dryslot Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 On 2/3/2021 at 12:36 AM, Modfan2 said: Pretty legit cold shot coming out of Canada; does it make it all the way East? Expand We don't want it directly over our heads, I'd rather my storms not get sent to the treasure coast of FL....lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2021 Author Share Posted February 3, 2021 On 2/3/2021 at 12:32 AM, 78Blizzard said: 18z EPS? Expand Sweet 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 On 2/3/2021 at 12:32 AM, 78Blizzard said: 18z EPS? Expand Beer’d Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 On 2/3/2021 at 1:05 AM, Ginx snewx said: Sweet Expand No doubt that’s a sweet look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Is this really happening....I swear I’ll take it all back....from before.... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 On 2/3/2021 at 1:06 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Beer’d Expand Rippin um in Stonington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 On 2/3/2021 at 1:07 AM, NorEastermass128 said: No doubt that’s a sweet look. Expand Problem is it won't stay like that 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 On 2/3/2021 at 1:01 AM, dryslot said: We don't want it directly over our heads, I'd rather my storms not get sent to the treasure coast of FL....lol. Expand Shh, or the UKMET will hear you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 The EPS mean is basically OTS, but I guess it's being skewed by that cluster way to the right. I would prefer a tucked look myself, but I get that most posters here apparently live right on the water near a marina and need the low way off the coast so they catch the northern edge of the deform band... LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 On 2/3/2021 at 12:23 AM, dryslot said: This was 18z Euro. Expand Thanks Jeff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 I'll take the 967mb just east of the cape 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2021 Author Share Posted February 3, 2021 On 2/3/2021 at 1:21 AM, PhineasC said: The EPS mean is basically OTS, but I guess it's being skewed by that cluster way to the right. I would prefer a tucked look myself, but I get that most posters here apparently live right on the water near a marina and need the low way off the coast so they catch the northern edge of the deform band... LOL Expand Fantastic look from the Berkshires to the Monads. Stop being a hog, unbecoming lol 5 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Don’t even need the low that far offshore when there is a good antecedent airmass. This season they just haven’t been around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 it’s the mid-Atlantic viewpoint, scratch and claw for every event. Instead of knowing it’ll snow on top of existing snow, again and again in New England. Hopefully the next couple events bring additional refreshes. Phin dude, you no longer have to wish for snow! With that said, we always hope for a hugger... bring it in close . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 On 2/3/2021 at 2:24 AM, powderfreak said: it’s the mid-Atlantic viewpoint, scratch and claw for every event. Instead of knowing it’ll snow on top of existing snow, again and again in New England. Hopefully the next couple events bring additional refreshes. Phin dude, you no longer have to wish for snow! With that said, we always hope for a hugger... bring it in close . Expand He's been here long enough now. Its pure greed. He's just honest about it, the NNE version of Ray..lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Weather is not a team sport, and we all secretly wish for our backyards to get nailed, no matter what that means for anyone else. Some of us are just more honest about all this than others. Every time I look at the models I am looking for the solution that crushes my house the most. I barely pay attention outside of that. Not sorry. LOL 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 On 2/3/2021 at 2:55 AM, PhineasC said: Weather is not a team sport, and we all secretly wish for our backyards to get nailed, no matter what that means for anyone else. Some of us are just more honest about all this than others. Every time I look at the models I am looking for the solution that crushes my house the most. I barely pay attention outside of that. Not sorry. LOL Expand Lol totally bro.....I get so jelly when I’m not under the the best banding.....like in 2013 I was still jealous of @Hoth in Hamden....not sorry lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 I'm so used to not jacking here that I've somewhat excepted climo. I'm in a valley so I miss out on any elevation driven events. I'm too far north in the valley and more vulnerable to shadowing than say a place like Middletown, but also a bit too far south to jack in most SWFE or the latitude driven " North of the Pike" events. Usually a Kevin to ORH axis outperforms here as well as The NW HILLS to Berks. My seasonal totals average better than the S Coast and parts of SE Mass as I get close to 50", but I usually get outperformed in big events, with the exception of a very rare banding situation like back in 2001 and even last December when I was close to 18" , pretty much a jack for the state of CT. But hell yeah, I'm still rooting for it and get pretty excited on the rare occasion that it does happen. Makes me savor it even more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 GFS still says no to Sunday-Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 On 2/3/2021 at 4:06 AM, 78Blizzard said: GFS still says no to Sunday-Monday. Expand Good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 On 2/3/2021 at 4:10 AM, weathafella said: Good Expand Why is it good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 GFS ‘ native bias issue with N/stream exuberance and overly deep integrate heights on the polar ward side of the polar jet ... causing velocity surplus is subtle but real, all of which makes it more uniquely qualified to fu up that needle thread scenario. I feel more confident in the GFS crushing the field oppressively and erroneously shear stressing it to negligible than I would describing ‘what’ transpires; but I do feel there’s something there. it’s an N/stream dominant circulation type through the period in question ... and you give the GFS of all models that inch it will gladly take a mile’s worth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 On 2/3/2021 at 4:15 AM, Fozz said: Why is it good? Expand Because the medium range bias is to whiff with these storms in a pattern that argues a hugger is more possible. I want the hugger this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Icon is a wound up hugger, decent front end thump for interior SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 FWIW (not much) ICON hugs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Hope to get some powder. It's been a year of man snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 GEFS look like quite a jump NW from 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 What’s up with v16? Has it already replaced v15? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 On 2/3/2021 at 4:33 AM, Thunderblizzard said: GEFS look like quite a jump NW from 18z Expand 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Huge flag when op is a whiff and GEFS aren’t. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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