NorthArlington101 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 3k also advertising freezing drizzle at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 35/23 nice little drop in dp winds from the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 11 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Geez what time do they run that thing these days? You can run the 12k NAM on your phone in like 20mins 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: 40/22...LFG! SPC has the surface wet bulb draped just south of Alexandria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: 33/ 22 Temps will fall nicely if I can get any qpf. 3k is pretty dry but we'll see . I think up our way the rates might not be quite the same but we'll do okay with snow growth and accumulate pretty much everything that falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 20 minutes ago, George BM said: Not an expert opinion but that line of convection across Kentucky looks more organized than most CAMs have it which may signify stronger WAA just ahead of it which may help us get a stronger thump. A coworker in Cincinnati says it’s been pouring rain all day, heavier than expected 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Very glad to see the dearth of 10:1 maps! Kuchera is a step up, but those will still be a bit generous in an event with such a sizable depth of the lower atmosphere with temps close to 0. It's also worth noting that the 18z NAM and NAM nest both cut down their QPF a bit, relative to 12z... I'm still going with the NAM nest as my model of choice here, and the Ferrier maps will best account for some accumulation being lost to riming with temps so close to 0 at several levels. DC people will be happy that it wants to whiten things there. For the rest of us north of DC, I think it's best to plan on 1-2 and hope that a few places overperform. Anyone expecting widespread 2-4 will likely be disappointed. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 25 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: My two favorite things in one picture. This is amazing. 1 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 31 minutes ago, George BM said: Not an expert opinion but that line of convection across Kentucky looks more organized than most CAMs have it which may signify stronger WAA just ahead of it which may help us get a stronger thump. better not rob our moisture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 38 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ah, looks like you cooled down. It’s actually 38/26. Cloud angle helping. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 temp down to 35, after a brief high of 36. hope you guys down south jackpot! yall deserve it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 I know it’s a bit shamed on here but the HRRR is not too enthused with snow accumulation. Basically has the entire area under 1”. Just not any mod to heavy precip. Will be interesting to see if it’s right or if the NAMs are closer to reality Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 So close to game time hopefully nobody gets a sudden case of the runs when the whistle blows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 37/24. Hard to believe this thing had some life in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Something resembling rain drops falling in Montclair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 2 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: 1pm obs 38/24. 1 degree increase in last hour, I think evap will be 50% so that gets me to 31 with steady light-moderate. Aloft seems helpful so might be better than 50% but it’s a safe way of predicting 3:30pm down to 36.9 with 24dp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, SnowGolfBro said: Something resembling rain drops falling in Montclair. PWC not under the WWA so that’s to be expected. This will go up and over us. Actually nothing would surprise me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 DP here is only 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 34 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: 40/22...LFG! we just dipped below 40! but rounding, also 40/22 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 hour ago, Deck Pic said: I'm still 39 at 12th and K....most readings around here are 38-40...dont know about low 40s...seems an outlier... Are you thinking about moving? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 42 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: That’s just his birth year (43) and the last year he had sex (68) Thanks. I look younger than my actual age and the number you posted knocks 6 years off it. And for the second one it’s in hours. 35 minutes ago, mappy said: lol this makes me laugh a lot. thank you. Hush. Ageism is a terrible thing. And his post was so far off it was laughable. So that’s what I did. I laughed. Baro is 30.05 to make this post non banter. Hip hurts so it’s gonna rain 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, H2O said: Thanks. I look younger than my actual age and the number you posted knocks 6 years off it. And for the second one it’s in hours. Hush. Ageism is a terrible thing. And his post was so far off it was laughable. So that’s what I did. I laughed. Baro is 30.05 to make this post non banter. Hip hurts so it’s gonna rain like i will let you live it down. 1943 was a good year, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Temp and dew point ticking back down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 32 minutes ago, high risk said: Very glad to see the dearth of 10:1 maps! Kuchera is a step up, but those will still be a bit generous in an event with such a sizable depth of the lower atmosphere with temps close to 0. It's also worth noting that the 18z NAM and NAM nest both cut down their QPF a bit, relative to 12z... I'm still going with the NAM nest as my model of choice here, and the Ferrier maps will best account for some accumulation being lost to riming with temps so close to 0 at several levels. DC people will be happy that it wants to whiten things there. For the rest of us north of DC, I think it's best to plan on 1-2 and hope that a few places overperform. Anyone expecting widespread 2-4 will likely be disappointed. Dont think DC people will be happy about a whitening. All day this has evolved toward a 2-3” event for most of City and to north and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 36 degrees here currently. Rounding down to zero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 37.1. 3km NAM sounding at 00z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, WEATHER53 said: Dont think DC people will be happy about a whitening. All day this has evolved toward a 2-3” event for most of City and to north and west why do you post here 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, Paleocene said: why do you post here Because I like making observations as the event approaches and during it. If I reject model worship or negative nellies then you will have to deal with it. Now back to observations and let moderators deal with those who interject emotional chastisements 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 35 seems as high as it's going to get in Parkville. Dewpoint at 19. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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