Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Not on the Euro...cold rain until maybe N Litchfield county to N ORH county. EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Some of these runs looked better for the 5th, Still time to get that one further under but hard not to look ahead at that one on the 8th ha ha. It's been trending colder, so even if we could grab a couple sloppy inches out of it. At the very least, it looks like we can put the cutter idea to rest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 The euro run is insane. Many threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: It's been trending colder, so even if we could grab a couple sloppy inches out of it. At the very least, it looks like we can put the cutter idea to rest. We could score a few here on friday, The cutter threat has really waned over the past few days, Far cry from a stem winder thru MI as it was showing 5 or so days back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Lets get that east a tad. Feb 94 inbound? And day 9/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 What a signal for day 7, nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, JC-CT said: What a signal for day 7, nice Yeah not bad for an ensemble mean at 156 hours 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 We pray for more bullets in the chamber. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Not on the Euro...cold rain until maybe N Litchfield county to N ORH county. I mean as is ... - also, quite necessary that we fail to keep Kevin's pendulum any hope of equitably in check lol but, I don't think that type of thing will A happen ... but B, if it does? that proooobably has to squeeze a triple point ... The initial cold does have some modest +PP up N helping so I bet that gets feedback on BL resistance just enough.. But man, that may be the nearing the upper envelope of what the Terran atmosphere can physically force. Those are 150+ kt circumvallate winds around the SPV subsuming trough ... frankly, I have never heard of anything like that succeed - I haven't. Subsume physics are delicate wave harmonics - that's like a poor schmuck choral conductor attempting to reign an angry throng of trumpeting pachyderms into song Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah not bad for an ensemble mean at 156 hours That really is a nice look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah not bad for an ensemble mean at 156 hours Looking at the GEFs trend now ... ... we're gonna need another thread for this - 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We pray for more bullets in the chamber. Plenty in the magazine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Any time through 240h on the Euro and basically everyone from IAD-FVE line is in store for 20" is a good time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: We pray for more bullets in the chamber. Yeah...I could really use more rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Yeah...I could really use more rain. Time to pay up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 At least it snows a bit in Taunton 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Time to pay up. Feb looks pretty cold on weeklies....no surprise based on what the ensembles are showing,. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Looking at the GEFs trend now ... ... we're gonna need another thread for this - fire it up, you have the hot hand! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 March 93 on the 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 gyx not enthusiastic on snow for Friday, but it was not much of a discussion today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 20 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: March 93 on the 12z Euro Does CIPs hit foreign guidance ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Does CIPs hit foreign guidance ? No. NAM & GFS only I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said: March 93 on the 12z Euro That would be unreal. Just unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, mahk_webstah said: gyx not enthusiastic on snow for Friday, but it was not much of a discussion today They seem to focus on one at a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Will hold off on a thread pending the overnight trends - we'll be flirting with D5 tomorrow and this present ordeal in the foreground has a long way to go and needs attention. In the meantime, subtle GEFs ens mean and spread trended toward the EPS on this 18z This whole thing is whack unusual... Firstly, I have never seen a successful two stream/subsume scenario at a velocity saturation as huge as that end of the week period. Timing is critical or bi-pass and shearing results, and the easiest way to bust open that delicate harmonic is to intruduce speed to the flow and rob away from the S/W involved. The Euro compensates for this by having 175 kt 500 mb S/W mechanical wind max!!! ZOMB ... So the surrounding field can balance at 100 ... 110 kts, and there still PVA because of the wind differential just moved up the scale - but c'mon.. This isn't Jupiter.. The end result is that the entire planetary torque budget gets exhausted over Concord NH LOL.. hyperbolic, but that model started it - jerk... I suspect what we may be heading for in reality is an progressive ...albeit mechanically endowed and potent open wave. This could be ANA or NJ Model low/ quick cyclogen ... Sort of 1987 Novemeber as weak analog - The 12z Euro particulars are interesting in that the whole event is pretty lengthy ...around 18 to 22 hours ... but, only by virtue of the fact that it is ginormous in scope and scale. As a cyclone when in the formulative stages at 144 hours, it's total circumvallate, which includes primary in Ohio, and a secondary near Cape Hat. ... encompasses almost the eastern 1/3 of the CONUS pan-dimension... My gosh, and you are looking at that, and you know that can only go to one destiny: an atmospheric super massive black hole ...Sure enough, what is that 168 ... -5 SD up in N NH? But because it is so large, it's going to take that long to bore its way into eastern Canada from SE Coast... I also noticed at Pivotal .. that solution never turns to rain NW of the Canal - it's like one of those mid Canadian deals where the warm sector smells like rain but is wet snow showers... Pure N/stream .. just using the S/stream red-headed step child Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2021 Author Share Posted February 2, 2021 5 hours ago, CoastalWx said: We pray for more bullets in the chamber. Never fails when you post nothing exciting coming up after today's storm. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Never fails when you post nothing exciting coming up after today's storm. Lol Ryan had snow Friday and said another biggie Sunday. Said he looked at op Euro and closed it and inserted the snow icon for Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2021 Author Share Posted February 2, 2021 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ryan had snow Friday and said another biggie Sunday. Said he looked at op Euro and closed it and inserted the snow icon for Sunday Charts 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Eps on board 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Charts Persistent pattern of snowless was finally broken. Now it’s a persistent pattern of snow. Keep calling for snow and you’ll win 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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