mimillman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 16 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Is slower timing allowing more influence from northern piece to keep it from coming further north? Initially models were showing a stronger northern wave suppressing system altogether but that changed. Meh, it's possible, but I'll let someone who's more qualified analyze the 500mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 10 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Another huge positive, haven't even had to think about posting the eurythmics They do have a version of winter wonderland. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 hour ago, mimillman said: In case anyone missed the 00z EPS. Have a feeling those purples will expand eastward as models start to pick up more lake enhancement signal. Think models underdoing cold sector QPF still. The Gulf is wide open. MMhmm. 6z EPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 26 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Tone sincere, your post have been good and joe started the thread but you were first to hype this in the medium range thread so it's yours to win Now back your regularly scheduled programming, I fully expect subsidence hell as fgen band stays 8 miles south In spirit of Chicago sticking together, I'll put up a first call: First Wave: DAB- Main Event: 5-10" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 12z will be a big cycle in terms of starting to pin down some details. Really looking forward to getting into high res range and dissecting each 15 mile swing run to run. Regardless, looks like a solid warning event incoming for most of LOT. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Good morning! Yes today's 12z runs are quite big! I am excited!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 22, 2021 Author Share Posted January 22, 2021 12z NAM is going to bump north.. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 ^ call me when we get the amped 20" solution. Than I'll know it's a real event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEILwxbo Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, Baum said: ^ call me when we get the amped 20" solution. Than I'll know it's a real event. That’ll be 00z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 25 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 12z NAM is going to bump north. . Looks further SE to me 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 ez toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, mimillman said: Looks further SE to me I imagine chicago storm flipping his desk over right about now 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 22, 2021 Author Share Posted January 22, 2021 12z NAM is going to bump north..Or not.. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Nothing to see here, just your run of the mill casual 500 mile shift southeast from the NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 6 minutes ago, mimillman said: Looks further SE to me by a WIDE margin. Getting Nam'ed. Classic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 22, 2021 Author Share Posted January 22, 2021 12z NAM is going to bump north..Northern stream further north and a bit slower and SW trough more consolidated and a bit faster early on suggested a bump north.However, SW trough elected out further south and faster, which resulted (among other things) in SE shift.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, mimillman said: Nothing to see here, just your run of the mill casual 500 mile shift southeast from the NAM If this is the beginning of the Late February 2020 vanishing trend 2.0, I may give up model watching and start a weather tarot card business. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Hard not to believe this has completely slipped away from the northern tier of LOT counties. Chicago still in it and still a ways to go, but I've never felt good about my chances and sadly there hasn't been anything to convince me otherwise. And now Sunday looks like a complete waste as well. Ah, the winter of my discontent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 minute ago, McHenrySnow said: Hard not to believe this has completely slipped away from the northern tier of LOT counties. Chicago still in it and still a ways to go, but I've never felt good about my chances and sadly there hasn't been anything to convince me otherwise. And now Sunday looks like a complete waste as well. Ah, the winter of my discontent. 1/3 on the miss south claims. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 There's the suicidebooth.gif run from the NAM. Knowing how it struggles when the key features are mostly outside its domain space, definitely too early to put stock into it. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Not concerned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Keep in mind- this is long range for the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 If the NAM scores a coup, gotta say, it will have had a phenomenal season with regards to large scale synoptic events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, ChiTownSnow said: Keep in mind- this is long range for the NAM Oh, yes, NAM certainly doesn't factor into my thoughts at all at this point. Writing has been on the wall for the far northern tier. Even LOT agrees, they removed the likely wording from our forecast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 22, 2021 Author Share Posted January 22, 2021 Oh, yes, NAM certainly doesn't factor into my thoughts at all at this point. Writing has been on the wall for the far northern tier. Even LOT agrees, they removed the likely wording from our forecast. The writing is not on the wall for the northern tier. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 22, 2021 Author Share Posted January 22, 2021 Keep in mind- this is long range for the NAMExactly. It’s literally just getting into range of the system.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 4 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: The writing is not on the wall for the northern tier. . I don't think they learn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Slow is the new game in town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 The writing is not on the wall for the northern tier. .Yep, if anyone has been following the under the hood analysis, the northern burbs are definitely not out of the game. Key thing to watch on the globals today is the track of the 700 mb low. Often times when mesoscale banding sets up, there can be one pretty well displaced to the northwest of the h7 low track.@weathafella can attest to this "mid-level magic" from east coast systems. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, mimillman said: I don't think they learn I've learned not to get my hopes up. It's served me well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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