Baroclinic Zone Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: Looks to have kicked east in time. Yeah, precarious set up for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Heavy snows right to the coast . No mechanism to bring it inland. Progressive There's is plenty in this setup to bring this inland,. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Yeah, precarious set up for sure. Yeah, It was just inland over the Carolinas then as it gained lat it was on more of an ENE course, Long ways to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: There's is plenty in this setup to bring this inland,. Not with progressive pattern. See Tips post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: There's is plenty in this setup to bring this inland,. That northern stream diving south and if it phases earlier it could still be a runner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 9 hour storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Not with progressive pattern. See Tips post. Progressive patterns do not eliminate risk of huggers/cutters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Someone please post a EURO clown map. I just want to check to see if I see something I suspect will be displayed nicely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Looks progressive 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 I hope this thing hugs the coast like a python. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Euro clips SNE with a fast mover on 2/10 as well. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Someone please post a EURO clown map. I just want to check to see if I see something I suspect will be displayed nicely. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sn10_acc&rh=2021020212&fh=180&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc= 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 8 minutes ago, WeatherX said: Looks progressive .... This is what I was looking for, yesterday ...wrt to those bigger bomb/unlikely hallucination runs ... They were lacking that upper air divergence mechanics ... That there is an intense mid-stream relay to eventual a right entrance accelerating wind field ... above the 500 mb forcing/UVM. But this is also the sort of detail that really doesn't get confident in guidance until that 4 day window... Need maybe Thursday, and/or better ensemble support - some cross guidance nods would be nice too... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 We pray 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 We snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 The last time I was in the jackpot 5 days out was 5 days ago...just sayin... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 It might be worth it to start a thread for this ... I mentioned last night being willing too - but ...heh... Unlike this gig last night, this one on the 8th is less inspiring of confidence to put it nicely. Said thread should have increased font size, bold, and italic slants with an underscore, that reads something like, highly sensitive and only threaded out because it's the only other thing beyond Friday's triple point fropa to really be specific about Do we think the we can handle it lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: The last time I was in the jackpot 5 days out was 5 days ago...just sayin... Yeah thanks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: This is what I was looking for, yesterday ...wrt to those bigger bomb/unlikely hallucination runs ... They were lacking that upper air divergence mechanics ... That there is an intense mid-stream relay to eventual a right entrance accelerating wind field ... above the 500 mb forcing/UVM. But this is also the sort of detail that really doesn't get confident in guidance until that 4 day window... Need maybe Thursday, and/or better ensemble support - some cross guidance nods would be nice too... Yes, it will be difficult to move this pig out of the way enough for the bend up the coast if the Euro is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, WeatherX said: Yes, it will be difficult to move this pig out of the way enough for the bend up the coast if the Euro is right. If that thing was sharper, probably a 965 low hugging the beaches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: If that thing was sharper, probably a 965 low hugging the beaches. I’m not holding my breathe for the weekend deal. That has interior written all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Plenty of time for the Cape Ann screw zone to manifest itself. Inland, shovel those roofs! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m not holding my breathe for the weekend deal. That has interior written all over it. Dude, you have to stop. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: If that thing was sharper, probably a 965 low hugging the beaches. Yup it looked better on the 0z run and it would be like moving an aircraft carrier on a dime to get that 12z depiction to change much. Plenty of time though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If that thing was sharper, probably a 965 low hugging the beaches. Sort of what it was doing on that run yesterday ... But I looked at the upper air at the time, and it was all slip stream driven by 500 mb...It had like almost no divergence above that level - tossed the notion when I saw that.. Now in this run, it has some 300 mb classical entrance mechanics.. I think an NJ model low has a reasonable shot - by that I mean for D5 - at taking place. Open wave rapid mover that develops earnestly as it squirts underneath us like cheap porn - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Dude, you have to stop. Greg says its only NNE that have the whiners. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 I've seen worse looks at day 5 on an ensemble mean....I kind of agree with Tip that this has a fast mover look to it....the NAO block sort of compresses the flow's ability to have a lot of downstream ridging...so you pop this coastal off the Delmarva or ACY and it screams NE. I suppose if the trough dug enough, it could try and stemwind briefly, but it eventually would get shot ENE somewhere up the line with that downstream blocking look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 23 minutes ago, WeatherX said: Looks progressive Yeah nothing to bring that north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 And i way i hate Miller A's for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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