NorthArlington101 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 NAM stays cold too. Might be legit FRZA at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, DCTeacherman said: If we get striped like that I'm going to be pretty excited. Would be the best event since January 2019. Not sure if this is the right place to sidetrack this thread but.. I'm surprised people don't mention Feb 20 2019 with decent snowfall in that winter. I got 4.0" on the dot here in McLean, so surely a 2-4" event wouldn't be the biggest since the event prior to that. Anyways, I digress, 18z held serve, hoping for the best for everyone here!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: That’s just his birth year (43) and the last year he had sex (68) lol this makes me laugh a lot. thank you. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: Not sure if this is the right place to sidetrack this thread but.. I'm surprised people don't mention Feb 20 2019 with decent snowfall in that winter. I got 4.0" on the dot here in McLean, so surely a 2-4" event wouldn't be the biggest since the event prior to that. Anyways, I digress, 18z held serve, hoping for the best for everyone here!! I'm trying to remember that but I have no recollection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, LP08 said: 3k looks like it has the heaviest stripe a little south of 12z. QPF on both the 3k and 12k NAM was cut in half from 12Z to 18Z up here on the northern edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 It’s a (almost) sure bet that we transition to sleet/freezing rain. Current obs at Canaan are 34.5 and drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, DCTeacherman said: I'm trying to remember that but I have no recollection. I mainly just remember it being progged to be a snow to rain event from like 5 days out. Off and on 3-5" and 1-3" looks but it juiced up pretty well, typical CAD held serve and there was some sleet alongside it too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 This is a spicy panel on the 3k. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Geez, can the NAMs just be right for this one please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 5 minutes ago, George BM said: Not an expert opinion but that line of convection across Kentucky looks more organized than most CAMs have it which may signify stronger WAA just ahead of it which may help us get a stronger thump. I noticed this as well...tons of lightning all day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 35/28 - DP and temp down from earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Well @psuhoffmanthe Westminster crew might be getting fringed now according to 18z NAM. Good thing im down in White Marsh for poker night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 The NAM is dirty....should be all snow for DC in the first wave...maybe some sleet mixed in 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 30 and SN- on the Ring cameras at our place in Deep Creek. Nasty ice storm on tap out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: It’s a (almost) sure bet that we transition to sleet/freezing rain. Current obs at Canaan are 34.5 and drizzle. If you believe the NAMS they do show mix/rain up on top of the ridge and snow for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 3k also advertising freezing drizzle at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 40/22...LFG! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 35/23 nice little drop in dp winds from the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 11 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Geez what time do they run that thing these days? You can run the 12k NAM on your phone in like 20mins 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: 40/22...LFG! SPC has the surface wet bulb draped just south of Alexandria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: 33/ 22 Temps will fall nicely if I can get any qpf. 3k is pretty dry but we'll see . I think up our way the rates might not be quite the same but we'll do okay with snow growth and accumulate pretty much everything that falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 20 minutes ago, George BM said: Not an expert opinion but that line of convection across Kentucky looks more organized than most CAMs have it which may signify stronger WAA just ahead of it which may help us get a stronger thump. A coworker in Cincinnati says it’s been pouring rain all day, heavier than expected 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Very glad to see the dearth of 10:1 maps! Kuchera is a step up, but those will still be a bit generous in an event with such a sizable depth of the lower atmosphere with temps close to 0. It's also worth noting that the 18z NAM and NAM nest both cut down their QPF a bit, relative to 12z... I'm still going with the NAM nest as my model of choice here, and the Ferrier maps will best account for some accumulation being lost to riming with temps so close to 0 at several levels. DC people will be happy that it wants to whiten things there. For the rest of us north of DC, I think it's best to plan on 1-2 and hope that a few places overperform. Anyone expecting widespread 2-4 will likely be disappointed. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 25 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: My two favorite things in one picture. This is amazing. 1 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 31 minutes ago, George BM said: Not an expert opinion but that line of convection across Kentucky looks more organized than most CAMs have it which may signify stronger WAA just ahead of it which may help us get a stronger thump. better not rob our moisture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 latest HRRR is a little mixy in DC and points south and east.....precip could oscillate...the warm nose at 825-850 is pretty shallow and insignificant if it's heavy enough 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 38 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ah, looks like you cooled down. It’s actually 38/26. Cloud angle helping. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 temp down to 35, after a brief high of 36. hope you guys down south jackpot! yall deserve it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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