midatlanticweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 There is another storm that seems to show up around the 10th as well.. multiple models pointing to that timeframe! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 EURO has a Day 9-10 storm as well. Could be in for quite a stretch. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anyweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: What a weenie run of the Euro. Perhaps my most favorite words. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 13 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: UKIE at 144 is very appetizing. HM used “triple phaser” responding to that tweet...just sayin... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 12Z Euro (includes today) 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, GATECH said: HM used “triple phaser” responding to that tweet...just sayin.. The Holly Grail of storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, frd said: The Holly Grail of storms Yep, when was the last legit on 1993? Screw everything else, I am only hunting big dogs now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, GATECH said: Yep, when was the last legit on 1993? Screw everything else, I am only hunting big dogs now... I believe so. I believe to get a triple phaser you need intense blocking to combine in dropping and displacing the Arctic jet and polar jets along with the southern jet in perfect harmony. . Also, intense baroclinic energy and very cold temps. Regardless, it appears a powerful storm in the East is possible. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Cold air source still there in 10 days 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Looks like all major deterministic globals (GFS, CMC, Euro) have that storm around Wednesday of next week (Feb. 10), to varying degrees. They all originate from the same general area (around the Gulf, or near TX/LA). The big difference this time is that it doesn't look like we'll be relying upon some kind of lucky or complicated coastal transfer. Rather, a storm attacking very cold air that will be in place. Even the extreme solution of the Euro, which takes a bomb up through the Bay, the DC area looks like it's below freezing (changes to sleet or some kind of mix, but who cares about those details right now?). I haven't seen the ensembles yet, but I would wager they look quite interesting. ETA: My bad (sorry!), the bomb storm that goes up through the Bay on the Euro is later this weekend, not the thing next Wednesday. But everything else is right...all models show something middle of next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 How are we looking on the 12z Euro Ensemble for the Superbowl Sunday storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, ryanconway63 said: How are we looking on the 12z Euro Ensemble for the Superbowl Sunday storm? Not bad. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Not bad. Wow. Even the control mimics the EPS, this far out 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 EPS for this weekend. Still looks a bit offshore but it was even more offshore on the 0z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 yea that looks nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 crazy that the JMA dosent have it 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Yeah...I suppose I'd be happy with a QPF-laden quick-hitter this weekend with a follow-up cold Miller A next Wednesday. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just saw the Euro. Surprised this thread aint' poppin more. Not too worried about that Bay hugger for now. We got storms and storms to track. February should be fun. Hopefully we can make up from yesterday's disaster. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, frd said: Baroclinic energy off the charts next week with this potential event Weird. This frame looks totally different on pivotal. There's no precip down by us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Weird. This frame looks totally different on pivotal. There's no precip down by us The image above shows total precip for the past 6 hours. On pivotal it shows instanteous precip rates at a given time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Nice locations If it snows here in this period I don't think it will be going anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Weird. This frame looks totally different on pivotal. There's no precip down by us You saw that too (on Pivotal)? It did look a little odd, that level of discrepancy. I suppose it's whatever algorithm they use for generating that plot, but that's a big difference and I otherwise can't think why it would be so. But I suppose those details don't really matter...the Euro is the only one (I think?) that blows up the system later this weekend like that; CMC and GFS have a different evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 @WxWatcher007 just tell me who I have to sacrifice to lock this in. Whoever it is I’ll give you a 10 minute head start...then no mercy! 9 7 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Just saw the Euro. Surprised this thread aint' poppin more. Not too worried about that Bay hugger for now. We got storms and storms to track. February should be fun. Hopefully we can make up from yesterday's disaster. My thought that our window might end for 7-10 days after this storm seems dead wrong. With respect to popping ... You'd make a fine closer in baseball. Some of us require more time to recover after being ghosted at the altar. Others live north of us. Off to the other forum, flurries (and not just a stray flurry or two) have commenced in College Park 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 17 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Just saw the Euro. Surprised this thread aint' poppin more. Not too worried about that Bay hugger for now. We got storms and storms to track. February should be fun. Hopefully we can make up from yesterday's disaster. I think a lot of folks are focused on wishing today's radar returns south. Me? I know where I stand with them, so I need to refocus on future potential. We really need to make the next couple weeks count so we can happily fade into spring. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, mattie g said: I think a lot of folks are focused on wishing today's radar returns south. Me? I know where I stand with them, so I need to refocus on future potential. We really need to make the next couple weeks count so we can happily fade into spring. It’s snowing pretty good here. It’s not deathband but keeping the ice fresh. 31. No complaints 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 52 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Not bad. That EPS mean is a REALLY nice improvement over 12 hours ago. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I remember many many years ago seeing some correlation chart that showed temperature correlations by winter weeks for the major indices. And that I thought oddly the NAO didn’t correlate nearly as much as I expected...UNTIL late January or February then it was like the god of indicators. I’ll have to remind myself of that next time we’re warm during a -NAO early in the season. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 21 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @WxWatcher007 just tell me who I have to sacrifice to lock this in. Whoever it is I’ll give you a 10 minute head start...then no mercy! What a map. I assume that covers both the weekend and mid-week next week potential events... 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I remember many many years ago seeing some correlation chart that showed temperature correlations by winter weeks for the major indices. And that I thought oddly the NAO didn’t correlate nearly as much as I expected...UNTIL late January or February then it was like the god of indicators. I’ll have to remind myself of that next time we’re warm during a -NAO early in the season. Well then hopefully that means things aren't at a snow climo armageddon just yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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