on tidbits. https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 CMC is an absolute beauty. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Holy shit, that's even better than the GFS. Still absolutely ripping CCB at hour 120. and that's after 36 hours of snow... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 There’s a clear trend south from tonight to this afternoon with the location of the coastal low. Reminds me of tracking the Jan. 2016 storm. One more shift south and I might start to get a little worried here in the Lehigh Valley. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Gfs ensembles... I see 1 miss and tons of big hitters 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Some of those ensemble members are more than satisfactory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 hour ago, Violentweatherfan said: NYC is in such a good spot for Miller B storms, anything south of Bucks County - Philadelphia County Pa misses out on intensification. And there is always the dryslot. Every Miller B is unique but in general you are right. Jan 96 (and there have been others) was more a hit down here, less up there. There are times it can go the other way. Definitely isn't something written in stone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 The UKMET is the nightmare scenario. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The GFS finally gets on board after drifting along side the boat for days, the uncle falls off the boat "splash" everybodys laughs at crazy unckie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, RedSky said: The GFS finally gets on board after drifting along side the boat for days, the uncle falls off the boat That actually concerns me more than the GFS being the outlier. But if the Euro holds serve, I will feel better about the Ukie being a fluke run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Every Miller B is unique but in general you are right. Jan 96 (and there have been others) was more a hit down here, less up there. There are times it can go the other way. Definitely isn't something written in stone. January 6-7 1996 was a Miller A 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 hour ago, The Iceman said: 15-18" all across SE PA with the 18-21" weenie stripe over paul's house. That sure is a pretty map... Just came back from my 2nd covid 19 vacc shot (hooray!)....is this a side affect? Am I hallucinating or is this happening? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Just came back from my 2nd covid 19 vacc shot (hooray!)....is this a side affect? Am I hallucinating is this happening? second shot? you in health care? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 40 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Holy shit, that's even better than the GFS. Still absolutely ripping CCB at hour 120. and that's after 36 hours of snow... Tom Brady carted off the field with the game tied at 24 and 8 mins to play in the game 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 41 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: There’s a clear trend south from tonight to this afternoon with the location of the coastal low. Reminds me of tracking the Jan. 2016 storm. One more shift south and I might start to get a little worried here in the Lehigh Valley. Windshield wiper effect....it might tick S a few runs, then N a few. Bottom line, the goal posts are narrowing and we are smack in the middle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Just came back from my 2nd covid 19 vacc shot (hooray!)....is this a side affect? Am I hallucinating is this happening? Let us know if you grow a 3rd arm or go cross-eyed... 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 16 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: The UKMET is the nightmare scenario. UKMET, ICON, NAVGEM, and JMA should be allowed in the same thread with the big boys which are all honking loudly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12 minutes ago, mattinpa said: That actually concerns me more than the GFS being the outlier. But if the Euro holds serve, I will feel better about the Ukie being a fluke run. The UKIE has been the flip floppiest of all the models. Go back and look for yourself last 48 hrs. Every run has been considerably different and not by a little either. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 11 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: January 6-7 1996 was a Miller A Really? Upper air was same exact setup. It is actually number 2 on storm analogs for this coming system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 9 minutes ago, hazwoper said: second shot? you in health care? Yes. Chef at longterm healthcare facility 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Let us know if you grow a 3rd arm or go cross-eyed... Word in the hidden corners of the net says the the RNA programmer in the vaccine turns everybody into lizards at the 12 month mark 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Let us know if you grow a 3rd arm or go cross-eyed... Worst I heard were snakes come out your pee hole and worms come out your eyes. Heard one guy had lights shining out of his ears. I will keep u posted 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Worst I heard were snakes come out your pee hole and worms come out your eyes. Heard one guy had lights shining out of his ears. I will keep u posted My wife had her second last week. Just had some chills for a couple days, but besides that all is well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, RedSky said: Word in the hidden corners of the net says the the RNA programmer in the vaccine turns everybody into lizards at the 12 month mark I am the Lizard King...I can do anything. Google it if you don't know 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, hazwoper said: My wife had her second last week. Just had some chills for a couple days, but besides that all is well. Good to know. I had injection site soreness from shot 1. Expecting nothing worse with this one...hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I am the Lizard King...I can do anything. Google it if you don't know Morrison...I know the Doors well. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Yes. Chef at longterm healthcare facility Holy s%!&$ tough job! My Ma is in independent living and those oldies complaining about their food is....I can't find the words to describe it lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 10 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: The UKIE has been the flip floppiest of all the models. Go back and look for yourself last 48 hrs. Every run has been considerably different and not by a little either. Thanks - I didn’t remember the individual Ukie runs for this storm. Don from the NYC forum also says it can be a volatile model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: Holy s%!&$ tough job! My Ma is in independent living and those oldies complaining about their food is....I can't find the words to describe it lol It is challenging for sure. We have 540 or so residents and you can't possibly satisfy every one with every meal. No matter how good 539 people say their meal is, always 1 finds something wrong. Sorry about off-topic. Back to wx.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 13 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Really? Upper air was same exact setup. It is actually number 2 on storm analogs for this coming system. January 1996 was a Miller A 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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