dryslot Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: As long as it’s not over in northern Maine...more sledding to do. For here it is, After this weekend, I’ll be trailering to the Mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Torch next week with a couple days near 50 in valleys and downslope areas . The 26th is OTS it looks like and then the following week looks like a furnace. How's near 50 in late Feb a torch? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: For here it is, After this weekend, I’ll be trailering to the Mtns. I don’t believe that..but your area has gotten boned, so I get your shook mood there. I’d feel the same way. But it’s not over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: How's near 50 in late Feb a torch? Its not, It’s just exaggeration..and fishing for responses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Just now, SnoSki14 said: How's near 50 in late Feb a torch? That's about 10F above normal, even for where I live, for late Feb. I'd call that a torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 17 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: How's near 50 in late Feb a torch? Because we don’t live in SNJ where 50 is below normal in Feb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Morch to start. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 20 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: How's near 50 in late Feb a torch? It's pretty warm for Feb anything. I'd enjoy it thoroughly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Morch to start. This isnt even bad at all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: This isnt even bad at all It's not wintry that is for sure. Hope for something after that. Weeklies look mild. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Morch to start. Get me that, and a fantasy draft and I'll happily log off until cane season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Because we don’t live in SNJ where 50 is below normal in Feb 50 is our norm in mid March. What is yours, mid 40s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Looks like the pattern may be open to a winter threat beyond the first couple days of March or so....bit of western ridging in that time frame. Doesn't look cold, but it's still early enough in the month that you don't need arctic hounds to produce threats. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 6 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: 50 is our norm in mid March. What is yours, mid 40s? ORH avg high on 3/15 is 42F BOS is 45F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Its over. yeah, I just wasn't feeling it last week when models said we had two good chances this week. had they worked out, we would have had a foot this week. maybe we score a good one next month, but any real pack building (not that we have much now) and retention is probably done for our area. Blame it on Phin for moving to NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 16 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: yeah, I just wasn't feeling it last week when models said we had two good chances this week. had they worked out, we would have had a foot this week. maybe we score a good one next month, but any real pack building (not that we have much now) and retention is probably done for our area. Blame it on Phin for moving to NNE. The base will be gone in this warm up, That's the reason for my call for here, Even on a real good season we can't ride local as we have numerous water crossings and hills, May still be able to ride up in Eustis and my plan is to be up there next weekend, Going to ride here local on Sunday as i'm ice fishing tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 14 hours ago, 78Blizzard said: Not February, but what a difference a day makes on the GFS L/R: lol. BGR gains 58° between those two runs. Even that pales compared to Chicoutami, with 67° (37C) change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 9 hours ago, PhineasC said: Last June was super hot though. I think I brought a minor curse on NNE by moving here from a snow hellhole, but my one year penance is already nearly up! Regular climo will return soon. I held off on buying a snowmobile this year and that helped keep us from having a 2015-2016 repeat. Last June got hot but it started cold. Farmington co-op hit 27 on the 1st, tied for their coldest June morning since their records began in 1893. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 We will have chances in March if the MJO goes into the COD or even 8. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Phin venting is great. But I agree with Jspin. Clear away the MA mindset and enjoy the 30+ inches you’ll have out there. No doubt that will be built upon. You’ve been great at acclimating to the ball busting. Enjoy the vibe up there. One last thing, do you take any measurements yourself? You should go out and see what you have on the ground, or for storm totals. Curious how it compares to the COOP dude. You’re near 1400’ right and he’s a couple hundred higher? I’m at 1550 and he is at 1750. I haven’t noticed any major differences in our totals since the start of real winter, aside from he takes better measurements and doesn’t have it thrown off by settling. In the three big synoptic events, I was right along with with him with my unscientific measurements. I think a bigger discrepancy will emerge when things start to get really marginal and that extra 200 feet might mean wet snow versus white rain. Maybe this weekend I will take a core sample and melt it to see what I have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Because we don’t live in SNJ where 50 is below normal in Feb Nearest co-op to where the grandkids live in SNJ is Hammonton, south edge of the pine barrens, and their average temp for Feb is 34°, probably 44/24. Avg max reaches 50 about a week into March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: How's near 50 in late Feb a torch? he's not in NJ. i think you posted in the wrong forum by accident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 5 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I’m at 1550 and he is at 1750. I haven’t noticed any major differences in our totals since the start of real winter, aside from he takes better measurements and doesn’t have it thrown off by settling. In the three big synoptic events, I was right along with with him with my unscientific measurements. I think a bigger discrepancy will emerge when things start to get really marginal and that extra 200 feet might mean wet snow versus white rain. Maybe this weekend I will take a core sample and melt it to see what I have. I think snow depth will become maybe a larger discrepancy moving forward in March since your field is wide open and faces south. I think you said he is heavily wooded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 1 minute ago, SJonesWX said: he's not in NJ. i think you posted in the wrong forum by accident. Lol no I'm aware this is the SNE forum. Just saying near 50 is above normal but not a torch in late Feb even into SNE. The term torch is used far too loosely. If upper 40s are a torch then what happens when it gets into the 60s during a cutter...mega torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Just now, backedgeapproaching said: I think snow depth will become maybe a larger discrepancy moving forward in March since your field is wide open and faces south. I think you said he is heavily wooded. Definitely that aspect. I have a couple protected spots on the north side of the house to compare better to him but he really has a great location for measuring up near the ice gulch path where the land kinda dips downwards almost into a shady bowl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 I'm just not seeing this full blown torch that everyone here is convinced about. Some highs in the 40's sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Mod SN at homeSent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 I wonder if the late week system will work out. Models have gone back and forth between a nice hit vs. Suppressed to NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Just now, EastonSN+ said: I wonder if the late week system will work out. Models have gone back and forth between a nice hit vs. Suppressed to NC. They haven't handled any of these SW systems well. I'll believe it when I see within 24 hours at this point. Same reason I'm not buying d10 temp anomalies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 14 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: I'm just not seeing this full blown torch that everyone here is convinced about. Some highs in the 40's sure. Nothing is worse than 40 to 49. Either snow or 50s plus and sun please. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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