North Balti Zen Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Perfect. In some ways, that was the most enjoyable event of that remarkable winter. Right? The collective glee that AM around 7:00 am when it became clear that it was well north of guidance and that glee building over the next few hours as it clearly came north and snow broke out all the way to just across the state line into PA was something I will not soon forget. And then, on top of it all, it was a damn fine snow event. I recall the old meterologist on WBAL TV (he's retired now, John ___) kinda throwing up his hands around 11 AM and saying it looked like seven plus inches was likely now. It was fantastic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 26 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: @CAPE This block is gonna be on steroids: John pretty much summed up in one tweet what I couldn’t in 58 posts, but yeah, elongate the PV, puts low heights in 50/50 region, hp builds in and roll the dice. Still need to time the branches good as always. Doesn’t garuantee anything, but like playing poker you put your chips in when ahead and should do well in the long run. I told my friend 2 weeks ago that if Philly didn’t get an inch of snow in the next 3 weeks I’d go streaking down Broad Street. I’m not there yet for a similar proclamation, but only because it’ll be a lot colder over the next few weeks and no one wants frozen nips 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2021 Author Share Posted February 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: Perfect. In some ways, that was the most enjoyable event of that remarkable winter. I’m pretty sure that wasn’t a coastal though. I think it was a west-east low that put a stripe of snow across Ky and Va that turned just enough to get us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2021 Author Share Posted February 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Right? The collective glee that AM around 7:00 am when it became clear that it was well north of guidance and that glee building over the next few hours as it clearly came north and snow broke out all the way to just across the state line into PA was something I will not soon forget. And then, on top of it all, it was a damn fine snow event. I recall the old meterologist on WBAL TV (he's retired now, John ___) kinda throwing up his hands around 11 AM and saying it looked like seven plus inches was likely now. It was fantastic. I started that day (Friday) with a 20% chance of snow on Saturday. When the 12z models ran they upgraded me to about 50%. When the 18z ran, they put our entire area under a WWA and my pops went to 70%. My county was the lone county in Va not under a WWA or WSW. By about 7 they finally put me in a WWA and the rest in a WSW. Again, only county in va that wasn’t pink. By about 11, they threw me a pity WSW. Worked out great. Had 7”. Was also very cool that the snow started here with temps in the teens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 What if the Jan 31- Feb 2nd 2021 storm is the Jan 30 2010 before the Feb 5th 2010 snowmageddon?? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2021 Author Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, JakkelWx said: What if the Jan 31- Feb 2nd 2021 storm is the Jan 30 2010 before the Feb 5th 2010 snowmageddon?? I’m gonna go out on a limb and say that ain’t happenin 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I’m pretty sure that wasn’t a coastal though. I think it was a west-east low that put a stripe of snow across Ky and Va that turned just enough to get us I just remember it look suppressed, then it looked like it might hit the coastal plain of MD and DE, then it trended NW in the last day or so and ended up a solid event for everyone. That's how it can work with some decent blocking and legit cold in place. No mixing issues except maybe in SE VA or something. I recall it being in the mid teens here from start to finish, no lulls in intensity, and ended up with 7". Loved that day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: I’m gonna go out on a limb and say that ain’t happenin Yeah I know... But imagine if it did. That would be insane. Just talking weenie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 9 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I’m pretty sure that wasn’t a coastal though. I think it was a west-east low that put a stripe of snow across Ky and Va that turned just enough to get us Bah. (And probably). I just recall the modeling being so south for so many days up until gametime... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 I only measured 3" in that 1/30/2010 storm. Just barely made it inside the sharp northern cutoff. I don't think there was much north of Hagerstown with that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, WVclimo said: I only measured 3" in that 1/30/2010 storm. Just barely made it inside the sharp northern cutoff. I don't think there was much north of Hagerstown with that one. I got barely 4" after expecting not much. Westminster just 8 miles to my southwest got 6". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 24 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Bah. (And probably). I just recall the modeling being so south for so many days up until gametime... It may have been a southern slider that ended up a MA slider. It definitely had some latitude gain though as it tracked eastward I believe. I don't think it was straight W-E in its track. I could be wrong. I am sure @psuhoffman can provide the specifics. