Patfan1987 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Should make the cold to follow late this week to be colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: HREF . Seems to like hills ? It's always too aggressive this far out. Haven't been a big fan this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Most of the Maine coastal plain will still be green. Maybe we see an inch over the course of 48 hours, but it looks like I may get through the entire month of January without touching the snow-blower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: At least it looks like most won't have bare ground for the arctic shot on Friday...might struggle to get out of single digits high terrain. Trying to remember the last time a 5H dropped below 500 as it traveled south through NE. That ULL might keep snow going on and off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: It's always too aggressive this far out. Haven't been a big fan this season. Matches Reginald and Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: It's always too aggressive this far out. Haven't been a big fan this season. Oh no Scott. Look at the Dec 17th thread HREF was dead on and really nailed that super band. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Matches Reginald and Euro Meh, take the under on some of that. I just find it too QPF loaded 48+ hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 I like what the Euro is showing for Savoy/Florida up into Searsburg/Woodford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Oh no Scott. Look at the Dec 17th thread HREF was dead on and really nailed that super band. I look at it when it gets closer, but JMO...seems to be too juicy. 00z and 12z tomorrow would be better IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Trying to remember the last time a 5H dropped below 500 as it traveled south through NE. That ULL might keep snow going on and off. Feb '15? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2021 Author Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, Hoth said: Feb '15? We'd have to get that under long island. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I look at it when it gets closer, but JMO...seems to be too juicy. 00z and 12z tomorrow would be better IMO. Lot of MO’s there 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 I am thinking that an upper level low that intense will deliver some insane snow bands over the coastline. There is room for the storm on Thursday to shift northwest some still. As our first low develops a secondary low off the Delmarva, the blocking pattern slows the storm down offshore, and as the primary weakens and is brought to the coastline and south of LI and ACK it leaves a weakness in the overall surface pattern. The models today compared to 12z yesterday all showed a slower southern stream and a faster movement of the Polar vortex to the southeast. Now a few stronger trends to a closer interaction we could see the monster low develop closer to the benchmark and with such a large upper circulation present snows could develop hundreds of miles northwest of the low. I just think 72 hours is enough time still for changes to occur. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: We'd have to get that under long island. Will, the models bring that H5 low to the south of the region, problem is, the upper low is too transient 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2021 Author Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Will, the models bring that H5 low to the south of the region, problem is, the upper low is too transient Yeah it doesn't drop the low to our latitude or below until well east of us. Otherwise it would probably make for an interesting surprise potential....but it just doesn't have the room to do it on this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We'd have to get that under long island. 4 minutes ago, Hoth said: Feb '15? 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We'd have to get that under long island. Wasn't that a west to east bowling ball though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 44 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Sweet I would love a 4 to 6 type dealio EURO is the steadiest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: HREF . Seems to like hills ? Do you know where the hills in Worcester County are? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, moneypitmike said: Do you know where the hills in Worcester County are? Yes and they’re definitely not in the BRV where you reside 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2021 Author Share Posted January 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Wasn't that a west to east bowling ball though? Sort of...it dropped down from lake Huron....pretty steep SSE trajectory until it swung east....like Huron to BUF to ABE and then eastward south of LI and back northeast into George's Bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 13 minutes ago, PWMan said: Most of the Maine coastal plain will still be green. Maybe we see an inch over the course of 48 hours, but it looks like I may get through the entire month of January without touching the snow-blower. Yeah, Its been bad, I'm looking towards the first week of Feb, That's been the period I've kept an eye on for up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Sort of...it dropped down from lake Huron....pretty steep SSE trajectory until it swung east....like Huron to BUF to ABE and then eastward south of LI and back northeast into George's Bank. So it must be the progressive flow that is shunting the upper low southeast to the east of CHH instead of south of LI. Because couldn't the block insist on shunting the upper low to the south of LI? Also couldn't the tug of the southern stream system cause the upper low to move more west and south of LI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 10 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: EURO is the steadiest. EPS agrees 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Sort of...it dropped down from lake Huron....pretty steep SSE trajectory until it swung east....like Huron to BUF to ABE and then eastward south of LI and back northeast into George's Bank. Yeah this one drops basically due south too late for good easterly flow. Still could see some convective stuff with -40 plus 5H with any lapse rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 21 minutes ago, GCWarrior said: I like what the Euro is showing for Savoy/Florida up into Searsburg/Woodford. They got close to 2' over the past week or so up in Searsburg/Woodford. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: They got close to 2' over the past week or so up in Searsburg/Woodford. Mitch has done well.... the bodies are hard to find Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 The snow growth zone dries out pretty quickly Tuesday night. Something to keep an eye on - may wind up with some sleet or even freezing rain Wednesday AM south of the Pike. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 28 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We'd have to get that under long island. absolute pornography here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: absolute pornography here That produced this: 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Hoth said: That produced this: Is that Kendall Square near CBC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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