mahk_webstah Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 11 minutes ago, weathafella said: And sung by her as well. when you really listen to her music, not only is she a tremendous song writer, but her voice is just something amazing. I"m 57 but just started listening to her music recently. She has a tremendous range of types of music. The sound quality isn't great on this but check out Mama Cass's outfit lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: No George you miss my point. 2nd year big ninas are most often terrible winters here. Yeah I misunderstood your point, I thought you were saying Strong ninas in general are bad. I haven’t dug up the data yet on 2nd year mod-strong ninas yet but just off the top of my head we have 2011-2012, 2017-2018, and I believe there was one in the late 90s that sucked as well. If 2011-2012 is an analog that’s a very bad sign. I would have thought with 2 ninas in a row the Nina pattern would be more “set in” the second year so it would give us better chances and better winter patterns. It seems like the data is indicating the opposite, so how I thought it works is incorrect. Maybe it’s more like Rays load blown south west idea in that a miller a bombing out really far south isn’t necessarily good for us compared to a Miller B that bombs out over Nantucket. For the La Niña maybe the Nina “blows it’s load” and gives a more Nina pattern the first year but by the time the second year comes around the Nina, while still in place, isn’t really driving the pattern anymore. Another tricky aspect of forecasting is climate change, as certain atmospheric drivers that did one thing in the past may not do the same now with the warmer temps. For example a pattern with a bunch of marginal wet snow storms 50 years ago might just give us rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 12 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: when you really listen to her music, not only is she a tremendous song writer, but her voice is just something amazing. I"m 57 but just started listening to her music recently. She has a tremendous range of types of music. The sound quality isn't great on this but check out Mama Cass's outfit lol Nice find! Joni did not age well. A heavy smoker and survived a ruptured brain aneurysm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Nice find! Joni did not age well. A heavy smoker and survived a ruptured brain aneurysm. What a dam shame. :-(. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 We have a sun room at the house---it's really just a roof and supports on the deck (the floor is part of the deck). The walls are entirely windows, essentially floor to ceiling. I think I'm going to name it The Tip Room. With the sun shinining through, the thermometer is reading 80*. lol. Basking in the warmth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: It was nice to have a February that actually was wintry. While it got dicey here after 2/1, we’ve pretty much had snow OTG since late January. At least the first 3/4 of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Easton, what is your seasonal total to date? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Quite the difference in temps at 6z tonight between the Euro and the GFS for my hood. 4°F vs. 16°F, at least according to Pivotal's take: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 1 hour ago, weathafella said: To be fair, recorded history for yby is really paltry isn’t it? 1956. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 1 hour ago, dendrite said: 09-10 we had a lot of stale cold airmasses up here from the blocking. It’s consistently cold, but the arctic shots are more of a maritime arctic than a continental arctic. I think that was part of our problem this year. Then when we did have vodka cold drop out of Canada it dropped its load well to the west. Here is an excerpt from my 2009-2010 log describing this to some extent: 12/31 to 1/3 8" Huge trof, at one point a week before looked like BECS, but southrn stream swung way east then retro to ME, Boston. 2.5 on day one with zipper, then 3 with Norlun, then 2.5 wrap around. Very spotty accums. We did well in Trumbull. Very warm air backed into ME and QE, we stayed bitter cold Sunday with near blizzard conditions at times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm not sad.....season featured a couple of nice events within an overall sea of disappointment, yet again. Seasonal call was pretty accurate, February temps not withstanding. Ready for change and reshuffle the deck next year. Snowfall-wise it's been a pretty good winter, we're at like 50" with March to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: How many inches shy of average are you? About 15". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Just now, Dr. Dews said: Snowfall-wise it's been a pretty good winter, we're at like 50" with March to go. It's about average right now, but I'm betting that it finishes below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 That dive bomber from Ontario look has been depicted on a couple of euro runs lately. Somtheing to watch, as this has been a region closed-to-business this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: That dive bomber from Ontario look has been depicted on a couple of euro runs lately. Somtheing to watch, as this has been a region closed-to-business this season. Let's shunt that whole evolution 150 miles west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 We 100% snow covered in New England, straight to the beaches? Good stuff if so. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 31 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Easton, what is your seasonal total to date? 41.5 Avoided 3 below average years. Only 6 below average snowfall seasons this century! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: We 100% snow covered in New England, straight to the beaches? Good stuff if so. Looks like a good snowpack in the Ottawa area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: We 100% snow covered in New England, straight to the beaches? Good stuff if so. By this time next week only the picnic tables covered? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 13 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Here is an excerpt from my 2009-2010 log describing this to some extent: 12/31 to 1/3 8" Huge trof, at one point a week before looked like BECS, but southrn stream swung way east then retro to ME, Boston. 2.5 on day one with zipper, then 3 with Norlun, then 2.5 wrap around. Very spotty accums. We did well in Trumbull. Very warm air backed into ME and QE, we stayed bitter cold Sunday with near blizzard conditions at times. Yeah I wanna say later into Feb too. I remember Will and I talking about how bad the NAM was performing and I had the idea that its domain wasn’t picking up the blocking very well toward Greenland. I lost my data in a hard drive crash, but I recall a lot of 20s for highs and teens for lows that month with persistent wind. Basically a whole lotta nothin. Obviously we know DC was getting crushed with multiple events as well while we either mixed or whiffed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: By this time next week only the picnic tables covered? When are we getting dews? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Just now, dendrite said: When are we getting dews? Three mild days won’t melt it all obviously.. but sunny areas will tickle grass by Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 2 hours ago, dendrite said: 09-10 we had a lot of stale cold airmasses up here from the blocking. It’s consistently cold, but the arctic shots are more of a maritime arctic than a continental arctic. I think that was part of our problem this year. Then when we did have vodka cold drop out of Canada it dropped its load well to the west. Yeah this year we had some bad luck too. Seemed like confluence was just enough to shear out systems coming from the Plains and southern US. The true arctic cold was really only the last two weeks and driven through the west and plains. But you can look at it alternatively. The confluence also helped reduce the cutter potential. There’s a good chance that without the confluence, storms would have been a lot milder for New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 It's amazing how nice a 30F sunny day feels even this time of year. I'm all for a couple more biggies, but please sprinkle some 50F sunny days in between. TIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: It's amazing how nice a 30F sunny day feels even this time of year. I'm all for a couple more biggies, but please sprinkle some 50F sunny days in between. TIA Wednesday.. just for you and Tip to tan. Sit on snowbanks facing north and tilt heads down the ground . By 2:00, necks will be torched red 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Few thoughts on Monday and thereafter. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/02/weak-disturbance-monday-heralds-arrival.html 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wednesday.. just for you and Tip to tan. Sit on snowbanks facing north and tilt heads down the ground . By 2:00, necks will be torched red SW corner of my house and garage...torch city. Add the UV reflection off the siding and maybe we can pull a 5 UVI midday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Few thoughts on Monday and thereafter. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/02/weak-disturbance-monday-heralds-arrival.html I could see some initial sticking issues ASH-MHT-maybe CON with a little insolation and temps just above freezing. Maybe one of those melting on contact dels for awhile and then it becomes a slushy coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: I could see some initial sticking issues ASH-MHT-maybe CON with a little insolation and temps just above freezing. Maybe one of those melting on contact dels for awhile and then it becomes a slushy coating. Yea, the valleys maybe tough everywhere. Hopefully the low end of the 1-2" range covers it....otherwise, I'll live- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 I’d take those up to Metheun to Holliston. And increase amounts Everything ticking colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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