40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 00z EURO: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 00z EURO: Damn not bad for Kevin's cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 00z EURO: Disgusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Damn not bad for Kevin's cutter Theoretically speaking, Euro was pretty bad 72 hours out on this one....though I do not expect a repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 16 minutes ago, MJO812 said: How is this an ugly look lol He's shook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 17 minutes ago, MJO812 said: How is this an ugly look lol More than half are rainers.. even more so in your area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Some good potential with the one early next week, especially central and western areas.....this is over 24 hours, so that max area would cut through central MA and into NNE, thereafter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Theoretically speaking, Euro was pretty bad 72 hours out on this one....though I do not expect a repeat. Let's hope its correct. That would be special. Now that my ice jam problem has broken up with the help of rock salt inside nylons placed on the roof, I am ready for a slamming end to Feb. Lol I was embarrassed at the dollar store buying 15 cheap nylons. Saved a pair for Kevin though 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: More than half are rainers.. even more so in your area Probably best to talk about the 22nd dumper in the feb thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Let's hope its correct. That would be special. Now that my ice jam problem has broken up with the help of rock salt inside nylons placed on the roof, I am ready for a slamming end to Feb. Lol I was embarrassed at the dollar store buying 15 cheap nylons. Saved a pair for Kevin though That’s pretty damn funny lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 When Ray’s clown gives you 24”....you move your tushy to the edge of your seat a little faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 00z EURO: Accumulated snow over a 240 hour period? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, Cold Miser said: Accumulated snow over a 240 hour period? lol Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: When Ray’s clown gives you 24”....you move your tushy to the edge of your seat a little faster. This is the PARA Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 00z EURO: Talk about a TIGHT coastal gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Talk about a TIGHT coastal gradient. That is often overdone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 15 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Disgusting What did you expect our seasonal averages are less than 30" and we've already exceeded that. By this time the focus is already shifting north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 We take all of that in WCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is often overdone. Yep. SSTs off the coast here just dipped into the 30s this weekend. This isn't December anymore with 50F SSTs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 That map looks way too aggressive. Verbatim euro has 925 temps above 0C into NE MA for the low next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 With the 22nd Miller b threat it appears the key to that storm is how quickly does the offshore low develop before bombing out and moving to the northeast. Right now, the european guidance redevelops the low farther south and is a more favorable track for significant snow. However other guidance is redeveloping the low too far north, so we rain. The question is what is right? In my opinion the european guidance has the right idea in redeveloping the low farther south, as is it has around 10 inches of snow in eastern mass. However, if it digs a little more and we get the entire evolution a bit farther south, that would give the low more time to bomb out as it approaches our latitude, which would increase both the precip and winds over the area. It is too early for a forecast, but this one has an extremely high ceiling, much higher than even the Friday storm which appears to be quite significant and is trending in the right direction, and is also a Miller b. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, George001 said: With the 22nd Miller b threat it appears the key to that storm is how quickly does the offshore low develop before bombing out and moving to the northeast. Right now, the european guidance redevelops the low farther south and is a more favorable track for significant snow. However other guidance is redeveloping the low too far north, so we rain. The question is what is right? In my opinion the european guidance has the right idea in redeveloping the low farther south, as is it has around 10 inches of snow in eastern mass. However, if it digs a little more and we get the entire evolution a bit farther south, that would give the low more time to bomb out as it approaches our latitude, which would increase both the precip and winds over the area. It is too early for a forecast, but this one has an extremely high ceiling, much higher than even the Friday storm which appears to be quite significant and is trending in the right direction, and is also a Miller b. Some guidance brings it north of us James Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Some guidance brings it north of us James Yeah guidance is all over the place right now, it going north of us is very possible. Hell some models like the navy don’t even have a low, which is concerning. I personally think this storm more than likely will miss because right now it doesn’t have enough support on the models, but i am still keeping an eye on it because despite being lower probability right now, if it does trend in the right direction we could be talking feet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Disgusting That's not even 1 good storm for George... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Yup...I feel pretty confidence myself this ( 22.5th to 25th ) interval will be the next thread designation after the 18th/19th one... I did mention it briefly near the start of that one, but didn't want to bog it down. It's been popping up more so than not among the various GEF members for the past week - fwiw. Also, it fits the established local pattern's periodicity also fwiw - It's not a really teleconnector signaled/ .. correction event, however... So, I would caution that it might suffer more the fairly persistent modeling tendency to see the size of the moon coming over their distant vision as a ginormous impacting doom storm ...only to have it rise higher into clarity as smaller version - ... ah, the models have had to deamplify/ tone-down some, just about everything in that time range when it comes less than D5 .. 4.. etc. If it had more of the corrective appeal, it might have a different physical presence in the general circulation and that's a different result... But here's the thing that also could offset that - so it's not an automatic assumption, either. I am noticing that there is a tendency - albeit a bit deceptively hidden - for the heights to try and bulge either up the Rockies, or in from the NE Pac...take a pick at model and what variant. If that proves real... than suddenly, there's your corrective kick in and the thing gets more amplitude/ synergy off the L/W trickery and that would tend to offset the model correction need - So... enjoy your migraine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Let's hope its correct. That would be special. Now that my ice jam problem has broken up with the help of rock salt inside nylons placed on the roof, I am ready for a slamming end to Feb. Lol I was embarrassed at the dollar store buying 15 cheap nylons. Saved a pair for Kevin though I had to do that back in Jan '11, but thankfully not since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: This is the PARA Euro OK what TF is the PARA EURO? Christ almighty...a PARA GFS is bad enough! Seriously though, never heard of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: OK what TF is the PARA EURO? Christ almighty...a PARA GFS is bad enough! Seriously though, never heard of it New Euro in test mode, will replace Euro next month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 hours ago, George001 said: Yeah guidance is all over the place right now, it going north of us is very possible. Hell some models like the navy don’t even have a low, which is concerning. I personally think this storm more than likely will miss because right now it doesn’t have enough support on the models, but i am still keeping an eye on it because despite being lower probability right now, if it does trend in the right direction we could be talking feet. swing away George! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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