caviman2201 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 North trend right up to gametime for NYC jack? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, osfan24 said: I don't remember the individual storms, but I just remember in the weeks leading up to the two big February storms, there was a few minor systems that ended up overachieving by quite a bit. There was like a three week stretch where I think I ended up with 70 inches of snow or something ridiculous like that. Remember when we overachieved on the clipper before the '16 storm? The commutageddon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Euro is actually somewhat slower than the NAM FWIW. It's just by like 6-12hrs, but obviously given the temp constraints it's huge since it has mod/heavy snow falling near noon compared to when the NAM has it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 is there anything stopping a NW surge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, blueberryfaygo said: Weenie rule #468 Big Storm in the long Range Lose it OTS in the medium Brings it back in the Short Range Checks out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: wow brutal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Guys the Euro is on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: This really does feel like a area wide winner Just now, caviman2201 said: North trend right up to gametime for NYC jack? With a fast moving storm and a pretty mediocre stale airmass ahead, this is totally thread the needle. And I doubt we’re done with the NW trend. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: Remember when we overachieved on the clipper before the '16 storm? The commutageddon. Yeah, that was fun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 This OBV isnt a big event but if we can get the rates and get this to hit predawn into the mid morning, maybe we can pick up another 2-4/3-5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: With a fast moving storm and a pretty mediocre stale airmass ahead, this is totally thread the needle. And I doubt we’re done with the NW trend. True, but nighttime start could help... weenie rule 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: Guys the Euro is on board I have some news about Prince...are you sitting down? 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: Remember when we overachieved on the clipper before the '16 storm? The commutageddon. Thought commutagedon was in Jan. 2011? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: wow brutal Better than the 0" it had before tho 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: With a fast moving storm and a pretty mediocre stale airmass ahead, this is totally thread the needle. And I doubt we’re done with the NW trend. Agreed. Was just about to say...it'll probably keep shifting NW...maybe to the point where we get worried, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueberryfaygo Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: wow brutal Well the good news Ji is that the heavy stuff is down in Virginia so if it corrects a couple more ticks north.. we are good to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Euro is actually somewhat slower than the NAM FWIW. It's just by like 6-12hrs, but obviously given the temp constraints it's huge since it has mod/heavy snow falling near noon compared to when the NAM has it. Luckily it seems like the Euro is certainly the slowest out of the models showing a hit. Will have to see if the progression speeds up since that certainly detriments the snow totals for the metro in the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 EPS should be fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Thought commutagedon was in Jan. 2011? There was another one where a storm was underforcasted and dropped 2'' of snow and it was in the 20s during rush hour. Because everyone was focused on the 2016 blizzard in two days no one knew about this one and it caused huge traffic jams. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Monday went from a high in the 50s to a high of freezing on the Euro. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 The more amped this storm gets the stronger the storm gets it seems. I think it's possible for some more N/S interaction. Won't last super long but could be some heavy rates potentially. Definitely room for improvement 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: There was another one where a storm was underforcasted and dropped 2'' of snow and it was in the 20s during rush hour. Because everyone was focused on the 2016 blizzard in two days no one knew about this one and it caused huge traffic jams. Oh dang I don't even remember that one for some reason! (guess because of the blizzard, lol) Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ji said: is there anything stopping a NW surge Not really. Yes in terms of the boundary but there is nothing to stop that from shifting and the typical bias on these progressive frontal waves the final 72 hours is more amplified and north. Even the euro. Think of those waves in Feb 2017 and 2018 that looked good for us at 48-100 hours and ended up a big snow for central PA. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Agreed. Was just about to say...it'll probably keep shifting NW...maybe to the point where we get worried, lol Honestly I think that’s quite possible. Good news here is that it’s only 72hrs away and there’s definitely fast flow, so hopefully not TOO far NW. @psuhoffman should be pretty stoked. I’d wager more on a typical fall line type of boundary here in snow amounts than a jackpot in southern MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Huge shift on the GEPS, FWIW 12Z: 00Z: 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Even though it’s a totally different storm this feels a lot like Jan 2010 The council nods in approval. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Thread be started 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just booked my hotel at the Breezewood truck stop 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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