Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Folks are melting down from a long range FV3 run? Good Lord Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Lock in the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Folks are melting down from a long range FV3 run? Good Lord No melt just want professional analysis on long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, EastonSN+ said: No melt just want professional analysis on long range. Well ok then . But there’s no flooding warm rainstorm anywhere in the next few weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well ok then . But there’s no flooding warm rainstorm anywhere in the next few weeks As I said earlier, there might be a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: As I said earlier, there might be a break. And there might not. A break doesn’t mean warmth and pack wiped like Xmas . Wolf would scold you maybe, maybe not a break . He’d say time will tell 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Block aside, not sure the PAC looks great then. I'm not thinking we get thru this month without a few messier systems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: And there might not. A break doesn’t mean warmth and pack wiped like Xmas . Wolf would scold you maybe, maybe not a break . He’d say time will tell Deal with it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 19 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Don't like GFS. Turns south coast to ice after thump. Then rain and potential flooding on the system a few days later? Very cold temps Teens while it is snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Folks are melting down from a long range FV3 run? Good Lord Exactly We know its going to change 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Canadian much better for next week vs 00z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 39 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I foresee at least a good 4-8" deal, and maybe more like 6-10"....classic SWFE that includes a digging SW to the west attenuating, as it encounters said confluent flow over se Canada. Here is the full blog: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/02/additional-snowfall-likely-case-of.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Canadian much better for next week vs 00z. AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Deal with it. I love how you say “may be a break” and Kev immediately thinks of a thaw like Christmas. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, powderfreak said: I love how you say “may be a break” and Kev immediately thinks of a thaw like Christmas. An increasingly annoying faction of this place is how people can’t take reality. Like I’m supposed to tip toe around it and just give only snowy thoughts. 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: An increasingly annoying faction of this place is how people can’t take reality. Like I’m supposed to tip toe around it and just give only snowy thoughts. Deal With It - The People Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Exactly We know its going to change That possible Rainer/mess is 8 days out...it’ll trend/change. The long range cutters have been trending more favorable for us..this could do the same. Too far out to be worried about anything like that on an op depiction 8 days away. And if it is rain/or mess, we deal with it. Easy as that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 I just ordered an umbrella on Amazon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 26 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Hope it's a reload and not a flip. Probably 3 to 6 before ice on south coast on GFS depiction. That sounds about right, to me for a SWFE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 We frenzy, we mess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Ukie also looks good on the crap 24h maps for next Tuesday. My guess is a lot of New England would do well. As for the day 7-8 system, that def looks like a farther west track but still a ton of CAD showing up so it could be a good SWFE or even a decent icing situation for a time over the interior. Still a long ways off though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 30 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Don't like GFS. Turns south coast to ice after thump. Then rain and potential flooding on the system a few days later? Looks like a CAD storm at 168h, which can get pushed south. Might be ugly especially in SNE, though. Shown on the op runs of GFS/CMC/EC (00Z for the other models, although the EC was warmer). And just like that the 12Z EC shows the cold winning out, snow->ice even in SNE, with a sleet line up to CON. I'd take that. Put a crust on the snowpack, don't melt it. Down a bunch of wires, maybe, too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: An increasingly annoying faction of this place is how people can’t take reality. Like I’m supposed to tip toe around it and just give only snowy thoughts. perhaps there should be an alternate reality thread lol... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Canadian much better for next week vs 00z. The GGEM is so erratic, even within three days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, ariof said: Looks like a CAD storm at 168h, which can get pushed south. Might be ugly especially in SNE, though. Shown on the op runs of GFS/CMC/EC (00Z for the other models, although the EC was warmer). And just like that the 12Z EC shows the cold winning out, snow->ice even in SNE, with a sleet line up to CON. I'd take that. Put a crust on the snowpack, don't melt it. Down a bunch of wires, maybe, too. The 12z Euro doesn't come out until 12:50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, RDRY said: The GGEM is so erratic, even within three days. Similar to most of the Blue Jays pitchers...must be a canadian thing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 12z GEFS look solid for mid-week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: perhaps there should be an alternate reality thread lol... There’s a four or five day period where we may relax and get storms more of a SWFE or warmer. It’s not uncommon before it reloads a bit. Hopefully we don’t, I only mention it because it’s a possibility. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: And there might not. A break doesn’t mean warmth and pack wiped like Xmas . Wolf would scold you maybe, maybe not a break . He’d say time will tell No, he'd ask you if maybe time will tell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: There’s a four or five day period where we may relax and get storms more of a SWFE or warmer. It’s not uncommon before it reloads a bit. Hopefully we don’t, I only mention it because it’s a possibility. Oh I know. It is certainly within the realm of possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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