LVblizzard Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 10 minutes ago, RedSky said: No more north move so far 12z is my biggest takeaway that had to stop We’re not out of the woods yet. In the December storm it wasn’t until 24 hours before the start of the storm that the models collectively made their big jump to the north. If we get past 0z tonight and we’re still in the bullseye, though...time to start feeling really, really good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 12 minutes ago, RedSky said: No more north move so far 12z is my biggest takeaway that had to stop If anything the more trusted models ticked SE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Eskin updated his storm total from 6" to 7" this morning for Philly during his time slot. He bashed on air TV weather people and embellished KYW1060 because they are a sister station of WIP. No word from Bruce so apparently he's happy w/his 20"/blizzard prediction... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Ukie well north of last night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, LVblizzard said: We’re not out of the woods yet. In the December storm it wasn’t until 24 hours before the start of the storm that the models collectively made their big jump to the north. If we get past 0z tonight and we’re still in the bullseye, though...time to start feeling really, really good. Yeah we were squarely in the bullseye of that one as well. I fear the ole saying if it looks to good to be true it probably isnt, but hey maybe this is the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 UKMET came north and falls in line with most of the other models, 6-12" in SEPA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 How are dews looking? Will we fight virga or is this coming in fast and furious? Jan 2016 got off to a quick start. I remember hours of virga with some of those 2010 storms. Also PD II if I recall correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, JTA66 said: How are dews looking? Will we fight virga or is this coming in fast and furious? Jan 2016 got off to a quick start. I remember hours of virga with some of those 2010 storms. Also PD II if I recall correctly. No longer fighting confluence or slow transfer it looks more like Jan 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, RedSky said: No longer fighting confluence or slow transfer it looks more like Jan 2016 How’s snow growth looking in the ccb? Any good skews? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Probably will decide tomorrow afternoon after 18z gfs but probably headed to Berks or poconos, unsure yet though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbroken Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: We’re not out of the woods yet. In the December storm it wasn’t until 24 hours before the start of the storm that the models collectively made their big jump to the north. If we get past 0z tonight and we’re still in the bullseye, though...time to start feeling really, really good. I think either 0z model run or possibly even 06z tomorrow is when I'll jump on the wagon of those higher totals. It's such a long event that it could be snowing before we really lock in the max snowfall area. Been stabbed in the back way too many times over the years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 7 minutes ago, JTA66 said: How are dews looking? Will we fight virga or is this coming in fast and furious? Jan 2016 got off to a quick start. I remember hours of virga with some of those 2010 storms. Also PD II if I recall correctly. I'm thinking an hour or two of virga tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Probably will decide tomorrow afternoon after 18z gfs but probably headed to Berks or poconos, unsure yet though I’d go near I-81 if I were you. Maybe in Lancaster/York or the coal region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, LVblizzard said: I’d go near I-81 if I were you. Maybe in Lancaster/York or the coal region. Yea that’s other option forgot to mention. I like west more than N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 My 1st Call Forecast for the area 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 16 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: My 1st Call Forecast for the area Shift that S & E a bit ha 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Thought Euro was coming NW... Might not be much change actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 when is Euro up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I love where I'm at here in Lanco. We'll get the dry slot and lull for sure, but that CCB makes up for it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irish Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, dssbss said: when is Euro up? It's in, looks to be a smidge south or so I've heard. So does look like that above map should shift SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 12z takeaway briefly....at work. Capture looks likely. Stall likely. Longer duration sits at our BM. HECS potential increasing quickly 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 6 minutes ago, dssbss said: when is Euro up? now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 There almost isn't a single model that DOESN'T plaster Berks/Lanco/Lehigh with at least 15". Low end is 12" from the GFS/UKMET, high ends are Euro/Para-GFS/CMC with nearly 2-3 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irish Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 EURO WAS HUGE! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 ECM looks a lot like the para GFS hmmm Also more realistic looking digital snow map and man the kuchera ones are starting to bug me raise expectations through the stratosphere in every storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 12z takeaway briefly....at work. Capture looks likely. Stall likely. Longer duration sits at our BM. HECS potential increasing quickly I get chills when I read the words “capture” and “stall” when the storm is just 24 hours away from starting. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, RedSky said: ECM looks a lot like the para GFS hmmm Also more realistic looking digital snow map and man the kuchera ones are starting to bug me raise expectations through the stratosphere in every storm. They only tend to verify inside the ccb, as we saw in December with 40 at bgm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I like it a lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now