Kmlwx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 14 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: The GFS is the 7th circle of hell if you like light ZR with temps in the mid-20's @Eskimo Joe - has been "hoping" for a catastrophic ice storm for many years now. Or maybe hoping is the wrong word. He wrote about how bad a serious, serious ice storm could be a while back if my memory is correct. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, Kmlwx said: @Eskimo Joe - has been "hoping" for a catastrophic ice storm for many years now. Or maybe hoping is the wrong word. He wrote about how bad a serious, serious ice storm could be a while back if my memory is correct. 16 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: The GFS is the 7th circle of hell if you like light ZR with temps in the mid-20's 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 18 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: The GFS is the 7th circle of hell if you like light ZR with temps in the mid-20's Oh shit. That’s exactly what you and I were discussing yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Love how cmc/gfs all trending towards icons progression with an arctic/stalled front. Now the exact position of the tpv is gonna determine what happens. Need as Far East as possible or stretched out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said: I'd pay money to see that verify 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 The GFS has a high of 4 on the 14th 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Yikes on the 12z cmc. Has front ender same time period as icon and then has wave after wave with CAD stuck all the way down into the southeast. Verbatim would be an historic ice event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Pretty big ice storm for western areas day 7. GFS CMC and Icon all have similar solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 21 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Oh shit. That’s exactly what you and I were discussing yesterday. It has that "Look" for a pattern that would support the potential. That, and snow squalls as the PV pivots to the east over Ontario and we get a strong PVA signature with the push of the arctic boundary. Both are on the table with this one. GFS and ICON show basically a pure ice hell scenario. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 12z GEFS looks cold and more suggestive of snow than ice for our region late next week. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 13 minutes ago, Amped said: Pretty big ice storm for western areas day 7. GFS CMC and Icon all have similar solutions. Eh. Who needs power anyway? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: 12z GEFS looks cold and more suggestive of snow than ice for our region late next week. Having the feeling that tracking that threat won't be easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, JakkelWx said: Having the feeling that tracking that threat won't be easy. There are possibly multiple threats embedded in the period beginning mid week. It has the look. It sure won't be boring. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 The whole 12Z run of the CMC is 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 So many possibilities. Anything is on the table. Could we possibly have two 48 hour event within 2 weeks of each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 What a weenie run the 12Z GFS is for the Winchester area. Snow on snow on snow. 3 storms in a week. Book. it. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Icon knows what's up 1 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Big changes on euro so far, should be a similar progression to the rest of the globals today. Well see if it stays cold enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Much more elongated TPV, should be interesting if cold can hold once energy out west comes east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Icon knows what's up Fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just gotta hope too much of the ULL energy doesn’t get dumped west since that’ll raise heights Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Not liking this trend, models consistently underdoing the SE ridge in Day 5-10 timeframe. Best we can hope for is a thump, then a lot of rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, Amped said: Not liking this trend, models consistently underdoing the SE ridge in Day 5-10 timeframe. Best we can hope for is a thump, then a lot of rain. We need some ridge or it’s cold and dry. Euro is snow to prolonged ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 The Euro on this run consolidates the PV with a rotation back west into Manitoba. That'll allow for a higher amplitude ridge to develop east of the Mississippi and lock the cold air to the north and west. It's the most aggressive model run showing that depiction at range, but is something that is obviously still on the table. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: We need some ridge or it’s cold and dry. Euro is snow to prolonged ice. Exactly. You don’t want the TPV over eastern Ontario or Quebec unless you want very cold and dry. And that is arctic air ahead of whatever storm forms. CAD is going to be supercharged. At this point, it’s just clear that there could be a high impact and long duration winter wx event late next week. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Eeeeh! Three Globals advertising ice event! I am sure we will see some changes! Not looking good though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: We need some ridge or it’s cold and dry. Euro is snow to prolonged ice. It is good for the I81 crew. I 95 is getting mostly liquid out of that setup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, Amped said: It is good for the I81 crew. I 95 is getting mostly liquid out of that setup. Liquid with temps in the 20s 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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