dryslot Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 50 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice. Looks like a half foot for the Mahoosucs Yup, Riding in the snow, I'm figuring 3-5" there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 37 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: just talked to my riding buddy. Going to skip Andover this wknd. Jackman next wknd. Jackman looked prime on bishops cam, Good week of snow up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 Son of GFS has a better clue about tomorrow then the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Son of GFS has a better clue about tomorrow then the 12z GFS. The GFS has been totally off the rails on this event all along. It held onto the warm cutter idea the longest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 11 minutes ago, PhineasC said: The GFS has been totally off the rails on this event all along. It held onto the warm cutter idea the longest. I think it’s been awful for some time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: I think it’s been awful for some time. It cracks me up how different it is from the v16 almost all the time. They are often hundreds of miles apart with a totally different evolution for events. Complete outliers from each other. Father and son hate each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: It cracks me up how different it is from the v16 almost all the time. They are often hundreds of miles apart with a totally different evolution for events. Complete outliers from each other. Father and son hate each other. I think it really highlights how worthless deterministic guidance really is in the extended. The v16 does have some physical changes to the model this time around, but it's not wildly different than the v15. Honestly you could probably run the v15 twice and get different results too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: I think it’s been awful for some time. V16 probably too cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: V16 probably too cold. It could be but its more inline with the meso's and Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 11 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I think it really highlights how worthless deterministic guidance really is in the extended. The v16 does have some physical changes to the model this time around, but it's not wildly different than the v15. Honestly you could probably run the v15 twice and get different results too. LOL oh yeah that's a certainty! Chaos theory simulator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: V16 probably too cold. Do you think the depiction on the models showing me downsloped into oblivion are overdone on this one? Doesn't seem like due south winds, more SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: LOL oh yeah that's a certainty! Chaos theory simulator. GFS still trying to torch the upper levels to QUE........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Do you think the depiction on the models showing me downsloped into oblivion are overdone on this one? Doesn't seem like due south winds, more SE. I think I would like to see more SE flow towards 850mb. But, below that winds to come around to more E-SE which I think is ok for you. I don't think you'll be choking on exhaust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 1 hour ago, backedgeapproaching said: I'm sure this isn't news to you guys locally, but cover was definitely spotty when I was on I-91 and I-90 yesterday. South of about Deerfield Mass coverage went down pretty quickly. Brattleboro VT still had 10" solid eveywhere. Medians on highways are going to torch first obviously, but long stretches of nothing. Yes that's pretty accurate and I feel areas just east of here and in lower elevations are even a little bit worse. The map below confirms as I'm just west of that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 Seasonable 43F currently.` Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Seasonable 43F currently.` Damn. Makes my 29° look like the arctic. 45° in the closed off run with clear corrugated roof panels on the south side. Think I’ll nape in there with the birds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 21 here under full sun. Not a cloud in the sky. Pretty impressive in a sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 15 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said: Yes that's pretty accurate and I feel areas just east of here and in lower elevations are even a little bit worse. The map below confirms as I'm just west of that area. That snow coverage map really shows the lingering effects of the 2/1 event well in eastern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 I like this one better, It shows how little pack there is along the coast and coastal plain for February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 Cold day today. Still at 34. Full pack. Between 4-8” depending on sun / shade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: I like this one better, It shows how little pack there is along the coast