Ji Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:00 AM, yoda said: 00z ICON signaling overrunning HARD Day 6 into 7 Wow... what a fookin run Expand yea that looks like PD2 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:02 AM, stormtracker said: Overrunning thing might be legit. Showing up on most modeling Expand ICON then pulls in a coastal as a special treat after the overrunning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:00 AM, yoda said: 00z ICON signaling overrunning HARD Day 6 into 7 Wow... what a fookin run Expand Yeah, you weren't kidding. And there was still more after the run stopped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:02 AM, Ji said: yea that looks like PD2 lol Expand It does actually. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:02 AM, Ji said: yea that looks like PD2 lol Expand We'd have like another 6 to 12 hours of snow to go if ICON was right lol at the end of the run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 That should hold for another 6 days. Can't possibly see anything going wrong 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:03 AM, yoda said: We'd have like another 6 to 12 hours of snow to go if ICON was right lol at the end of the run Expand its amazing how the tone of this forum changes when we are in a good pattern. Everyone gets along and we all sing kumbayah 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:04 AM, stormtracker said: That should hold for another 6 days. Can't possibly see anything going wrong Expand Big ones show up early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 We gotta pick a thread. Is it 7 day or inside 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:04 AM, stormtracker said: That should hold for another 6 days. Can't possibly see anything going wrong Expand actually storms like this tend to hold more than "phasing storms". Looks at the huge moisture fetch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:05 AM, stormtracker said: We gotta pick a thread. Is it 7 day or inside 7 Expand It starts at like 156/162 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:05 AM, stormtracker said: We gotta pick a thread. Is it 7 day or inside 7 Expand Starts in less than 7 so I posted it in the other thread initially Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:06 AM, nj2va said: Starts in less than 7 so I posted it in the other thread initially Expand Ok. Folks, post about the potential overrunning in the 3 to 7 thread. Gonna move posts before this to that thread. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:05 AM, Ji said: actually storms like this tend to hold more than "phasing storms". Looks at the huge moisture fetch Expand December 2016 didn't get that memo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Going to have to repin the thread then @stormtracker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:08 AM, psuhoffman said: December 2016 didn't get that memo Expand dec 2016 was like 80 degrees on Christmas. Or was that Dec 2015? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 look at the Bob Chill Face 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:09 AM, Ji said: dec 2016 was like 80 degrees on Christmas. Or was that Dec 2015? Expand no that was 2015. December 2016 was when we had that 30" overrunning storm for like 3 runs then the STJ remembered it was a nina and just disappeared. It ended up a weak arse 1-2" wave instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:15 AM, psuhoffman said: no that was 2015. December 2016 was when we had that 30" overrunning storm for like 3 runs then the STJ remembered it was a nina and just disappeared. It ended up a weak arse 1-2" wave instead. Expand Wasn't that 2017? I just remember it coinciding with the Arctic blast and also my weenie self coming off of willing that December 9 storm northwest (and continuously posting those absurd GFS outptus) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 GFS looks like it could have it to, but start later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:22 AM, stormtracker said: GFS looks like it could have it to, but start later Expand The PV dives too far SE and its going to suppress it if I had to guess on this run. But people that just want to enjoy DRY FRIGID arctic cold will love this run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:15 AM, psuhoffman said: no that was 2015. December 2016 was when we had that 30" overrunning storm for like 3 runs then the STJ remembered it was a nina and just disappeared. It ended up a weak arse 1-2" wave instead. Expand Yeah it was 2015. I think it literally hit 80 F in Fayetteville NC where I was. There were merry mosquitos for Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just looking at THIS run...way too far out to worry about details 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Holy 0z ICON... Unrelated question: Would a NW trend also move the rain-snow line NW too? I feel like that should be obvious, but my brain doesn’t work well right now. I wrote the word example earlier as “expmple”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:25 AM, psuhoffman said: The PV dives too far SE and its going to suppress it if I had to guess on this run. But people that just want to enjoy DRY FRIGID arctic cold will love this run! Expand Yeah, it has something, but nothing at all like the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:27 AM, stormtracker said: Yeah, it has something, but nothing at all like the ICON Expand There is a LOT of potential next week...a series of waves along the arctic boundary. Thing is...the people rooting for that crazy cold to blast in here would not like that result if they want snow. The threat for storms is along the edge of the arctic boundary. We want that PV up to our NW not diving down into us. It would be great it if would break off a peice and dig in and phase and we could get a monster storm up the coast...but absent that we want it out of the way and to be along the edge of the arctic cold not deep into it. If it dives into the east and we have sub 0 temps we are likely not getting a snowstorm. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:05 AM, nj2va said: Big ones show up early. Expand That’s why @stormtracker is here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 4:15 AM, psuhoffman said: no that was 2015. December 2016 was when we had that 30" overrunning storm for like 3 runs then the STJ remembered it was a nina and just disappeared. It ended up a weak arse 1-2" wave instead. Oh yea. I was so bitter. How does an stj just dissappear. Some of the snowfall totals were crazy. That was between Christmas and new years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Uh.. for a day 7 signal.. woof 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 5:16 AM, Cobalt said: Uh.. for a day 7 signal.. woof Expand Heck, check this 24hr panel. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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