yoda Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 10 minutes ago, yoda said: Well now I kinda see why looking at the individ members... P013 or P016 please lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Icon ftw 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, yoda said: p13 Let the NW folks get fringed for once lol. 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 FWIW, 06z ICON has 2-4 inches just west of i95 corridor and N and W for the rest of the region Previous run at 00z had nothing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, yoda said: FWIW, 06z ICON has 2-4 inches just west of i95 corridor and N and W for the rest of the region Previous run had nothing Given the usual lack of cold, this is how it will go down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I always love when PSU says "we" don't want big cold because it ends up dry, except that is usually the only way it works out for the coastal plain, esp lately. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 19 minutes ago, CAPE said: I always love when PSU says "we" don't want big cold because it ends up dry, except that is usually the only way it works out for the coastal plain, esp lately. I'll agree to a point. Gimme cold that gets down as far as SC so that the baroclinic zone isn't too far away. Get some storms to ride that and throw precip over top the cold. Cold smoke. Otherwise big cold needs to be coming at us just right so we can clipper a few inches Tucked and wrapped and big dog miller Bs can go eat the ass of someone at a chili cookoff in the summer. 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 The trend toward a more amplified solution has officially begun. Said this like 4 days ago, but a nice little 1-4” type storm is the most likely outcome this Sunday if it does hit. Timing of precip also shifting a bit in our favor for colder temps. If this is a daytime storm, we’re likely in trouble. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 6 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I thought the Sunday storm might come back. Nice shift on the gfs / gefs/icon and hopefully 6z or 12z Euro hops on. Didnt see Eps yet . Models always need a little time to adjust after a big storm has exited stage right to get a grasp on the 500mb setup moving forward. Nothing about this setup screams suppression for Sunday anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 FWIW 6z 12k Nam does get light precip into the eastern shore on Sunday morning. Anybody got the 0z ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Think the 95 crew likely has the best shot here at getting precip heavy enough to overcome the borderline column. Wouldn’t mind seeing the Precip timing shift to overnight for sure 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, MD Snow said: FWIW 6z 12k Nam does get light precip into the eastern shore on Sunday morning. Anybody got the 0z ukie? little too far out to trust a hi-res model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 hours ago, BristowWx said: I know...I was understating it just a tad. Don’t want to get too excited Get excited brother, it's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 hour ago, yoda said: Well now I kinda see why looking at the individ members... P013 or P016 please lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 WB 6Z EURO did shift NW, we will see if it is a trend today... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 15 minutes ago, jayyy said: Think the 95 crew likely has the best shot here at getting precip heavy enough to overcome the borderline column. Wouldn’t mind seeing the Precip timing shift to overnight for sure Temps are problematic for I95 and east. Need it to be amped up enough to gain some latitude and have it close enough to the coast for meaningful precip, but in that case the lack of low level cold is an issue. As usual with only marginal cold air around , the best chance of accumulating snow is NW, assuming precip makes it there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 If the storm this Sunday does come back, I wonder if the previously advertised cold comes back. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: If the storm this Sunday does come back, I wonder if the previously advertised cold comes back. It would be briefly colder behind the storm, but beyond that I doubt the overall progression changes much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 10 minutes ago, CAPE said: Temps are problematic for I95 and east. Need it to be amped up enough to gain some latitude and have it close enough to the coast for meaningful precip, but in that case the lack of low level cold is an issue. As usual with only marginal cold air around , the best chance of accumulating snow is NW, assuming precip makes it there. Of course you have to crap on the threat for the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 48 minutes ago, H2O said: I'll agree to a point. Gimme cold that gets down as far as SC so that the baroclinic zone isn't too far away. Get some storms to ride that and throw precip over top the cold. Cold smoke. Otherwise big cold needs to be coming at us just right so we can clipper a few inches Tucked and wrapped and big dog miller Bs can go eat the ass of someone at a chili cookoff in the summer. This is what I am referring to. The ideal look here would have the thermal boundary somewhat suppressed to the SE. Ofc that scares the NW folks because FRINGED. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, JakkelWx said: Of course you have to crap on the threat for the coast. Nevermind I can see why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, JakkelWx said: Nevermind I can see why Your posts have been a little erratic lately. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Nice trend with 6z euro. Much sharper shortwave. This is a nice surprise let’s keep it going at 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2021 Author Share Posted February 4, 2021 19 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Nevermind I can see why How’s the Arctic outbreak looking? LOL just kidding with you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2021 Author Share Posted February 4, 2021 Come NW baby! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Come NW baby! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: Noooooo This will be yours in the end dw lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Come NW baby! The inside 72 hour north trend is real lol. If there actually is a storm we are probably in a pretty good spot. 5 days out bullseye seems to mean congrats Binghamton lol. The suppression issues in the past was mainly because it was a sheared out POS. Let's do this! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Noooooo A few more bumps NW... not all the way where you get jacked again lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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