Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I would take the GFS lol Blind squirrel getting the nut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I like this area for a few reasons . It’s far enough NE where we don’t usually miss on Miller b’s like WCT can . The elevation helps in marginal events and on easterly inflow events we tend to do well. The thing i don’t like is there’s nothing to CAD in cold , so when that SE wind comes calling.. it just furnaces. It’s too close to the ocean sometimes with nothing but lowlands to the SSE. To me , ORH hills are best spot in SNE Yes. ORH is better on east flow, too because its a chain of hills....you really need an extended ridge line to maximize upslope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 GFS gives me 6" lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Yeah funny there are still some discrepancies that mean a lot like 24 hrs out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I would take the GFS lol I imagine it’s continuing the trend of the warming/dry slot down here with the better forcing farther north if you’re liking it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: GFS gives me 6" lol Man I’m right on the edge... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Kitzbuhel Craver said: I imagine it’s continuing the trend of the warming/dry slot down here with the better forcing farther north if you’re liking it... Its easy on the eyes, but I don't buy that completely....prob a bit too far north and def. a bit overdone on QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Radar is coming in hot down here it appears, will report when it arrives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: . I love the ball busting. I mean I live for it. It’s what I do best .. pushing buttons is my favorite thing . But I just never understood why Scooter or others would accuse me of lying. I mean what benefit do I get of saying my dew is 77 when it’s really 75? Just a suggestion make a white snow board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Mitch, “good, good... the bodies will stay buried” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Gfs further west with the late week inv trough. Close to a James awakening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2021 Author Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: GFS gives me 6" lol It's giving you really good ratios on that map....you get like 4 tenths of QPF through 42 hours....but that map is spitting out 15 to 1 to give you 6" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Really wish this thing was a bit further west for @USCAPEWEATHERAF. Would be awesome to watch on radar. Edit: From looking through older ones the good part is the GFS does tend to model them a good 75-100 miles NE. Have to wait until Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, PowderBeard said: Really wish this thing was a bit further west for @USCAPEWEATHERAF. Would be awesome to watch on radar. Looks like an arrow directing the snow towards the Dawn Awakening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 7 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: Man I’m right on the edge... Looks like I fold. Sucks, but par for the course this season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2021 Author Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs further west with the late week inv trough. Close to a James awakening. 2/19/93 redux? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 That NARCAN map Ray posts is usually pretty conservative. Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: 2/19/93 redux? Mobile, Alabama crippled for days with 2-4" of snow lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: 2/19/93 redux? I remember watching Bob Copeland on that one. First off, I was pissed missing it lol. Second, he literally was saying "it should stop soon.." but after hours of SNOINC with 4"/hr...he gave up lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I remember watching Bob Copeland on that one. First off, I was pissed missing it lol. Second, he literally was saying "it should stop soon.." but after hours of SNOINC with 4"/hr...he gave up lol. 4"/hour is rare period, but especially on the Cape. Maybe one or two times in my lifetime, Jan 05, and Jan 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 All the short range guidance has come in with over 3" of snow, the 12z 12km NAM is less bullish then the 3km NAM which shows over 6" of snow for CHH. 850mb temps are extremely cold when this norlun like band of heavy snow moves through, could be thundersnow in the heart of the band. We need the H5 upper low to shift about 25 miles southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 First flakes in Greenwich CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 v16 is south it seems compared to GFS for the WAA batch. Ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 29 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: GSFv16 more in line with the rest of the 12z suite that's rolled out. Just now, CoastalWx said: v16 is south it seems compared to GFS for the WAA batch. Ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I remember that 2/93 storm. A brooding 10 year old weenie living in Wareham, cursing at the flurries outside knowing the mid and outer cape were shoveling a couple feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: v16 is south it seems compared to GFS for the WAA batch. Ha. More like the 3k NAM rather than the 12k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: I remember that 2/93 storm. A brooding 10 year old weenie living in Wareham, cursing at the flurries outside knowing the mid and outer cape were shoveling a couple feet. What were the official numbers? Anyone have the archives for this event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, dendrite said: More like the 3k NAM rather than the 12k. Yeah..still think most areas maybe 1-3, or 2-4 for the first batch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Steady light snow here 32/22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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