StormfanaticInd Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Moderate mix right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Heavy snow now!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Gonna hold my final call at 6" for IC. Not seeing much reason to go higher. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Temps are actually slightly above freezing in much of the southern 1/3 to half of the LOT cwa. Obviously will change later when precip picks up and also having the surface low track well south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 8 minutes ago, hlcater said: Gonna hold my final call at 6" for IC. Not seeing much reason to go higher. The morning models are showing a clear trend of placing a sharp drop-off around Cedar Rapids/Iowa City as the storm's deep moisture source gets cut off. Like you, I'm just hoping for 6" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 16 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Moderate mix right now 13 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Heavy snow now!!! In under 3 minutes too eh? Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, Snowstorms said: In under 3 minutes too eh? Nice Really big flakes to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 One hell of a dry slot here lots of blue skies above the low clouds ..some sunshine not much sign of it filing back in..perhaps in North central MO a little last few frames temp above freezing now too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 hour ago, MIstorm97 said: HRRR and RAP bring the mix line dangerously close to Detroit now. Snow totals have improved a little, but worried we flirt with sleet and then the dry slot. Yep. Currently no mention of mix here but I will be surprised if we manage to avoid it completely. It's a theme this winter. Both biggest snows have melted to some degree within 12 hrs after falling. Still seems northern SEMI would get a WWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 8 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: One hell of a dry slot here lots of blue skies above the low clouds ..some sunshine not much sign of it filing back in..perhaps in North central MO a little last few frames temp above freezing now too Glad this hitting here during peak cooling and not the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 euro much drier 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 25, 2021 Author Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, A-L-E-K said: euro much drier And has little LES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 HRDPS is bullish for the GTA tomorrow. If that FGEN band materializes as shown on the models, there could be an intense burst of +SN for 2 hours tomorrow morning. Wouldn't be surprised to see 4-6"+ tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: euro much drier Yea not what you wanna see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Whelp temperature has surged to 35 here because of the dry slot. Forecast high was 33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Euro gives us 5.1 inches according to 10:1 ratio. This is just as all the other models are showing. I don't expect CR cracking 6 inches but rather 4-5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: euro much drier When my family was giving their predictions, my 12 year old kept saying we are going to get nothing. I told him that wasn't realistic and he finally relented and said 1" I'm gonna owe him $10 if he verifies. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, Snowstorms said: HRDPS is bullish for the GTA tomorrow. If that FGEN band materializes as shown on the models, there could be an intense burst of +SN for 2 hours tomorrow morning. Wouldn't be surprised to see 4-6"+ tomorrow. The FGEN banding does look like it will thump for a little while tomorrow morning into early afternoon. I'm expecting 2-4" across most of S ON, with local amounts of 4-6" across parts of GTHA that cash in on banding features. Easterly wind gusts 40-60km/hr. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 9 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: euro much drier That sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 25, 2021 Author Share Posted January 25, 2021 Big red flag out west with a lot of areas are under-performing model guidance, quite significantly. Most guidance had 12-18" across N Kansas into SE Nebraska, and NWS had 8-18" range across this area. As of now it looks like there will be no more than 8" in N Kansas. Well under guidance, and barely making the forecast range. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman_ind Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 0.05" of ice on trees at 1pm here. A light covering of sleet too. No snow in my immediate vicinity, but some snow has fallen around the Indy metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 My uneducated now-cast for NIL is going to be "enough snow to justify bringing out the snow blower" and "enough to go sledding". Happy just to get a few inches to cover up the few week old icy mess! Enjoy everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Fish represents warning criteria event. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 5 minutes ago, blizzardof96 said: The FGEN banding does look like it will thump for a little while tomorrow morning into early afternoon. I'm expecting 2-4" across most of S ON, with local amounts of 4-6" across parts of GTHA that cash in on banding features. Easterly wind gusts 40-60km/hr. I've noticed these type of deformation bands always set-up away from the Lake especially north of 401. Thermals look good for some decent dendrites too. What's your take on any potential lake enhancement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 lol, what a run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Fish represents warning criteria event. Doesnt help that after you get to about 8" or so, you're really fighting midwest climo to go any higher. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 11 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Big red flag out west with a lot of areas are under-performing model guidance, quite significantly. Most guidance had 12-18" across N Kansas into SE Nebraska, and NWS had 8-18" range across this area. As of now it looks like there will be no more than 8" in N Kansas. Well under guidance, and barely making the forecast range. How's the Nebraska part looking (I haven't checked) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 12 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Big red flag out west with a lot of areas are under-performing model guidance, quite significantly. Most guidance had 12-18" across N Kansas into SE Nebraska, and NWS had 8-18" range across this area. As of now it looks like there will be no more than 8" in N Kansas. Well under guidance, and barely making the forecast range. Ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Interesting to see 31 and zr at IND while it's 34 with light rain at LAF, which is farther north. Precip timing/duration so far probably playing a role. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 25, 2021 Author Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, Hoosier said: How's the Nebraska part looking (I haven't checked) Definitely will under-perform what guidance showed, unless something surprises in the next few hours. Luckily, lower end of NWS forecast should work out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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