A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 idk man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 48 minutes ago, mimillman said: I thought you gave up on this 2 hours ago for Indy. Now you're in for Indy? I see a small but real chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 21, 2021 Author Share Posted January 21, 2021 I'm actually getting drawn back in. . Just hope its not ice:thumbsdown:this isn’t your ballgame, champ.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: I'm actually getting drawn back in. . Just hope its not ice Probably a better shot at ice than significant snow in Indy. But even the band of ice could end up north... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Someone is going to get a good storm with this look 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Probably a better shot at ice than significant snow in Indy. But even the band of ice could end up north... I see the ice maps don't have a good feeling for Kokomo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 minute ago, StormfanaticInd said: Someone is going to get a good storm with this look A+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Can anyone post the euro ice maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 minute ago, ILSNOW said: Well if I miss the snow could have my 2nd ice storm of the 2020-2021 winter season lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Re: lake enhancement on the western side of Lake Michigan Typically in these setups, you sort of take it for granted that there will be enhancement that starts on the western shore of WI/IL and then swings into Indiana and perhaps Michigan as the low level flow backs as the storm departs. But in this case, that is actually not being modeled. The low level flow does not back, which would mean that the lake enhancement/effect could keep going in some form on the IL/WI side even after the storm departs, though likely in diminishing intensity as the synoptic support is lost. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 As currently modeled there is almost no support for true lake effect snow in IL or IN. Coldest low level temps stay well N in WI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Ukmet had a plume, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Final frame of the 18z NAM. Taken with a grain of salt but it seems to be further south with the northern stream vortex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 21, 2021 Author Share Posted January 21, 2021 As currently modeled there is almost no support for true lake effect snow in IL or IN. Coldest low level temps stay well N in WI. There most definitely would be enhancement, even in a marginal setup.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: As currently modeled there is almost no support for true lake effect snow in IL or IN. Coldest low level temps stay well N in WI. It could be more of an enhanced vs pure lake effect thing, as moisture/inversion heights come down when the system departs. Whatever you want to call it, I think it could result in a few to several inches more snow near the lake compared to inland areas of IL/WI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 LOT long-term AFD out, nice and short as usual from me Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 6 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: LOT long-term AFD out, nice and short as usual from me Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Wish we had someone like you at NWS here in DTX! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: LOT long-term AFD out, nice and short as usual from me Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Read it. Weather porn to say the least. Don't think Mchenry will get through it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: LOT long-term AFD out, nice and short as usual from me Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk I hope you know that I tell my coworkers that we talk, and then forward them your AFDs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 6 minutes ago, blizzardof96 said: Final frame of the 18z NAM. Taken with a grain of salt but it seems to be further south with the northern stream vortex. What does this mean in translation lol? (I cant believe I'm asking someone to extrapolate the nam ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, michsnowfreak said: What does this mean in translation lol? (I cant believe I'm asking someone to extrapolate the nam ) Would mean farther south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 6 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: What does this mean in translation lol? (I cant believe I'm asking someone to extrapolate the nam ) It would probably have a low track fairly similar to the 12z GFS. My opinion is that the GFS/NAM shift towards a ECM/GEM/UKMET/EPS look as we move forward. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 3 hours ago, Baum said: Agreed. Every model now depicts a sizebale accumulating event. Was not the case at 12Z yesterday. Not for me! Sizeable rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 GFS side to side to 12z Euro is pretty damn close to identical.. Might cave here on the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 minute ago, chuckster2012 said: Not for me! Sizeable rain.. was not specific to any particular region. More relating to a more standard winter event with Heavy Snow, Freezing Rain, and Rain depending on your proximity to the low pressure area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 10 minutes ago, Baum said: Read it. Weather porn to say the least. Don't think Mchenry will get through it. Likely a miss south for me, so I'll manage, I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, AWMT30 said: GFS side to side to 12z Euro is pretty damn close to identical.. Might cave here on the 18z run. a consensus on those two 4 days out is the kiss of death. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 6 minutes ago, AWMT30 said: GFS side to side to 12z Euro is pretty damn close to identical.. Might cave here on the 18z run. GFS won't cave until within 72 hours. In that time Alek will call a bust, McHenrySnow will claim miss south 3 more times, and StormfanaticInd will be given false hope. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, McHenrySnow said: Likely a miss south for me, so I'll manage, I'm sure. negative vibes. It's the chase and the hope that's all part of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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