Mshaffer526 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 3:41 AM, bpjones595 said: Weren’t we all just dumping the icon earlier? . Expand I don't know what you're talking about. How dare your besmirch it's good name? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 3:24 AM, The Iceman said: You're sitting pretty Ant. I hope you're getting hype for this one. Expand Wait, that's metfan?? I didnt even know that, I must be under a frikken rock lol. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 3:42 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: Wait, that's metfan?? I didnt even know that, I must be under a frikken rock lol. Expand I changed my name last year 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 3:41 AM, bpjones595 said: Weren’t we all just dumping the icon earlier? . Expand A model showing feet of snow can always be brought back into the fold it's in the weenie handbook 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 3:44 AM, RedSky said: A model showing feet of snow can always be brought back into the fold it's in the weenie handbook Expand Appendix F, page xvii, paragraph 5 to be exact. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 3:42 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: Wait, that's metfan?? I didnt even know that, I must be under a frikken rock lol. Expand I figured it out last week so I'm only slightly ahead of you... Welcome Ant 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 3:41 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: Yeah right. Im pretty sure you've downplayed this from the get-go citing seasonal trends. Im entitled to one off-run meltdown. Its been exhausting since I began tracking this on Jan 15 (go in the obs thread....yes almost 2 weeks watching this). Im starting to suffer from model exhaustion Expand I hope my reverse psychology pays off... I've played this one different from the start I can't go getting hyped up now... Though it's hard! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 3:48 AM, The Iceman said: I hope my reverse psychology pays off... I've played this one different from the start I can't go getting hyped up now... Though it's hard! Expand I know inside you've been on this. Your posts are evident of the reverse psychology. Keep doing whatever it is you're doing....bring this one home. P.S. nice to see the fly guys take 2 from NJ...even tho they suck still feels good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 GFS is rolling north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 This is going to be a good not south run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 3:58 AM, MJO812 said: Expand GFS caved and is on board 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 You mean it's still on board 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 GFS looks similar to icon. Not quite as intense qpf banding but slower moving tucked solution. Banding will be picked up better by the mesos anyway. I expect some crazy NAM and RGEM runs beginning tomorrow. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 After years of having the rug pulled out from with under me in CNJ I think this storm is finally going to deliver! All models are now showing a CCB rotting over I-95. This storm has that classic look that you want for storms that produce in the I-95 corridor. I really think this pans out as 10"+ for most of this subform. I can break my like 4-5 year drought of no double digit snowstorms. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 4:03 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: GFS looks similar to icon. Not quite as intense qpf banding but slower moving tucked solution. Banding will be picked up better by the mesos anyway. I expect some crazy NAM and RGEM runs beginning tomorrow. Expand The precip shield decays overnight Monday as it occludes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Smoked ... Bit concerned about the northern edge though, can't take many more shifts east but I like where we are at.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 All in all a great run for SEPA for the GFS the way it has been going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Cmc crush job 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 4:07 AM, hazwoper said: All in all a great run for SEPA for the GFS the way it has been going Expand 1 for 1....CMC setting up a 2 for 2 it appears early 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 4:07 AM, The Iceman said: Smoked ... Bit concerned about the northern edge though, can't take many more shifts east but I like where we are at.. Expand Cool to see our southern friends in DC get a lolli right over them. That run made me smile for all from DC to NYC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Ok so the 18z ECM fumbled the ball 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 4:08 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: 1 for 1....CMC setting up a 2 for 2 it appears early Expand Cmc is going to be even better than GFS. No worries even for the northern crew. Can't wait to see the clowns on this one.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 4:10 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: Cool to see our southern friends in DC get a lolli right over them. That run made me smile for all from DC to NYC Expand They are throwing the GFS out, not enuff snow too north 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 4:08 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: 1 for 1....CMC setting up a 2 for 2 it appears early Expand 4 for 4 Icon Nam GFS CMC 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 4:12 AM, MJO812 said: 4 for 4 Icon Nam GFS CMC Expand Weenie handbook chapter 4 page 481 section 2....the ICON is a JV model and shall only be grouped with the other JV models for purposes of forming a concensus and not blended with the big boys and/or mesos. Eta: however, as noted above when showing over 12" snow, it is allowable to be hugged and thrown in the fray if and only if we are under 108 hrs out from onset of precip 3 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 4:12 AM, MJO812 said: 4 for 4 Icon Nam GFS CMC Expand Add the RGEM and it's 5 for 5 so far. Happy hour, lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 4:16 AM, MJO812 said: Expand Congrats Ant!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 On 1/29/2021 at 4:17 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: Congrats Ant!! Expand So far a good night for Philly also 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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