dryslot Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Lot of tucked members in that 12z EPS mean track for Monday along with a lot of spread too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: #Scooterknows #ScottyDoesntKnow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2021 Author Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 39" now for the season...need 11-20" more to nail the seasonal call. Double the 11 20 if not more by April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 18 minutes ago, Fozz said: #ScottyDoesntKnow SO 2000s emo punk rock era Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 So nothing too consistently modeled a big hit on the coastal plain looking forward, but potential opportunity to trend that way one one day or another Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 I’m still hunting for that elusive and special 18+ event. There’s been several 12-16” events around here with close calls since 2013. Can we get it done this month with a miller B missile? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 GFS not impressed with 2/8 at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: GFS not impressed with 2/8 at all. It couldn’t get this storm right until inside d1 so we’ll let it remain as the pope’s personal wine bottle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: GFS not impressed with 2/8 at all. I found it comforting that GFS had that solution tbh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Yup ...that ICON solution is exactly what I was discussing earlier - how fortuitous that solution would materialize just when, wow. Open but powerful progressive wave, NJ model low... One probably in throws of bombogenecide of SNE at 120 hours but .. .not much skill and I have bothered to monitor this model's handling of major events this season and I'm frankly unimpressed - That said, it's a wonderful example - That solution probably passes beneath 980 mb within two clicks of that 120 hour 987 S of LI ... maybe 978 mb isollobaric power cutter for the Cape and James' posting ability .. which, you know .. But, you know... that's probably about 9 hour run with S/S+ and with exceptional 300 mb divergence mechanics offering black-hole's suction difluence over the N arc of that lower developing CCB wind, thunder storms are more likely in that scenario than the one last night. so, lots there to discuss when it's close enough to be worth discussing - lol.. Does anyone want me to start a thread? I will - I think it's a low probability at this point, but it's the only probability - I believe until sometime between the 11 and 15th. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It couldn’t get this storm right until inside d1 (d1 -1 )so we’ll let it remain as the pope’s personal wine bottle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Yup ...that ICON solution is exactly what I was discussing earlier - how fortuitous that solution would materialize just when, wow. Open but powerful wave, MJ model low... One probably in throws of bombogenecide of SNE at 120 hours but .. .not much skill and I have bothered to monitor this models handling of major events this season and I'm frankly unimpressed - That said, it's a wonder example - That solution probably passes beneath 980 mb within two clicks of that 120 hour 987 S of LI ... maybe 978 mb isollobaric power cutter for the Cape and James' posting ability .. which, you know .. But, you know... that's probably about 9 hour run with S/S+ and with exceptional 300 mb divergence mechanics offering black-hole's suction difluence over the N arc of that lower developing CCB wind, thunder storms are more likely in that scenario than the one last night. so, lots there to discuss when it's close enough to be worth discussing - lol.. Does anyone want me to start a thread? I will - I think it's a low probability at this point, but it's the only probability - I believe until sometime between the 11 and 15th. I thought it did well with this one though. Sure, not every run but no model really got it perfect. I think it was usable as a ‘check’. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yup ...that ICON solution is exactly what I was discussing earlier - how fortuitous that solution would materialize just when, wow. Open but powerful progressive wave, NJ model low... One probably in throws of bombogenecide of SNE at 120 hours but .. .not much skill and I have bothered to monitor this models handling of major events this season and I'm frankly unimpressed - That said, it's a wonder example - That solution probably passes beneath 980 mb within two clicks of that 120 hour 987 S of LI ... maybe 978 mb isollobaric power cutter for the Cape and James' posting ability .. which, you know .. But, you know... that's probably about 9 hour run with S/S+ and with exceptional 300 mb divergence mechanics offering black-hole's suction difluence over the N arc of that lower developing CCB wind, thunder storms are more likely in that scenario than the one last night. so, lots there to discuss when it's close enough to be worth discussing - lol.. Does anyone want me to start a thread? I will - I think it's a low probability at this point, but it's the only probability - I believe until sometime between the 11 and 15th. Your on a roll! Hell start a thread, FYI my birthday is the 11th...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, 512high said: Your on a roll! Hell start a thread, FYI my birthday is the 11th...... You and Steve with the 1-2 bday punch. Lets go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Tip made me look at the icon 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 It would be good to have a thread for this. Tip has the hot hand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: So trolling ' nice Mr moderator Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Lot of tucked members in that 12z EPS mean track for Monday along with a lot of spread too. The danger is OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 39" now for the season...need 11-20" more to nail the seasonal call. Neck and neck 41-39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Zero snow Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Zero snow Friday? You may grab a couple. Looks tough to do S and E of you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Zero snow Friday? Ryan’s got CT starting as snow with maybe some accumulating in hills before ends as showers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 I’m expecting mainly liquid precip but hoping for some cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Thinking 5-7 here for the late week deal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 21 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Thinking 5-7 here for the late week deal. 2-4" here i'm thinking right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 25 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I’m expecting mainly liquid precip but hoping for some cold This was 18z Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 18z EPS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: 18z EPS? Not until 7:50 pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 The models want to pop a little low in the GOM for this Friday deal now. Maybe that can enhance things a little. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Pretty legit cold shot coming out of Canada; does it make it all the way East? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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