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Here is h5 for that event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: It may have been a southern slider that ended up a MA slider. It definitely had some latitude gain though as it tracked eastward I believe. I don't think it was straight W-E in its track. I could be wrong. I am sure @psuhoffman can provided the specifics. It was mostly west to east with a slight latitude gain on the coast that was just enough for our area. Still a very sharp west to east cutoff just along the Mason Dixon line. I was down in VA with my brother for that event but up here got 4" while 10 miles south got 6" and only 15 miles north got nothing. You can see the gradient in this image. Also....had a huge expanse of snowfall north to south. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 ICON brings the storm back. Tracks it up the Bay though. Just another OP evolution 5 days out. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Icon has the storm but verbatim its snow to rain. But certainly close enough 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: It was mostly west to east with a slight latitude gain on the coast that was just enough for our area. Still a very sharp west to east cutoff just along the Mason Dixon line. I was down in VA with my brother for that event but up here got 4" while 10 miles south got 6" and only 15 miles north got nothing. You can see the gradient in this image. Also....had a huge expanse of snowfall north to south. Rare bird these days. We sure could do with an event like this. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It was mostly west to east with a slight latitude gain on the coast that was just enough for our area. Still a very sharp west to east cutoff just along the Mason Dixon line. I was down in VA with my brother for that event but up here got 4" while 10 miles south got 6" and only 15 miles north got nothing. You can see the gradient in this image. Also....had a huge expanse of snowfall north to south. Thanks. Perfect training for the subsequent systems to know where to pummel as it turned out... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: ICON brings the storm back. Tracks it up the Bay though. Just another OP evolution 5 days out. Strange track with the low going from the Smokies to the Tidewater of VA, then due north to Nanticoke, before shunting back off the NJ coast. In a positively tilted trough ? With no capture ? Must be the Icon doing Icon-y things. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 That Jan. 30, 2010 storm -- my forecast was 2-4" and my parents in Calvert were 6-10, so I went down there. They got 7.5" and back home in Germantown was 7" LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdsofprey02 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 One of my favorite storms as well. My dog was on WBAL tv news for looking out the window at the snow. There were also a ton of accidents, I remember walking around and photographing some of them for be drivers and emailed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 gfs is starting to cave to the euro. it may not be 18z but the trend seems to have legs 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 GFS did move norther. Still shit tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: GFS did move norther. Still shit tho Yea completely different than cmc/icon/euro blend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 January 30, 2010 was the storm that made the mythology of Jan 25, 2000 a reality, and weenie handbook rule 47, southernsliders can be willed north by sure weenie force of thought. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Paq Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I started that day (Friday) with a 20% chance of snow on Saturday. When the 12z models ran they upgraded me to about 50%. When the 18z ran, they put our entire area under a WWA and my pops went to 70%. My county was the lone county in Va not under a WWA or WSW. By about 7 they finally put me in a WWA and the rest in a WSW. Again, only county in va that wasn’t pink. By about 11, they threw me a pity WSW. Worked out great. Had 7”. Was also very cool that the snow started here with temps in the teens. Not being all that into weather at the time, I was going on the previous days' forecasts and ended up wrecking my truck in the surprise snow that morning! The twin storms of the following February are what got me into following you guys in this forum and becoming a fellow weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Baltimorewx said: Icon has the storm but verbatim its snow to rain. But certainly close enough ICON transitioned to a hybrid miller a/b at the surface with clear characteristics of both with a definite southern draw before a move into the tenn Valley, triple point, then transfer off Carolina coast. When was the last pure Miller A? Serious question, we were discussing in another forum and nobody had a clear answer. Seems most are B or hybrid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: ICON transitioned to a hybrid miller a/b at the surface with clear characteristics of both with a definite southern draw before a move into the tenn Valley, triple point, then transfer off Carolina coast. When was the last pure Miller A? Serious question, we were discussing in another forum and nobody had a clear answer. Seems most are B or hybrid. To hit our region? Maybe Feb 12-14 2014?? At least I think but it couldve been hybrid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 GEFS A hair North compared to 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 14 minutes ago, Cobalt said: To hit our region? Maybe Feb 12-14 2014?? At least I think but it couldve been hybrid. That looks like a Miller A, good call. Those can transfer or redevelop but im pretty certain the defining characteristic is it doesn't really enter the Midwest, OV, Tenn Valley to transfer. That storm u mentioned basically hugged the FL panhandle then jumped off the GA coast. So I would classify that as a straight Miller A and yeah, probably the last true one we've had. Rare for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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