A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 fwiw HRRR came in wetter over IL/IN than 6z which is probably a good sign at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 #winning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 aggressive look with LES into cook on 12z hrrr, superior connection with long fingers 1' for mimillman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said: aggressive look with LES into cook on 12z hrrr, superior connection with long fingers 1' for mimillman Hoosier gets in on the action too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 LES falling on top of cement > LES falling on warm pavement 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 12z HRRR stalls the plume over Cook. Fat chance, but fun to look at 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 25, 2021 Author Share Posted January 25, 2021 The HRRR has been too bullish with LES since the upgrade, so a reduction of what it has is likely needed in this case.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 5-7" look on the SREF for ORD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 lake enhanced convergence over cook and developing plume from 12z NAM we haven't had a good lake setup yet since the hrrr upgrade so harder to benchmark but selling big numbers on this side is always the ez call 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 lake enhanced convergence enhancement over cook and developing plume from 12z NAM we haven't had a good lake setup yet since the hrrr upgrade so harder to benchmark but selling big numbers on this side is always the ez call 1-3/2-4 additional probably reasonable and anything more than that on the Illinois side of the lake is gravy. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 hour ago, Cary67 said: Final call 5". Snowfall this winter is a grind to come by bullish 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: 1-3/2-4 additional probably reasonable and anything more than that on the Illinois side of the lake is gravy. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk That's all i'm hoping for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 hour ago, Cary67 said: Final call 5". Snowfall this winter is a grind to come by Acurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 10 minutes ago, McHenrySnow said: bullish Hoping far SE McHenry does a bit better than Harvard. This time RFD doesn't do better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 7 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Hoping far SE McHenry does a bit better than Harvard. This time RFD doesn't do better We will see. They usually find a way! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 31 minutes ago, mimillman said: That's all i'm hoping for another nice plume(s) look from one of my fav weenie models, 10" over n cook and still ripping at this point 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 looks like the dry slot has developed as modeled eating away at the precip over MO into SE IA convection around the OH river isn't helping matters as far as moisture transport north 9am obs indicate light snow on the NW edge of the precip shield over I-72 area in central IL it may actually stay just south of me or at best get briefly clipped for a time some signs of "speckled" echoes developing over SE IA and western IL...likely light sleet ..we have to see if this is a start of a "refill" of the dry slot area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 The disturbance passing south on Wednesday looks to add plenty of moisture to the mix, bumping up the plume and kicking it further west for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 My final call for Cedar Rapids is 5-8", a bit less than what the NWS and locals are saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Trending to a 3-6" event locally. Surprised how far north this ended up coming given the downstream blocking. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 HRRR has a solid look for N IL. I am going to ride that and stick with a 6.2" call for MBY. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 10 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: another nice plume(s) look from one of my fav weenie models, 10" over n cook and still ripping at this point another one for u Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 RGEM improved locally as well 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitchener poster Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Sweeping statement to my untrained eye is that everything has slightly bumped up in southern Ontario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 SN w nice big flakes in Champaign, IL right now. Been lurking this thread for a while, thought I’d chime in on some OBS a little downstate. Good luck Chicago/N IL folk! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 9 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: RGEM improved locally as well Check out that plume Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Already a dusting... more than I imagined for the entire storm down here in Champaign lol 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 12z GFS looks like it keeps the lake effect going thru Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, homedis said: Already a dusting... more than I imagined for the entire storm down here in Champaign lol Sweet view Enjoy the morning flakes. I've got a bunch of friends in Northbrook, so will get you a report on how things look back home. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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