WEATHER53 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Thought this was a weather observation thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Thought this was a weather observation thread?Took my dog for walk. It felt warm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 FWIW, thought the HDRPS and Para looked cold enough. Just gotta will it north. Call your friends in S VA and get them to bring their fans outside and angle them northward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 8 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Thought this was a weather observation thread? 11 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: All bases covered 10 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: You are quite correct Models exist to sustain themselves. It’s all we’ve had for 30 years and they are not looking into any different methods. The very nature of ensembles is to further the cover all bases method such that come funding time one of those 30 panels can be presented as confirmation to the unknowing Dept of Commerce people. Im a weather nut also and let’s face it the cartoons are fun to look at. They are just not predictive of weather but rather illustrative of it Not a troll either but rather experientially seasoned. Used to be 100+ of us clamoring about models back in 2005, over time as the blooms faded participants of regularity have shrunk to 20 all of whom vigorously defend their baby. I thank all of you who helped educate me about 850s and 500 and a Few other things but models and many of the alphabet soup of indexes have not proven to be general fund of knowledge enhancing Thank you for the courage of your comment, more of same is needed even with the chastizements we face Oh no you don't...you started all this by dropping these nuggets for no reason in both storm threads earlier today. You didn't post in banter. And now you want to pull this passive aggressive BS "not the right place" crap because you're rightfully taking a beating for the nonsense garbage you posted. 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEblizzard88 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 105 AM EST Mon Jan 25 2021 MDZ003>006-008-011-503>508-WVZ051>053-251915- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0004.210125T2100Z-210126T1500Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil- Southern Baltimore-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- 105 AM EST Mon Jan 25 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northeast and northern Maryland and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening and morning commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 WB 6Z 12K NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 WB 6Z 3K NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 WB 6Z 3K HRRR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Dang those morning runs look decent right...I mean...are they all wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 this is just a sad joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 8 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Dang those morning runs look decent right...I mean...are they all wrong? Yes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 16 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Dang those morning runs look decent right...I mean...are they all wrong? They were made by NFL officials so some plays they get things right, some plays they don't. Some runs they get right, some they don't. Your job is now to figure out which one will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, H2O said: They were made by NFL officials so some plays they get things right, some plays they don't. Some runs they get right, some they don't. Your job is now to figure out which one will happen. Ahh the old blame it on the refs line....got it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Temp never dropped below 35 last night. Dews already well on their way up with an east wind. Will likely top out around 40 or take and then with full cloud cover that’s that. Even if somehow frozen falls I can’t see it being impactful for the immediate metro. This doesn’t look like a system that screams dynamic cooling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Ha, 3K trying to pull people back in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Been below freezing since about 6pm yesterday (after only making it to 37) so the ground here should be sufficiently cool. I'll take whatever I can get at this point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 I think LWX has a decent handle on this. Certainly the nams hrrr and rgem appear to be the top end solutions for whatever that falls. I mean I'd much rather follow something 12 hours away than 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Lol KOKV with the same temp and dewpoint for the past 10:20 min. Consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Hard to ignore short range models 12 hours from a storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Hard to ignore short range models 12 hours from a storm Not to mention things appear to be juicing up again...not seeing the bone dry expert posts much 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Not to mention things appear to be juicing up again...not seeing the bone dry expert posts much Amped changed his name to Damped now thanks to this storm. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Freezing drizzle here at 28°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 12 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Not to mention things appear to be juicing up again...not seeing the bone dry expert posts much And just looked at the euro and para. Both had big jumps in snowfall. Looking forward to seeing the 6z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Tonight will come down to where the heaviest precip sets up. The NAM's and HRRR come in hot and heavy while the RGEM and HRDPS keep the heaviest south of DC. It's literally a 50 mile difference but that 50 miles will make the difference IMO whether there's a general .5-1" or 2-4". I hope the NAM's are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: There's going to a heavy band set up somewhere south of i70 according to mesos Hi! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 6z Euro cut back a bit on QPF, most pronounced in NOVA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, nj2va said: 6z Euro cut back a bit on QPF, most pronounced in NOVA. What's the precip map look like on the 6z for the event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 25 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Not to mention things appear to be juicing up again...not seeing the bone dry expert posts much the bone dry expert 6z Euro just said HIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, MD Snow said: What's the precip map look like on the 6z for the event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, H2O said: the bone dry expert 6z Euro just said HIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Euro is a trash model 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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