Weather Will Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 WB 12K NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Nam coming in colder upstairs to start. This is nearish BWI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 12k NAM looks onboard with the thump. Surface looks slightly warmer but 850s slightly colder. Hopefully the NAMs smarter brother joins in. 3k a little warmer but nice to see the 12k join the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 3k a little warmer but nice to see the 12k join the euro. 3k is great for MD. Think it was a step in the right direction. Plenty of time for this to get colder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: 3k is great for MD. Think it was a step in the right direction. Plenty of time for this to get colder. Very nice trend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: 3k is great for MD. Think it was a step in the right direction. Plenty of time for this to get colder. Wondering how much though is sleet vs snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 @poolz1 We got named. Lol (Purpled) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 WB 0Z 12K NAM: trending up as the event nears! Maybe a sign of a wintery week ahead! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Almost 4” on the 3k? I’ll take the under here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Wow. 4.3 over my yard. That’s more than the GFS gave me for Thursday. Hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, Chris78 said: @poolz1 We got named. Lol (Purpled) lol... heck yeah man, ill take it. Def juiced up that WAA thump...probably the reason thermals looked better. Felt great today with the first real CAA day of the winter...windy and just barely got above freezing. Seems like a pretty stout airmass in front of this. 22/10 right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 NAM/euro blend works for me. Let’s do this. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 16 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Don’t do it y’all. The NAM always has that one run to get you excited just to make the fail hurt worse. I Don’t begrudge it, that’s the whole reason for its existence. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: NAM/euro blend works for me. Let’s do this. E/E rule? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 psu is right. That’s way too good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: E/E rule? NAM is still at range really. Precip starts in about 40-45 hours. I’d like to see those thermals hold or cool a bit, but 2-3” with some crust works for me. I’d also take the 5.5” the 12z euro gave me. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 I'll take the 00z NAM and run... yes please. I'll take the Euro as well... and yes... EE rule lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Wasn’t it the NAM that red flagged an earlier storm and everyone discounted it showing rain? Hopefully it will work in reverse with this storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Wasn’t it the NAM that red flagged an earlier storm and everyone discounted it showing rain? Hopefully it will work in reverse with this storm. Yes, the December storm. Can’t remember how far out it had that run where everything changed. It’s worth noting that this is a pretty big change too, in the upper levels. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 8 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Wasn’t it the NAM that red flagged an earlier storm and everyone discounted it showing rain? Hopefully it will work in reverse with this storm. Yes, I posted this yesterday. When the globals were still showing significant snow accums for the big dec storm the nam had clued in on the r/s boundary being sharp and along 95 generally. It got it right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, yoda said: I'll take the 00z NAM and run... yes please. I'll take the Euro as well... and yes... EE rule lol I remember at PSU in the late 90s when we had model diagnostic discussions in the weather station with Jon Nese and he didn’t trust that “new ETA model” and relied on the NGM. Then twice in a row the ETA schooled him/it and he changed his tune lol. Now I feel super old. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I remember at PSU in the late 90s when we had model diagnostic discussions in the weather station with Jon Nese and he didn’t trust that “new ETA model” and relied on the NGM. Then twice in a row the ETA schooled him/it and he changed his tune lol. Now I feel super old. Don't worry...I recall the old Eta model...and actually using the NGM while working at a private forecasting company many years ago!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 I remember super storm 93 they forecasted this big snow storm almost 2 weeks out. then a week out they were calling for a blizzard. Makes one wonder how they could forecast that accurate a week out back in 93. Now its like they cant tell you whats going to happen they say its to early to tell on a lot of news stations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, Ruin said: I remember super storm 93 they forecasted this big snow storm almost 2 weeks out. then a week out they were calling for a blizzard. Makes one wonder how they could forecast that accurate a week out back in 93. Now its like they cant tell you whats going to happen they say its to early to tell on a lot of news stations. The Superstorm was a perfect setup. That’s why it was probably a one in 100-200 year storm. I would think that setup is easy for models. Just like the severe outbreak in 2011. An absolutely perfect setup. Made the forecasting of it easy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 maybe true but in 96 I got another big snow even bigger then 93. 93 for me was like 25 inchs 96 was 28. but the overall coverage I think went to the 93 storm. Also for march the storm had like 2 weeks of crazy cold weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 GFS still wants no part in any type of front end snow thump. I’d side with the Euro/NAM thermals at this range though IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 GFS still wants no part in any type of front end snow thump. I’d side with the Euro/NAM thermals at this range though IMO.Gfs is broken bro. It can't even give us snow with a 981 at Hatteras and cad lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: GFS still wants no part in any type of front end snow thump. I’d side with the Euro/NAM thermals at this range though IMO. Gfs is broken bro. It can't even give us snow with a 981 at Hatteras and cad lol We get April-style CAD in late January now, don't ya know!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 4 minutes ago, nj2va said: GFS still wants no part in any type of front end snow thump. I’d side with the Euro/NAM thermals at this range though IMO. Gfs is broken bro. It can't even give us snow with a 981 at Hatteras and cad lol It only broken until we get to Thursdays bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now