PhineasC Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: You may want to address that ice damming issue you look to have in those valleys of that roof sooner rather then later, A roof rake goes a long ways, Surprised they didn't go with a metal roof so that snow would unload. It’s on the list to be addressed. There are even worse spots on the southern exposure where the sun melts more. It’s kind of a tough situation because obviously gutters and downspouts would be destroyed by late November here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: It’s on the list to be addressed. There are even worse spots on the southern exposure where the sun melts more. It’s kind of a tough situation because obviously gutters and downspouts would be destroyed by late November here. Gutters wont help that, That would just back things up worse, A metal roof though would do wonders for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 prolly not gonna verify as is ... obviously, but the D10 Euro's looking rather spring -like already. I still suspect this is a different spring complexion comparing recent years -.. I figure it for a move over in March... thinking the 2nd week ? But it makes sense to see early extended ranges start nudging the suggestion along like this - ...if we were waiting until March 3 to get a solution on D10 that looks like that 850 mb thermal layout...I'd be pushing things out to the end of the month. But this gives it time to fail ... come again...fail...then start to stick - Also, the AO still recovers to neutral or modestly positive SD out there beyond the 20th... and with the PNA trying to collapse ... I don't know where sustaining winter into March can really come from with this hemisphere of La Nina + HC being free to expand heights over the Americas ..They want that, then dipping the PNA may synergistically realize a bigger proportional response to the base-line statistical suggestion - That means weakly -PNA = higher heights thaan one might think. This isn't a March thread though... I still suspect February is good for at least 10 days and negotiable for another week after that ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: You may want to address that ice damming issue you look to have in those valleys of that roof sooner rather then later, A roof rake goes a long ways, Surprised they didn't go with a metal roof so that snow would unload. Yeah, the barn has a hunter green metal roof and it looks amazing. Definitely want the same on the main house. Makes it look like a Tahoe ski lodge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: Yeah, the barn has a hunter green metal roof and it looks amazing. Definitely want the same on the main house. Makes it look like a Tahoe ski lodge. Hunter green is the perfect choice too, That color radiates very well, As well as black or better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Euro at same time FV3 had 50’s into Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Total after both events on the EURO: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Total after both events on the EURO: Do these Narcan maps not show sleet? Nice look otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Total after both events on the EURO: basically my wunderground has been between 12 and 18 for about 5 days. My over under is 15. Euro looks like WPCs qpf numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 I’m selling the NARCAN for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 2 hours ago, PhineasC said: Let's hope I can keep this going until mid-April. Dude those icicles are epic but your insulation must suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah just avoid the ugly cutter and you’ll keep the pristine look to the pack. Even an Ottawa cutter won’t wipe it out at this point, but nobody wants a 20 inch glacier either after 1-2” of rain and a refreeze. That’s some impressive icicle action there. I was up on the roof here yesterday (and likely going back out there today) getting rid of the ice dams. One thing I hate about living where I do...I’m in that climate belt where it’s marginal to have traditional gutters. A little bit colder/snowier and you ditch the traditional gutters...you are well into that territory. Further south and you usually don’t have to worry because stuff melts frequently enough...but here is that annoying zone where every few winters, it turns into this weeks-long battle. My south roof is cleaned out after I roof raked. North roof is an ice dam. I raked it and there are open spots but time for the nylons filled with rock salt. I do have ice snow protection layers under the new roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 48 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: prolly not gonna verify as is ... obviously, but the D10 Euro's looking rather spring -like already. I still suspect this is a different spring complexion comparing recent years -.. I figure it for a move over in March... thinking the 2nd week ? But it makes sense to see early extended ranges start nudging the suggestion along like this - ...if we were waiting until March 3 to get a solution on D10 that looks like that 850 mb thermal layout...I'd be pushing things out to the end of the month. But this gives it time to fail ... come again...fail...then start to stick - Also, the AO still recovers to neutral or modestly positive SD out there beyond the 20th... and with the PNA trying to collapse ... I don't know where sustaining winter into March can really come from with this hemisphere of La Nina + HC being free to expand heights over the Americas ..They want that, then dipping the PNA may synergistically realize a bigger proportional response to the base-line statistical suggestion - That means weakly -PNA = higher heights thaan one might think. This isn't a March thread though... I still suspect February is good for at least 10 days and negotiable for another week after that ... Imagine how warm your car will be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 I think im just going to sit back and let this next week happen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 8 minutes ago, GCWarrior said: I think im just going to sit back and let this next week happen! I am going get cocked with my European and English friends. Uncle Uke and the King. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 The AO doesn't stay positive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 hour ago, GCWarrior said: Do these Narcan maps not show sleet? Nice look otherwise Just the opposite. It does a better job of conveying the modeled thermal profile...it does not mistake sleet for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just the opposite. It does a better job of conveying the modeled thermal profile...it does not mistake sleet for snow. Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, moneypitmike said: Congrats. Maybe the model is too cold....different issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: The AO doesn't stay positive It is on the EPS. Big ole vortex up by the Pole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 31 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: The AO doesn't stay positive NAO doesn't even look bad either Winter isn't done at all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Dude those icicles are epic but your insulation must suck It’s a log home with cathedral ceilings everywhere. The ceilings are all whole logs. Not sure what is between that and the roof itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro at same time FV3 had 50’s into Maine The 18z GFS has 850 Thurs-Fri temps of 10°C to Buffalo and almost to the N NY/Canadian border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 5 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: The 18z GFS has 850 Thurs-Fri temps of 10°C to Buffalo and almost to the N NY/Canadian border. Toss that pile of dog doo onto Ginx lawn and let the rescues grind it into the deck . With that surface HP.. the chances of that happening are below 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 GFS thermals are complete garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 29 minutes ago, MJO812 said: NAO doesn't even look bad either Winter isn't done at all Done when? what time do you think folks are extrapolating for - ... tonight? Tomorrow? ... Mid March in global f'ing warming with a La Nina spring climo - yeah... winters over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 GFS says winter is over, at least for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 4 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: GFS says winter is over, at least for SNE. lol, a day ago it was printing out 4 feet of snow, now winter's over. Such admirable stability. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 minute ago, Hoth said: lol, a day ago it was printing out 4 feet of snow, now winter's over. Such admirable stability. Maybe if we continue to show how bad a model that is, they might replace it sooner, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottieBird Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 9 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: GFS says winter is over, at least for SNE. What a dramatic turn of events the last week as our snow threats have evaporated one by one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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