Radtechwxman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Well these trends are no beuno for my neck of the woods. At least on euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 9 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: fantastic euro run but it can stop moving north lol Do the modeled Chicago crushers ever trend south at this distance (rhetorical question) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just opened a fortune cookie, it said "luck is coming your way". Two feet locked. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snohio Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I'm ready for this to go north of my area, but I hope I'm wrong. That cutoff could be rough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 11 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 18z Euro. Still snowing from E IA into MI. . 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 72 hours from onset here, watches out tomorrow evening? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Do the modeled Chicago crushers ever trend south at this distance (rhetorical question) Great question. Wondering this myself. Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 9 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Do the modeled Chicago crushers ever trend south at this distance (rhetorical question) Lol. That’s without the typical last minute jog north too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Definitely liking where I sit at this point. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Any recommendations for paid weather model sites? Thinking of subscribing to one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 15 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Do the modeled Chicago crushers ever trend south at this distance (rhetorical question) When the calendar hits Feb the last 4 yrs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I dont think I've seen an output like the 18z euro for this area inside of FH100 maybe ever. If I have, it's been since GHDII, but I think that only spit out 10-12" out this way with higher numbers east. Fridge caliber run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I assume there's a pretty decent amount of freezing rain south of the heaviest snow on the 18Z Euro run? Asking for a friend...that friend is me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Any recommendations for paid weather model sites? Thinking of subscribing to one. Stormvista only 20 bucks a month 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 Skilling must be getting tingly or senile...He mentioned the JMA on air. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 To be clear, I don’t think this is a 12-18” set up even in the main band, wherever it set up, be that Chicago, northern LOT, Madison, Indianapolis, or more likely than Indianapolis, one of Saturn’s moons. However, I do like a widespread 6-12” in that band and up to 14” for jackpot. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Skilling must be getting tingly or senile...He mentioned the JMA on air. Heard that. He also didn't want to settle on a preferred model.. Waiting for an average of all. He's getting conservative in his old age Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Good evening y'all, just got back from the office a bit ago. Fun shift. Would be happy to answer any LOT specific questions if anyone has any. Regarding who's working in the lead up, I'll be back on evenings with Ratzer tomorrow through Monday and I expect I'll probably be doing evening update AFDs. Our midnight crew is the same as last night (Carlaw and Kluber) and it'll be them through the event. Dayshifts will be MTF and Petr. We should be in good hands. Glad that we stayed the course with the most consistent guidance in terms of our forecast lean and messaging in light of guidance trends already for 18z cycle. Here's to a good 00z cycle. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 minute ago, RCNYILWX said: Good evening y'all, just got back from the office a bit ago. Fun shift. Would be happy to answer any LOT specific questions if anyone has any. Regarding who's working in the lead up, I'll be back on evenings with Ratzer tomorrow through Monday and I expect I'll probably be doing evening update AFDs. Our midnight crew is the same as last night (Carlaw and Kluber) and it'll be them through the event. Dayshifts will be MTF and Petr. We should be in good hands. Glad that we stayed the course with the most consistent guidance in terms of our forecast lean and messaging in light of guidance trends already for 18z cycle. Here's to a good 00z cycle. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Thanks for the update. Any discussion on mixing issues near the lake? Or southern sections? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckyweather Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I expect I'll probably be doing evening update AFDs.over/under on likelihood of event caliber that allows you to write a special post event article?https://www.weather.gov/lot/2011blizzard 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 9 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Skilling must be getting tingly or senile...He mentioned the JMA on air. Man I miss seeing him on TV. Grew up watching him. Haven't been able to watch the past several years after WGN America removed the news from their lineup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, cyclone77 said: Man I miss seeing him on TV. Grew up watching him. Haven't been able to watch the past several years after WGN America removed the news from their lineup. Can stream it on their website.. just have to watch an add first Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 18z EPS Mean... Bumped north.. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 7 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Good evening y'all, just got back from the office a bit ago. Fun shift. Would be happy to answer any LOT specific questions if anyone has any. Regarding who's working in the lead up, I'll be back on evenings with Ratzer tomorrow through Monday and I expect I'll probably be doing evening update AFDs. Our midnight crew is the same as last night (Carlaw and Kluber) and it'll be them through the event. Dayshifts will be MTF and Petr. We should be in good hands. Glad that we stayed the course with the most consistent guidance in terms of our forecast lean and messaging in light of guidance trends already for 18z cycle. Here's to a good 00z cycle. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Getting excited for this one. Good 00z cycle will really pump the hype train. Especially if the euro doubles down and the GFS continues the NW ticks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Let's hope the NAM and the Mesos get good looking tonight as well! I am ready for the wild ride! Let's get that Winter Storm from Chicago to Detroit fellas! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 26 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Any recommendations for paid weather model sites? Thinking of subscribing to one. Weatherbell! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Feels like it’s been forever since I have been eagerly awaiting model runs late in the evening. If nothing else, it’s nice to have the “thrill of the chase” again. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 6 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 18z EPS Mean... Bumped north. . Oh mama 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Which premium weather sites have the 18z euro and 18z gem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 over/under on likelihood of event caliber that allows you to write a special post event article? https://www.weather.gov/lot/2011blizzardGetting close to 100% for a top news story barring a horrible crapping the bed of this setup, since we do event pages even for light to moderate events. Chances for a historic event we'll be talking about years from now and be updating for anniversaries, let's say 10% right now. I don't want to rule it out, because at this lead time from GHD II, I can't recall anyone thinking historic amounts were in the offing, and we'll certainly have the moisture in place if it all works out right. For us starving Chicagoland snow enthusiasts, even getting it to perform to something like the EPS and GEFS ensemble means will be a feat in and of itself and I think it will be a fondly remembered event even if it's not historic. Edit: And speaking of the GHD I page, we're hoping to be able to update it to our current tabbed interface and add some new images such as a recreation of the snow amounts using our current graphics generation software for the 10 year anniversary. If anyone has suggestions for additions to that page, let me know in a PM or in the new past snowstorms thread. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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