and coastal plain for February. I actually have the most snowpack of the season outside of the mid December fluff that compacted down within 48 hours. Pretty solid 5 inches on the ground, but I'm losing like 0.5" a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 36 here. We toss Bob's temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 Just woods and shaded spots here for snow. It's funny. Some yards like 4-6", Other's you could plant flowers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 34 minutes ago, PhineasC said: 21 here under full sun. Not a cloud in the sky. Pretty impressive in a sense. You would’ve liked 3/6 in 2007 when it was like 5° in the afternoon with full sun even down here. Difference was we had 40-45mph gusts too. Absolutely brutal when you were in the shade. Looks like BML was -5° in the afternoon after it cleared out. CON,2007-03-06 15:51,KCON 061551Z AUTO 30022G31KT 10SM CLR M17/M27 A3007 RMK AO2 PK WND 32038/1515 SLP191 T11671267 CON,2007-03-06 16:51,KCON 061651Z AUTO 30023G33KT 10SM CLR M16/M27 A3008 RMK AO2 PK WND 29034/1614 SLP193 T11611267 CON,2007-03-06 17:51,KCON 061751Z AUTO 30021G35KT 10SM CLR M15/M27 A3008 RMK AO2 PK WND 30035/1748 SLP196 60000 T11501267 11150 21189 51011 CON,2007-03-06 18:51,KCON 061851Z AUTO 30022G35KT 10SM CLR M14/M28 A3010 RMK AO2 PK WND 30035/1851 SLP202 T11441278 CON,2007-03-06 19:51,KCON 061951Z AUTO 31020G31KT 10SM CLR M14/M28 A3013 RMK AO2 PK WND 28037/1855 SLP211 T11391278 CON,2007-03-06 20:51,KCON 062051Z AUTO 31021G36KT 10SM CLR M14/M29 A3015 RMK AO2 PK WND 31036/2045 SLP219 T11391289 53022 BML,2007-03-06 18:52,KBML 061852Z AUTO 29010G20KT 250V310 10SM CLR M21/M28 A2999 RMK AO2 PK WND 30026/1805 UPE37 SLP191 P0000 T12061283 BML,2007-03-06 19:52,KBML 061952Z AUTO 28013G25KT 6SM UP CLR M21/M29 A3003 RMK AO2 PK WND 31030/1930 UPB1858 SLP205 P0000 T12061289 BML,2007-03-06 20:52,KBML 062052Z AUTO 29015G28KT 250V330 8SM FEW038 M21/M29 A3006 RMK AO2 PK WND 27029/2015 UPE51 SLP215 P0000 60000 T12061294 53026 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 36 here. We toss Bob's temp. 43° at TAN and EWB too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 41 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 12 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I actually have the most snowpack of the season outside of the mid December fluff that compacted down within 48 hours. Pretty solid 5 inches on the ground, but I'm losing like 0.5" a day. It sure is solid, Its like trying to melt a glacier after some of these most recent sleet bombs we've had, The highest my pack has been this winter is 12" and i'm around 8-9" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 16 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I actually have the most snowpack of the season outside of the mid December fluff that compacted down within 48 hours. Pretty solid 5 inches on the ground, but I'm losing like 0.5" a day. 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just woods and shaded spots here for snow. It's funny. Some yards like 4-6", Other's you could plant flowers. Fell under 10" here....prob some time yesterday (I actually haven't touched the snow stick in days...starting to tilt a little, lol). You can see the pack receding pretty good from the edge of the driveway now.....though the very front of my house which stays shaded is melting out a lot slow. These bushes are just becoming visible, lol. Of course, as I posted yesterday, I've fallen behind winter hill now. I was pretty even with them for a lot of the month given that I did as well as them during the 2/1 event and even better than them during the 2/7 and 2/19 events. But 2/22 was the turning point...they got an inch of slop as a bit of barrier and then the sneaky torch days that followed hit harder here than there. This was winter hill last night...they had a solid foot left up there at least, maybe more in the shadier spots: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Fell under 10" here....prob some time yesterday (I actually haven't touched the snow stick in days...starting to tilt a little, lol). You can see the pack receding pretty good from the edge of the driveway now.....though the very front of my house which stays shaded is melting out a lot slow. These bushes are just becoming visible, lol. Of course, as I posted yesterday, I've fallen behind winter hill now. I was pretty even with them for a lot of the month given that I did as well as them during the 2/1 event and even better than them during the 2/7 and 2/19 events. But 2/22 was the turning point...they got an inch of slop as a bit of barrier and then the sneaky torch days that followed hit harder here than there. This was winter hill last night...they had a solid foot left up there at least, maybe more in the shadier spots: What were you doing there in that driveway ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: 43° at TAN and EWB too. I don't think I have ever seen a 7 degree difference in an environment like this. I salute their torching I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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