Weather Will Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 WB Euro 10 pm Mon 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 All hail The King! 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: All hail The King! I’ll reserve that judgement for 15 more mins 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: All hail The King unless it doesn't show snow for the Thursday storm FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: All hail The King! Pivotal snow map literally bullseyes my yard. Lock that sh-t UP. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Euro gives MBY almost 2.5” of snow on the Kuchera maps....cut that in half and that’s still more than I was expecting here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Nice front end thump on the Euro for those of us north of the DC Beltway, but there is a very sharp cutoff on the precip for the northeastern part of this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: All hail The King! It misses me to the south kinda with that little snow band....then to the north with the second wave after I flip to ice. So...depending on what happens in the next 10 mins this could be an epic dumpster fire run for me lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: It misses me to the south kinda with that little snow band....then to the north with the second wave after I flip to ice. So...depending on what happens in the next 10 mins this could be an epic dumpster fire run for me lol. We fully expect you to go all-Ji on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: It misses me to the south kinda with that little snow band....then to the north with the second wave after I flip to ice. So...depending on what happens in the next 10 mins this could be an epic dumpster fire run for me lol. Snow chase to my yard? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 WB EURO 7 am Tues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Hi Rez Euro is a nice thump up front as well. Starts as sleet out here but flips to snow for everyone north of 66 by 6PM. Run is only out to 61 so far. But looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, clskinsfan said: Hi Rez Euro is a nice thump up front as well. Isn't it just higher resolution maps from the op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Isn't it just higher resolution maps from the op? Yes. Which should be better with precip types and thermals I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, clskinsfan said: Yes. Which should be better with precip types and thermals I would think. Same outcome though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Hi rez stays all frozen North of roughly route 50. Has a lot more sleet than the GFS which would be a blessing IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Its a messy disjointed system. 12z runs generally seem to bring the best band of waa precip in a bit stronger/ further south, as the leftover precip from the original low heads across PA and much of the area is left in between with just light stuff after the initial 'thump'. NAM, CMC, and Euro all imply maybe a couple inches of snow/sleet here even. GFS completely sucks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 15 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It misses me to the south kinda with that little snow band....then to the north with the second wave after I flip to ice. So...depending on what happens in the next 10 mins this could be an epic dumpster fire run for me lol. Honestly this gives me more hope for Thursday. Euro has been terrible with this event too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Its a messy disjointed system. 12z runs generally seem to bring the best band of waa precip in a bit stronger/ further south, as the leftover precip from the original low heads across PA and much of the area is left in between with just light stuff after the initial 'thump'. NAM, CMC, and Euro all imply maybe a couple inches of snow/sleet here even. GFS completely sucks. Yup, GGEM and Euro are way better with thermal profiles in general. Got to favor them and then add in 3k NAM tomorrow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: I don't remember that one, but 22 years ago, so meh. I don't think it is even possible for DCA and BWI to get a major ice storm these days outside of some kind of crazy anomalous setup not seen in decades. Like sustained --20s and 30s up at my house in Randolph filtering towards down here. This year is far from it. Wait you have a house in Randolph? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 55 minutes ago, MacChump said: Wait you have a house in Randolph? Wrong forum, bro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricanegiants Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 So, there are more updates coming from the banter threads. Did i miss a transition? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 13 minutes ago, Hurricanegiants said: So, there are more updates coming from the banter threads. Did i miss a transition? Everyone is quietly getting plastered waiting on the 18z 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 18 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Everyone is quietly getting plastered waiting on the 18z I was going to save this 120 for tomorrow...oh well. 18z NAM looks "icy" Still thinks my yard is going to max out on the little snow that falls lol. We know that cant be right. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Actually I think its says -2.5. Ok I'll buy that. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Now that it’s coming in range I think 3K NAM is the way to go with this one...I just don’t see the onset being snow with the timing mid afternoon and the low that far west. 3K starts as sleet/ice for cities then goes to rain after a few hours. Definitely could be a fairly significant ice situation for the usual spots with this one though but I just don’t buy the couple inches of snow that some modeling has spit out with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue sky Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 4 hours ago, PhineasC said: 95% of the population lives near I-95. There hasn't been a real ice storm in that zone since 1994. You are basically in a totally different climate zone from these people. Greatest ice storm of all time. My young family and I were skiing at Waterville valley in New Hampshire. The night before the storm hit Philly the temperature hit minus 32 degrees at Waterville. The next morning it was 20 degrees in Philly. And poring rain. We drove home two days later and the freezing line with ice was brutal. We lost several trees north and west of Philly. Everyone lost trees. The second greatest ice storm happened around 2011-2012. A little north of us. Closed 78 and Lehigh university. A bunch of my daughters Sorority sisters came to stay with us. That was not to bad. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 The trend for drier continues, esp the further north you go. The wave is moving into lots of dry air and high pressure, and looks to dampen. This is what i thought would be the most likely outcome a couple days ago, but the models trended the other way. Now trending back towards weak/de-amplified. This has been the case with nearly every wave attempting to move eastward in this current pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 12 minutes ago, CAPE said: Actually I think its says -2.5. Ok I'll buy that. this always amuses me 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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