Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Discuss Could be some nice wind and rains in SNE. NNE could cash in on some snows which would be welcomed for the winter enthusiasts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Let's see who wins on the snowfall track as GYX is looking at a colder solution and CAR is seeing a warmer solution where their service areas intersect GYX VS CAR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Ready to chase 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 I have a feeling based on past forecasts, CAR maybe closer to reality than GYX with this one given the latest storm track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, Greg said: I have a feeling based on past forecasts, CAR maybe closer to reality than GYX with this one given the latest storm track. Gyx is never shy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 I have 5" OTG right now. I am figuring on 4-6 here in a thump, followed by some cold rain/dryslot that pretty much obliterates or pancakes the new snowfall, followed by 3-5" of upslope. I am hoping to end the entire event with 7"+ of glacier OTG. That will be a win in this wonderful winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: I have 5" OTG right now. I am figuring on 4-6 here in a thump, followed by some cold rain/dryslot that pretty much obliterates or pancakes the new snowfall, followed by 3-5" of upslope. I am hoping to end the entire event with 7"+ of glacier OTG. That will be a win in this wonderful winter. I will take the over on 7" of pack for your spot after this event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, bch2014 said: I will take the over on 7" of pack for your spot after this event. Agreed....I'll bet his net gain is 6"+....he will have probably close to a foot or more on the ground afterward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 8 minutes ago, bch2014 said: I will take the over on 7" of pack for your spot after this event. Just now, ORH_wxman said: Agreed....I'll bet his net gain is 6"+....he will have probably close to a foot or more on the ground afterward. That's my secret weenie forecast guys... for the board I only provide my thoughtful, restrained forecast. The Northern Greens bread 'n butter crew said I was was being too much of a weenie on this event and had to chill. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 I like where I am for this event. NAM and GFS both pumping out 2-2.5" of QPF here the next 2 to 3 days. How much of it falls as solid vs. liquid will make a big difference with respect to snowfall. My gut tells me the front end is a 6-8" blue bomb here that turns to some light rain or drizzle in the dry slot tomorrow followed by several more inches of upslope on the backside tomorrow night into Sunday. As such, a foot plus is not out of the question here even if we do get a little rain tomorrow after the heavier precipitation moves out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 43 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ready to chase Woodford, VT at 2.4K looks great! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, wxmanmitch said: Woodford, VT at 2.4K looks great! The elevation is great , soundings looks so close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 7 minutes ago, wxmanmitch said: I like where I am for this event. NAM and GFS both pumping out 2-2.5" of QPF here the next 2 to 3 days. How much of it falls as solid vs. liquid will make a big difference with respect to snowfall. My gut tells me the front end is a 6-8" blue bomb here that turns to some light rain or drizzle in the dry slot tomorrow followed by several more inches of upslope on the backside tomorrow night into Sunday. As such, a foot plus is not out of the question here even if we do get a little rain tomorrow after the heavier precipitation moves out. You're golden!! Definitely jealous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: The elevation is great , soundings looks so close too far south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Inland runner? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 nam looks warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 hour ago, TheMainer said: Let's see who wins on the snowfall track as GYX is looking at a colder solution and CAR is seeing a warmer solution where their service areas intersect GYX VS CAR Its the low track right thru the middle of the county that's the issue over towards CAR, NW areas are to the west of the low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 I figure I mght get a few flakes, maybe measurable then it will be washed away, along with my remaining snow from earlier this month. Net loss of about 1"...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Icon definitely coming in colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ready to chase Enjoy that 6"...It's the only 6" you've got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 I anticipate a messy 1-2" atop the current 5, followed by 1"+ RA at 36-38°, leaving 2-3" of armorplate and a driveway suitable for the Bruins to play on. Also, our "upslope" is generally limited to a few clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 hour ago, Whineminster said: too far south It’s close . Gfs even hits Berks with 8-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 I have a Winter Weather Advisory. Last time that happened I got 19.8 inches. I am not holding my breath waiting for a repeat of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 12z Euro drops 15"+ here through 36. A blue bomb. Even cut in half that would be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: 12z Euro drops 15"+ here through 36. A blue bomb. Even cut in half that would be awesome. Lock it from you NE, 8-12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 All the models have been quite persistent over the same area for warning snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 @HoarfrostHubb we could get 0.8", or 8".....we'll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 40.4°! Torch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcap77 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 17 minutes ago, dryslot said: All the models have been quite persistent over the same area for warning snows. Does 10:1 count sleet as snow? Seems like most areas in southern/central NH (mine included) would bust low because of the mixing factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, mcap77 said: Does 10:1 count sleet as snow? Seems like most areas in southern/central NH (mine included) would bust low because of the mixing factor. Sleet is not factored in that algorithm, So you would have to cut the totals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now