aldie 22 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: We could just have the mind set that the NAM is gonna be right. Some aspect of it probably is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: 3km NAM is in decent agreement with is coarser brother. Has mini snow lollis and dead spots in between lol. Since it has my yard in a lolli i am gonna hug it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, NoVaWx said: Lol, what? Is that the 3k? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 That 18z NAM might be the best digital snow fix we’ll get all week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, jaydreb said: Lol, what? Is that the 3k? 12km Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, NoVaWx said: NAM—please be right for the first time ever. eta: ...for the first time since the creation of (wo)man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, Scraff said: NAM—please be right for the first time ever. I mean, it is in it's wheelhouse.... Anything over an inch would be a win for this one imo. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: Is that model programmed to try and determine the weather for each square foot? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Is that model programmed to try and determine the weather for each square foot? Its a CAM. Good for pinpointing convection(theoretically), but there ain't none of that with this system lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Both the 3k and 12k are hinting at some pretty heavy bands moving from west to east. I'd imagine if someone can manage to get under one of those, rates would be pretty fun and this could be an over-performer for someone. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Looks like a snowstorm coming. Clouds increasing and 35. 6 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Looks like a snowstorm coming. Clouds increasing and 35. Birds hitting the feeders hard. Got a solid mix too. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Looks like a snowstorm coming. Clouds increasing and 35. Is the HP located at the southern tip of Hudson Bay, and is it strong enough? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 5 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Birds hitting the feeders hard. Got a solid mix too. snow birds, sleet birds and freezing rain birds? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Flurries on and off here in Augusta County at 1500’. Hoping tomorrow can trend more frozen and less wet like the 12K NAM as we approach game time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 My new bar for this is just give me some mid-to-late afternoon snow so I can go for a run in it. That's all I ask. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Why would you post realistic snow maps lol. Your bringing me down off my Nam high. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Nice looking flakes coming down here in Waynesboro near Afton... But the temp is 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 9 minutes ago, CAPE said: It's like you're getting some money if it doesn't snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Ok GooFus. Let’s do this! 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Flakes in Winchester now NAM nailed this three days ago lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Flakes in Winchester now NAM nailed this three days ago lolGFS has this activity making it into the metro layer this evening. Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Two notes: 1) Anyone showing a 10:1 map for event like this should have his/her account locked for a month. Sleet and snow are tallied together in the model output field used to make the 10:1 images, so they will automatically inflate when you have a mixed event. Tropical Tidbits has the Ferrier method and the accumulated snow depth change, and Pivotal has the Kuchera. Plausible and reasonable alternatives exist. 2) The 18z NAM nest is noticeably warmer with the 2m temps. It gets the entire area above freezing Monday afternoon, and it barely gets below freezing anywhere (including the Shenandoah Valley) Monday night - not the recipe for a high impact ice storm. The HRRR, though, still suggests a slightly bigger temperature drop for areas well north and west of the cities Monday night. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Squinting. Some very fine frozen coming down here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 not much juice on the goofus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 WOMP WOMP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: WOMP WOMP Checks in the mail dude you nailed it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 22 minutes ago, high risk said: Two notes: 1) Anyone showing a 10:1 map for event like this should have his/her account locked for a month. Sleet and snow are tallied together in the model output field used to make the 10:1 images, so they will automatically inflate when you have a mixed event. Tropical Tidbits has the Ferrier method and the accumulated snow depth change, and Pivotal has the Kuchera. Plausible and reasonable alternatives exist. 2) The 18z NAM nest is noticeably warmer with the 2m temps. It gets the entire area above freezing Monday afternoon, and it barely gets below freezing anywhere (including the Shenandoah Valley) Monday night - not the recipe for a high impact ice storm. The HRRR, though, still suggests a slightly bigger temperature drop for areas well north and west of the cities Monday night. I am only posting maps for the humor lol. This thing has been so dead for most of us. I only want to see a coating, but I am not sure that is possible with the dry air in place initially(and lack of precip), and then the warming upper levels. The whole setup is just pure garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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