Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just now, DomNH said: Agree 100%. 0.25 - 0.5'' of glaze on the trees? BFD. Something like that ... sure. Plus, we have IP and snow and pixie dust and all kinds of weird shit that has to be figured out - ... big ice. ha - There should be a "big pain in the ass" type of storm characteristic established in the on-line social dystopiasphere - who's with me! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Something like that ... sure. Plus, we have IP and snow and pixie dust and all kinds of weird shit that has to be figured out - ... big ice. ha - There should be a "big pain in the ass" type of storm characteristic established in the on-line social dystopiasphere - who's with me! Agreed on all accounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Don’t you know that big ice is anything greater than 0.01”? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Wills right but verbatim this is what the Euro printed out. We are discussing model output aren't we? It seems no one has any idea what is happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I wouldn't worry about that verbatim. Your biggest worry will be IP vs glaze. Right . Just as yours will be all sleet or some snow to a lot of sleet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 9 minutes ago, DomNH said: Agree 100%. 0.25 - 0.5'' of glaze on the trees? BFD. Both storms have potential for 1” of icing on trees . That’s big. Sorry you don’t like it 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 How is the eps in the long range ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Both storms have potential for 1” of icing on trees . That’s big. Sorry you don’t like it No way. Not enough liquid and too much liquid is "wasted" on snow/sleet. I don't see how this is a 1'' of accretion type of signal. Edit: Unless you mean combined, which would make more sense, but still way too much QPF is going to be snow and sleet for huge ice like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 I'm guessing model temps in the valley are gonna bust too high. Ice ice baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Right . Just as yours will be all sleet or some snow to a lot of sleet I doubt that. I have only seen a major sleet event once in my life time. It can cut down on accumulations, sure. 1" of glaze takes a lot more to go right than you are implying...you need ample QPF and very little sleet contamination. Both are dubious here given the progressive pattern, and depth of cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, DomNH said: No way. Not enough liquid and too much liquid is "wasted" on snow/sleet. I don't see how this is a 1'' of accretion type of signal. Edit: Unless you mean combined, which would make more sense, but still way too much QPF is going to be snow and sleet for huge ice like that. #dumbfounded. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, DomNH said: No way. Not enough liquid and too much liquid is "wasted" on snow/sleet. I don't see how this is a 1'' of accretion type of signal. Edit: Unless you mean combined, which would make more sense, but still way too much QPF is going to be snow and sleet for huge ice like that. Yessah!! Combined with no melting in between 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yessah!! Combined with no melting in between I think the second one has more ZR potential than the 17th. 17th looks more snowy/scalpy to me. Second one is also D6-D7 so we're a long ways out. I love big ice just as much as the next guy and would much rather have ice than two miserable PITA kitchen sink events in a row but I don't see generator stuff as it stands right now. Next week looks like it's going to really blow. I'm ready to nape. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Oh ...I think you're meaning Tuesday and Friday combined - Kev? as in, Tues = .5" Frid = .5" Together = 1.0" ... Still doubteful for me. .5" pushes the tin in this case because to get .5" it'll have to come on in heavier dose due to limited time of each event - they are movin' and truckin' man. And, a goodly percentage of that ( save for some really isolated pocket perhaps ... not enough to substantiate a headline) is likely bouncing or snow. ... I think a median glaze amount is ... .25 to .33" somewhere's in there... But, this is all us wasting time in minutia over a situation that could easily tick more snow... I really don't think this can come NW of where it is now frankly - no way. Because although the SPV frag is trying to phase more in some guidance, it is also moving too much in the x- ( E ) direction on whole, so it's as much a suppressor on the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Road trip Waco: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Road trip Waco: Not for nothing but major major pipe busting in Texas in the works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Road trip Waco: Impressive. Dallas may go below zero too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 7 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Impressive. Dallas may go below zero too. I have family in Southeast Hill County, in the part sticking down just above the “0” in 11.0... They just got 5-6” earlier this winter so to add another foot on top of that would mean an approximately 20” in a season. The return rate on that kind of winter is probably 100 years for central Texas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 nice mild-up on the Euro op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, bch2014 said: I have family in Southeast Hill County, in the part sticking down just above the “0” in 11.0... They just got 5-6” earlier this winter so to add another foot on top of that would mean an approximately 20” in a season. The return rate on that kind of winter is probably 100 years for central Texas. They’ll be right up with me on the season lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 LOL... the secret to a good troll post: it has to not already have been covered - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: They’ll be right up with me on the season lol Waco will have an outside chance at their all-time daily snowfall record. 13.0"... Set in the 1920's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 40 minutes ago, MJO812 said: How is the eps in the long range ? Meh. -PNA and questionable -NAO. I'd rather have that PAC ridge move east closer to the west coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Take All day every day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Both storms have potential for 1” of icing on trees . That’s big. Sorry you don’t like it Does CT actually get ice storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Does CT actually get ice storms? More than Nashua, NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: More than Nashua, NH you haven't come close to warning criteria ice since nov 2002 what are you talking about 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just now, ma blizzard said: you haven't come close to warning criteria ice since nov 2002 what are you talking about What? Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: More than Nashua, NH I grew up in Brockton. So an ice storm was a foreign concept to me. The only ice storms that crossed my radar were 1998 and 2008. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: More than Nashua, NH ASH got the big one in 2008 though.... 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now