wxdude64 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 I compromised when we built here, I had my eye on a lot on airport road at 3200 +- elevation. Ended up here at 1300 and, well you can guess the differences. That lot is for sale again, the guy that bought it never built on it. If I was planning on staying here I'd be in line to purchase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22, 2021 Author Share Posted January 22, 2021 N/W folks, enjoy. I been here long enough to know when to cash out. Coastal plain will get some flurries, then quick sleet then a cold rain for the duration 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 minute ago, Paleocene said: looks like a slopfest for the cities but maybe M/D and north hold? That 1022 thing to the SE isn't helping 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Not any better than 06z for the cities and close burbs. Smidge worse, really. Bleeding continues. Bet it'll look alright for the favored spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ji said: euro starts as as snow in the N/W Burbs Right on the line of pink and blue 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 15 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: My wife gave me the "are you kidding me" look about 2 years after we moved and she found out why I love Reisterstown so much. Having 600 ft+ elevation really helps in marginal events. Try convincing your wife to buy a cabin up in Redfield NY. Mine thinks it's a weekend place...but hoping to make it a permanent residence at least for a couple of years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Try convincing your wife to buy a cabin up in Redfield NY. Mine thinks it's a weekend place...but hoping to make it a permanent residence at least for a couple of years. Only take her in summer until you are ready to make your move for permanency Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 4 minutes ago, wxdude64 said: Only take her in summer until you are ready to make your move for permanency wouldnt take much coin https://www.realtor.com/realestateandhomes-detail/35-Beaver-Creek-Rd_Redfield_NY_13437_M36122-55107 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Fringed, but who cares? It's weak sauce anyways. A miller B with a 997 primary. Jackpot east of ohio is 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 I think the bleeding has stopped with this 12z suite. Hopefully our thermal profiles can edge a bit better, but hopefully we’ve already seen the high water mark for the warmer air. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I think the bleeding has stopped with this 12z suite. Hopefully our thermal profiles can edge a bit better, but hopefully we’ve already seen the high water mark for the warmer air. Rule 46 of this area, "CAD strengthens as we get closer to the event." 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 17 minutes ago, Amped said: Fringed, but who cares? It's weak sauce anyways. A miller B with a 997 primary. Jackpot east of ohio is 6". Kind of an odd little band of heavy snow on the front end literally a few miles to my NE. If that's real I need it to expand a tad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Looks like a busy 4/5 day period and models showing every possible outcome from ideal 997 off va beach to central lakes cutter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 32 minutes ago, Amped said: Fringed, but who cares? It's weak sauce anyways. A miller B with a 997 primary. Jackpot east of ohio is 6". What are you smoking? 2” would be huge 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: Id be okay with this. At this point I'll even take sleet and I hate sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 14 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: What are you smoking? 2” would be huge thats NOT what she said. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 10 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Looks like a busy 4/5 day period and models showing every possible outcome from ideal 997 off va beach to central lakes cutter. Which model shows the lakes cutter? You know what’s crazy about this crusade of yours...you set an impossible standard so you can complain about the guidance. And yes we don’t know exactly where the rain snow line will set up for the overrunning wave Monday night. Could be somewhere between DC and Harrisburg. But if we didn’t have NWP we would have no freaking idea what Monday was even going to look like yet!!! And next Thursday...maybe it ends up a NC event and Maybe DC but before NWP we wouldn’t have any clue there was even a threat of ANYTHING on the east coast that day. Before satellite and NWP when some of the smartest meteorologists applied only your techniques a 48 hour forecast was like a 7 day one today. There were huge busts back then with no lead time. But instead of focusing on the amazing advancement we’ve made...the fact we even know there will be two waves next week...you want to go all Paul Bunyan and rail against the evil chainsaw. Why don’t you learn how to use the new technology and supplement your old school methods instead of complaining incessantly about it! Btw still waiting for you to ever contribute a day 5-10 forecast that beats the ones generating with the aid of guidance. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 minute ago, H2O said: thats NOT what she said. It is if she's a saint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, North Balti Zen said: It is if she's a saint. the lights were off 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 50 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: What are you smoking? 2” would be huge Is that what you tell all your dates?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 congrats to me 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 congrats to me the early Monday stuff has shown up on various runs over the past few days. Might be the close burbs best shot at accumulating snow that won’t immediately get washed away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ji said: congrats to me and me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 lol NAM Although the Euro has that nice front end band over this way too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: lol NAM Although the Euro has that nice front end band over this way too. watch us get more snow for this horrible event than the Thursday 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Pretty good summary here from Mount Holly- A messy setup all around, from the synoptic structure of the storm system to the actual surface weather conditions. Low pressure tracking out of the Mississippi Valley region will become highly elongated and likely separate into a weakening parent low tracking west of us and a developing secondary wave over or just south of us. This will lead to a fairly prolonged precipitation event. The precipitation will mainly be driven by warm advection, but that lift source is going to be weakening, and consequently so will the precipitation shield. So may be a case of a long duration but mainly light intensity event. Given the weakening dynamics and lack of strong warm advection, as well as a northeast as opposed to east or southeast surface flow, am skeptical about how much plain rain will become involved outside of the southernmost zones. Currently feel frozen ptypes will be favored in most areas, though that could certainly include a good deal of sleet and freezing rain in addition to snow. Considering the relatively modest expectations for QPF, have an early suspicion of an advisory level event in most of the area, but still a lot of details yet to be determined. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 My current forecast is snow/sleet/freezing rain ending as light rain Tuesday morning. Times are lean, so if I can get a decent coating of something frozen on the ground, I guess I am good with that. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: My current forecast is snow/sleet/freezing rain ending as light rain Tuesday morning. Times are lean, so if I can get a decent coating of something frozen on the ground, I guess I am good with that. Truth right there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 14 minutes ago, CAPE said: My current forecast is snow/sleet/freezing rain ending as light rain Tuesday morning. Times are lean, so if I can get a decent coating of something frozen on the ground, I guess I am good with that. Yup. I imagine most of us S&E of 95 who got nil in Dec would agree. I'm good with anything other than 38 degree rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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