McHenrySnow Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, metallica470 said: LOT better be praying for some nice lake enhancement to reach those totals lol Those counties aren't going to get lake enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: .25in is icestorm criteria What if it misses to your south because of the 1045mb high in northern Nunavut province 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, mimillman said: What if it misses to your south because of the 1045mb high in northern Nunavut province Not possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Call looking $$$ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 I’m ready for the “general 2-4” snowfall”. WWA per GRR, spot on. I believe they are accounting for continued bleeding as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNiño Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 22 minutes ago, Mogget said: LOL...might snow in Wisconsin! //...Potential for Accumulating Snow Monday Evening ThroughTuesday... There is a potential for light to moderate accumulating snow starting Monday evening through Tuesday, mainly across southern Wisconsin. East to northeast winds will be gusty during this time as well, which could cause concerns for blowing and drifting snow. Lake enhanced snowfall is also possible for Racine and Kenosha counties during this time period. There is still a fair amount of uncertainty with snow totals for this system, so make sure to stay up to date with the latest forecast.// Surprised advisories haven’t gone out in Kenosha/Racine counties yet but the snow cutoff is not making it an easy forecast here with models bouncing north and south. I’m not too confident in much LE as I think most of that will stay down toward the Lake and Cook county areas. Really, I just want to be included, even if I’m the kid who gets picked last in gym class. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 DVN thinks the trend to crap out the system is overdone on models, or at least their AFD reads that way. They’re going 8-11” along I-80 in Iowa. That seems optimistic given recent guidance but theyre the experts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 43 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Its fighting a 1045 high to the north That's not quite how it works, lol... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Waiting to see what the GFS does, if consistent with the NW trend then I'm sold and will enjoy my 4 inches, hope for a bump with any lake enhancements that may pan out If GFS shows correction back south or stronger, well then game on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Powerball swooping in for dunks, you love to see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metallica470 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 32 minutes ago, McHenrySnow said: Those counties aren't going to get lake enhancement. Oops my bad. Meant to quote the wsw a couple posts before lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, metallica470 said: Oops my bad. Meant to quote the wsw a couple posts before lol You mean the 5-8" vs. the 5-7"? Ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Gfs is different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 GFS continues to be one of the wettest models by far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 24, 2021 Author Share Posted January 24, 2021 18z GFS ticked north, and slightly drier in only some areas. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Wagons north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 15 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Powerball swooping in for dunks, you love to see it I thought the block was supposed to supress snow to Indianapolis? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, hlcater said: GFS continues to be one of the wettest models by far. Realistically those totals should be slashed in half, no way that'll verify. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 8 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 18z GFs ticked north, and slightly drier in only some areas. . lol with the last run in the past 12 hours, it’s like you’re on repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 When I lived in central In just ne of Indpls for six years I always got into climate mode for ice storms as we turned the corner from Jan. into Feb. as being par for the course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 The LES signal on Wednesday is pretty solid. Wherever the banding sets up could need an advisory. It checks the boxes:Good convergence Decent lake induced thermosSynoptic ascent with 500 mb wave overhead 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, RCNYILWX said: The LES signal on Wednesday is pretty solid. Wherever the banding sets up could need an advisory. It checks the boxes: Good convergence Decent lake induced thermos Synoptic ascent with 500 mb wave overhead Was just going to say, the GFS is especially aggressive with the lake effect on Wednesday. All operational guidance has some form of lake effect signal now and just going to be a matter of honing in on exactly where it sets up, be it Lake IL, Cook, Lake IN, or Porter. I imagine where it is persistent you can add another couple inches to Tuesday storm total. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Was just going to say, the GFS is especially aggressive with the lake effect on Wednesday. All operational guidance has some form of lake effect signal now and just going to be a matter of honing in on exactly where it sets up, be it Lake IL, Cook, Lake IN, or Porter. I imagine where it is persistent you can add another couple inches to Tuesday storm total.Agree without looking too deeply into it yet (which I'll be doing tonight) wherever the LES has longest residence time could even see up to 2-4", possibly 3-5" on the high end. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 23 minutes ago, Natester said: Realistically those totals should be slashed in half, no way that'll verify. These comments without any justification or support are the best, and add a lot to the conversation 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEILwxbo Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 FWIW, 18z RAP is north and a touch wetter for LOT’s cwa through 32 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, mimillman said: GEFS Seems to have more of a West to East trajectory to it in N Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: Seems to have more of a West to East trajectory to it in N Illinois. Thankfully yes. The RGEM and GEM are alone on the SW to NE axis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 16 minutes ago, mimillman said: Thankfully yes. The RGEM and GEM are alone on the SW to NE axis I'm okay if it explodes and peaks way more north/west- as long as it then goes due east Even if it weakens as it does, at least we'll get the training effect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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