Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 That's actually a damn great model run for the weens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 I chalk up the RGM the same as the NAM at this stage. Need it to be closer in have better confidence. Especially the way many models have handled this season so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, Greg said: I chalk up the RGM the same as the NAM at this stage,. Need it to be closer in have better confidence. Especially the way many models have handled this season so far. I'd believe the RGEM over the NAM in this sort of setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: That's actually a damn great model run for the weens. Are you part of the weens club? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Are you part of the weens club? No but I'm in the emotional support group. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Hmm, Have not looked at anyhting in 3 days being out riding then doing flooring as i thought this one was dead and gone but looks like it has shifted north, Block must of weakened some? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2021 Author Share Posted January 25, 2021 RGEM is actually a pretty decent thump during tomorrow evening for a good chunk of SNE...that initial WAA band is stronger on that model than some other guidance. One of the reasons it is spitting out near-warning snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: RGEM is actually a pretty decent thump during tomorrow evening for a good chunk of SNE...that initial WAA band is stronger on that model than some other guidance. One of the reasons it is spitting out near-warning snowfall. Can you post the map, please? Thanks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2021 Author Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Can you post the map, please? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 The little Norlun that could Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Yea, had one guess where the band cut-off, and astoundingly I was right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, had one guess where the band cut-off, and astoundingly I was right. I think the RGEM has the general idea of location of banding where the NAM was further N. Still think a disjointed mess is a possibility though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 I think the end result is shave 2-3 off the RGEM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM is actually a pretty decent thump during tomorrow evening for a good chunk of SNE...that initial WAA band is stronger on that model than some other guidance. One of the reasons it is spitting out near-warning snowfall. Would it be warning though? Given the duration? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Lol you fools. Whining is so much more fun. Went from I would take a 3 to 6 to why would I post about a 3 to 6. And Bob you have professed your hate of snow and cold perhaps a break until dry summer conditions so you can post about your exciting high temps. Ray we know you only pretend about only being interested in KUs, your surprise dusting post the other day proved it. You guys can't fool an old fool. Your noses will be pressed against the window looking under the flood for the flakes. Also better to pick up dog poo with a shovel than change baby diapers lol. Love the RGEM look kids and then we kick off a snowy period 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I think the RGEM has the general idea of location of banding where the NAM was further N. Still think a disjointed mess is a possibility though. I never really bought into the route 2 jack idea. I still expect little to no snow, which is why I haven't been feverishly posting about, as some suggested should be the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol you fools. Whining is so much more fun. Went from I would take a 3 to 6 to why would I post about a 3 to 6. And Bob you have professed your hate of snow and cold perhaps a break until dry summer conditions so you can post about your exciting high temps. Ray we know you only pretend about only being interested in KUs, your surprise dusting post the other day proved it. You guys can fool an old fool. Your noses will be pressed against the window looking under the flood for the flakes. Also better to pick up dog poo with a shovel than change baby diapers lol. Love the RGEM look kids and we kick off a snowy period Will I appreciate an inch or two in a snow famine? Of course....never denied that. But I won't be glued to the computer over it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Will I appreciate an inch or two in a snow famine? Of course....never denied that. But I won't be glued to the computer over it... How many posts this morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 NB? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: How many posts this morning? I'm sitting on hold in the office, what you like me to do, dry hump an eraser with the computer and lights off? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Sneaky surprises possible after the main show for E MA with that Norlun signature. At the very least, weenie flakes will be in the air for a while. Days and days and days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2021 Author Share Posted January 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Would it be warning though? Given the duration? Well for a warning I think it's 6" in less than 24 hours or 8" for any amount of duration. So the duration only matters if it's greater than 6 but less than 8....my guess is we aren't getting amounts quite that high anyway. But can't totally rule them out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol you fools. Whining is so much more fun. Went from I would take a 3 to 6 to why would I post about a 3 to 6. And Bob you have professed your hate of snow and cold perhaps a break until dry summer conditions so you can post about your exciting high temps. Ray we know you only pretend about only being interested in KUs, your surprise dusting post the other day proved it. You guys can't fool an old fool. Your noses will be pressed against the window looking under the flood for the flakes. Also better to pick up dog poo with a shovel than change baby diapers lol. Love the RGEM look kids and then we kick off a snowy period I loathed the wind/temps Sat/Sun. Give me mid 40s all Winter over that shit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Well for a warning I think it's 6" in less than 24 hours or 8" for any amount of duration. So the duration only matters if it's greater than 6 but less than 8....my guess is we aren't getting amounts quite that high anyway. But can't totally rule them out. Will I believe here for KBOX CWA its 6: in 12 hours or 8" in 24 hours for winter storm warning criteria to be met. Remember that NYD's event sometime in the past ten or so years that retrograded back in from Nova Scotia, and places along the Outer Cape got 11-12" while parts further west received a lot less? We could see amounts increase further east as we get within the 48 hour period for Friday. So tomorrow's 12z runs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I loathed the wind/temps Sat/Sun. Give me mid 40s all Winter over that shit. That was useless cold. Couldn’t even get outside to do anything. Wasted sun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Man.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Will I believe here for KBOX CWA its 6: in 12 hours or 8" in 24 hours for winter storm warning criteria to be met. Remember that NYD's event sometime in the past ten or so years that retrograded back in from Nova Scotia, and places along the Outer Cape got 11-12" while parts further west received a lot less? We could see amounts increase further east as we get within the 48 hour period for Friday. So tomorrow's 12z runs! Your correct James. It is 6" in 12 hours or 8" in 24 hours. I forgot that definition. Good job. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 39 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I still have caution flags flying in my head over widespread snows. I still feel that western areas will do better due to the initial forcing being better out there. It's getting shredded as it pushes east but we could be saved if we can back the flow some due to a little redevelopment S of us for eastern areas. GFS exemplifies this to a T. Could be wrong though as well, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Will is probably going to get like 7"...but 2" here would be a tremendous moral victory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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