Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 27 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: "which is hopeful." I think a lot of people are just done with the cold and snow. More so than other years. Couped up indoors all the time and can't have any gatherings. Winter can end tomorrow and I'd be happy because it means golfing, fishing, and yard work. Seriously though, the Euro op has three uninteresting >1000 mb lows passing the region. Stat padders if anything. Why is anyone cooped up? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah... agreed winter death- math for dummies and deniers: A The AO/PNA/NAO at CPC are warm signaled by March ( am aware that half the AO members attempt to sag back negative, but that at the end of week two but that is utterly undependable). B The antecedent hemispheric footprint La Nina comes with warm spring climo C The HC wants to expand southern heights at all times ...built in at planetary scope ( A + B + C ) / 3 = ? While all that is occurred/ing/set to transpire ... any given model run that shows a general synoptic distinction that is cold and snowy ... most by lucid problem solving skills be construed as incongruous .. Anomalies nested in anomalies happen from time to time.. .. Like, one may observer 6 months in a positive temperature raging hard-on, but it gets really cold for two weeks inside... That two weeks is a negative anomaly, relative to the longer term warmth - ... So, sure, we could "bowling" ball in March.. .But money down? bet at own risk... Problem is? Knee jerk reactions - taken to extreme and absolutes... Some comes in here and sensibly and rationally gives reason to veraciously conclude along a warm correction vector, and we get this steady stream of 'cancel winter' waving. I think folks should almost expect a balmy expansion away from winter at some point next month... arriving at any time really after the next couple weeks. Whether that times for first, 2nd or 3rd week... whatever. I mean I'm already seeing attempts in the numerical guidance. The latitudes beneath roughly 37 deg across ever E of Denver on the 00z Euro... from D4 on, ...that is spring in the south folks. Like this ICON ...These types of thickness plumes are bubbling out of the south at times now - it's not that this may verify unto itself...it is increasing in frequency in modeling ...a manifestation of all the above, and that fact that winter can't f'ing last for ever - get over it. That's an interesting observation since CPC uses the GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Grain of salt the size of Kev's bald spot: big bomb the 26th that run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, JC-CT said: big bomb the 26th that run I'm sure it will start attenuating at the longitude of Memphis in reality. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Grain of salt the size of Kev's bald spot: Where is the bald spot? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Where is the bald spot? Don't know, but I see multiple s in that picture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Where is the bald spot? There she blows 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: There she blows Bald spots are on the crown of the head like you have where it’s very thin, I have some recession on the temples . Big difference 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 You hate to see the rationalization of complete and total male pattern baldness. A simple bald spot on the crown would have been more tolerable....but no need for the toaster bath. Its more hygenic when you run- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 00z Euro had something on the 26th too. FWIW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 You know things are tough weather wise when we start arguing who's baldness is worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Nope ...same drill ... It'll come in damping to the same bullshit - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: You know things are tough weather wise when we start arguing who's baldness is worse His was just beginning at the first WC conference . By the last it was full combover. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nobody is built for that. Texas looking like a total disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: What does that mean exactly ha ...seriously curious there, what constitutes canceling of winter, in a discrete, comprehensively intelligible definition. I think most would agree that it is cooler now that it will be in July. That is acceptance that it is, in fact, winter. yeah, i don't think you are going to get that here. 1 hour ago, dryslot said: I can tell you what you can do with the blocking. right there with you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 No snow on the 25th please, vaccine day for me. Blizzard on the 26th is good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 The euro para is a nuke for Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 zzzzzzzzz Been boring since the beginning of the month. Can we get a wrapped-up coastal please? Been nothing but weak-ass garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 36 minutes ago, weathafella said: The euro para is a nuke for Monday. A BLNE nuke? Or more of a BLOM nuke? Doubtful it's a BLSW nuke. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 24 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: A BLNE nuke? Or more of a BLOM nuke? Doubtful it's a BLSW nuke. It’s in a decent location but marginal temperatures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: It’s in a decent location but marginal temperatures Got you. Seems like earlier depictions had previously developing overhead, so we missed out on most of what fell. Marginal temps are another problem. Lots going against that one. Some upside potential though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 11 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Got you. Seems like earlier depictions had previously developing overhead, so we missed out on most of what fell. Marginal temps are another problem. Lots going against that one. Some upside potential though. 18z gfs loves a rainy night Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: 18z gfs loves a rainy night Monday. Pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 We are going to have to watch around the 26th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: Take. 2/22 has legs up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: 2/22 has legs up there. That's good, Because we've been dealing with paraplegic storms all year. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 GFS finally with a slightly more exciting depiction for a storm. Let’s get this thing bombing over SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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