Weather Will Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 WB 0Z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z GFS Is there a NAM ZR graphic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: NAM/euro blend works for me. Let’s do this. Tony’s snowfall map during the 11pm news had the 3-6” bullseye over central to eastern Howard fwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Tony’s snowfall map during the 11pm news had the 3-6” bullseye over central to eastern Howard fwiw Probably because he’s favoring the DEEP THUNDER model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, anotherman said: Probably because he’s favoring the DEEP THUNDER model. Maybe, but I mentioned it because WXUSAF lives in that area, and I thought he’d like to know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 43 minutes ago, mappy said: Maybe, but I mentioned it because WXUSAF lives in that area, and I thought he’d like to know. I'd wait for Al Roker's take before drawing conclusions 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 EURO faked me out. Decently colder in the 10-12 hours pre storm but looks slightly warmer this run as precip is falling. Might just be a lack of heavy precip during the initial thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: EURO faked me out. Decently colder in the 10-12 hours pre storm but looks slightly warmer this run as precip is falling. Might just be a lack of heavy precip during the initial thump. Tbh it's not much QPF anyway... by 60 we dryslot or precip shuts off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 38 minutes ago, yoda said: Tbh it's not much QPF anyway... by 60 we dryslot or precip shuts off We? I get crushed with ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 WSWatch issued for NW third of the LWX CWA URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 345 AM EST Sun Jan 24 2021 MDZ001-501-502-VAZ027>031-507-WVZ050-055-501>504-241645- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0001.210125T1800Z-210126T1500Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke- Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Hampshire-Hardy-Western Grant- Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- 345 AM EST Sun Jan 24 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...A wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain is expected. Ice accumulation from freezing rain around or greater than one-quarter of an inch is possible in addition to the possibility of snow and sleet accumulation. * WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, the northern Shenandoah Valley, the Potomac Highlands of West Virginia, and the northern Virginia Blue Ridge Mountains. * WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute Monday as well as the morning commute Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 So euro gave up on the snow idea for Monday? Looks like the nam did as well...feeling like a 32 and rain deal for my hood. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 So euro gave up on the snow idea for Monday? Looks like the nam did as well...feeling like a 32 and rain deal for my hood.Euro gave up on the frozen precip idea in general I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: 13 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: So euro gave up on the snow idea for Monday? Looks like the nam did as well...feeling like a 32 and rain deal for my hood. Euro gave up on the frozen precip idea in general I believe That's a pretty dramatic flip in one run. Good model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 22 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: So euro gave up on the snow idea for Monday? Looks like the nam did as well...feeling like a 32 and rain deal for my hood. Tried to tell people the snow aspect of this one is a bit overblown by a couple of the models...this set up screams decent ice storm for usual spots and just a glaze with 32 and rain for the cities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 That's a pretty dramatic flip in one run. Good model It dried up dramatically but that situation in very different than Thursday storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 The front end thump on the Euro has been shrinking/becoming less impressive over several runs. Its now all but completely disintegrated. I will take my trace of sleet and some drizzle, and look forward to the mid week threat, er collapse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ji said: 21 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: That's a pretty dramatic flip in one run. Good model It dried up dramatically but that situation in very different than Thursday storm What's it gonna take for you to do your meltdown in the banter or panic thread or maybe make your own thread for it? You will get plenty of eyeballs on it i swear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 25 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: That's a pretty dramatic flip in one run. Good model It still has frozen. This wave was always going to weaken as it headed east into the shredder. Models were generally too amped/overdoing the waa precip, and have adjusted. Still decent for places further west(mostly ice), but the further N/NE you go, the weaker the dynamics become. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: Still looks like a snow sleet storm here ( guidance hasn't changed with the minimum zrain idea up here in 48 hours)....but qpf is the only variable changing and the wrong way . Getting drier and drier but I think things juice up a bit in today's runs . Models showing 3 frozen hits in a week now with a day 7 cad setup showing now And somehow most of us will likely only manage a few pity flakes from all 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 WB 12Z 12K NAM Monday evening 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 lol NAM brings back the thump. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 This is going to be a fun Nam run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 WB 12K NAM 10pm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 WB 12K NAM 1:00am Tues 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 WB 4am 12K NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Don’t fall for the NAM. Just don’t do it. Right???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 WB 12K NAM snow totals 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB 12K NAM snow totals Almost in range 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12K NAM snow totals Wrong map, Will. Use this one pls. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 ^Wow that's a lot of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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