PhineasC Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 11 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Back into the freezer after the cutter Sweet, warm/wet and cold/dry rules. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Not surprising... With the distraction in the foreground, the 'losing' and/or muting the significance of a cutter was already covered a couple days ago and yesterday - it's not really new. But, that said... to re-iterate: it's odd because there is a conflict of signals in play. The -EPO has a siggy tendency to dump heights first as inside slider in the west, loading the Rockies and high Plains with cold first, and the flow concomitantly tips N at larger synoptic response scales in the SE... blah blah. That's that, buuut, ...the fast flow that is plaguing the Earth ( for f! sake) doesn't really physically allow the wave lengths to buckle and shorten in the x( u) coordinate... - code of stretching the flattening. Those two are offset indicators. The GGEM at 12z completely sides with speed, severs the initial slider look as Will mentioned, takes half of that momentum and carves out a ( probably ) erroneously deep cut off/Baja... and while N aspect post bifurcation smears out as a Lake Effect producing Mammoth mummification cold wave - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Euro still the ugliest but less ugly than 00z. GFS twins really want to turn this into two separate events and possibly some snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 We just can’t lose that screamer. We’ll need some help from the block to minimize damage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: We just can’t lose that screamer. We’ll need some help from the block to minimize damage Snowy wave after the cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Snowy wave after the cutter The first concern is having CAD prior to the warm up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 29 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Snowy wave after the cutter Meh.....let's enjoy early week. Kind of ugly after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Meh.....let's enjoy early week. Kind of ugly after that. Blockiness is winning out. Models are gradually turning back the SE ridge and pumping up Atlantic blocking. Not entirely surprising given very negative AO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Model watching in the winter is like watching an NBA game. Sure, there is some entertainment value with the ebbs and flows of the 1st 3 quarters, but in the end all the matters is the final 5 minutes or so in determining the outcome (within 72-84h). 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 EPS lost the cutter Hopefully it doesn’t come back. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS lost the cutter Hopefully it doesn’t come back. Kevin hand wrings a lot, explains the baldness 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Kevin hand wrings a lot, explains the baldness Always worry. Got to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS lost the cutter Hopefully it doesn’t come back. It seems to have broken apart into several smaller waves that all do less damage or even end up as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 MJO seems to be backing from 7 to 6 Is this possible or is the wave just dying in 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 12z Euro sending next weekend storm out under us now, Losing the cutter idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, dryslot said: 12z Euro sending next weekend storm out under us now, Losing the cutter idea. Possible back-to-back storm potential now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: Possible back-to-back storm potential now. It was looking like it was going to end up going under us the last few cycles, We don't need anymore headaches, I'm already in arrears from Dec and Jan on snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12z Euro sending next weekend storm out under us now, Losing the cutter idea. Thankfully. The block helped as we mentioned we needed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Thankfully. The block helped as we mentioned we needed We all have been thru enough agony this winter........lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 No more cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 7 hours ago, MJO812 said: No more cutter Just don't look at the 18Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 BOX still going with torch and rain Friday . Not much support anymore for that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 41 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: BOX still going with torch and rain Friday . Not much support anymore for that We February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: We February Charts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Charts! How's the hangover? Drunk posting last night. Lol . Looks like Feb gonna have some cold and snow shots. LR stuff looks promising as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 53 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: How's the hangover? Drunk posting last night. Lol . Looks like Feb gonna have some cold and snow shots. LR stuff looks promising as well. Hangover? Feel great. In line at Big Y Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 GFS brought back the cutter big time - 2" RA at low 50s, warmer in central Maine than NNJ (though the difference between 45 and 52 when it's pouring is negligible.) Back to the earlier 30s and mix by tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, tamarack said: GFS brought back the cutter big time - 2" RA at low 50s, warmer in central Maine than NNJ (though the difference between 45 and 52 when it's pouring is negligible.) Back to the earlier 30s and mix by tomorrow? The GFS doesn’t have a clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 54 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: How's the hangover? Drunk posting last night. Lol . Looks like Feb gonna have some cold and snow shots. LR stuff looks promising as well. That was an impressive performance by Kevin last night. I thought ice1972 had hijacked his computer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 41 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hangover? Feel great. In line at Big Y Professional drinker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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