NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 GEFS is active next weekend. Probably our next real window. Mean is suggestive. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Here comes Barney. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Really hoping that today is just an appetizer. Even though we’re just missing on max potential today (even for a Miller B/hybrid), getting decently on the board will make potential longer-range letdowns a little easier to swallow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 From southernwx board- the long range gfs 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 8 hours ago, Ji said: i mean it was a very anamaolous air mass. I was frozen the entire storm. Temps between 28-30 in mid Dec! 850 didnt cooperate though but friends close by in Western Loudoun had 8 plus Oh, it was pretty cold at the surface but as soon as I saw problems in the mids inching closer I knew it was over for me. At least for a big storm. I invested very little time in that storm. Literally less than an hour over however many days I looked at it. I'm not a retired weenie or anything. I'm just not investing jack squat into anything unless it's substantial and practically a lock. My life is too short to keep wasting so much time on something that finds every way possible to disappoint 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Damn, thought we'd be getting a cutter at D7. Wonder what happened to that! Guess it wants to snow this winter after all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 14 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Damn, thought we'd be getting a cutter at D7. Wonder what happened to that! Guess it wants to snow this winter after all. As mentioned yesterday, waiting for the Euro to flip to the GEFS side, well , it did ! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 hour ago, CAPE said: Here comes Barney. DAMN..... direct discharge , keep the 7 th to the 12 th open for more snow here . 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Near the 10 th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 EPO region coldest yet this winter, aiming for the East Coast in early to mid February . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Even BAM believes... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 GFS seems to keep trending more suppressed, progressive with next weekend's system. Maybe we can get something out of this? Could be one of those rain-to-snow frontal couple inch deals. 50/50 also sliding into place each run perhaps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Natural gas futures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Maybe - 5 SD Next big event lining up And, the NAO maybe huge reversal here from yesterday. DIVE DIVE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Growing snow cover extent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Day 7 euro pattern is nuts! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Wowowow, pna and a huge block 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Some nice hits on the GEFS next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 hour ago, frd said: Maybe - 5 SD Next big event lining up And, the NAO maybe huge reversal here from yesterday. DIVE DIVE Seems counter intuitive but with an AO prog'd to go that negative, if the NAO keeps diving amwx will need a new weenie subforum for the FL panhandle. Blocking itself doesnt produce storms obviously but every nosedive and relaxation provides a window for a sig storm. Interesting to see just how cold guidance is hinting at now. TPV being very displaced in Feb is productive in our region. You dont have to go far back in history to confirm this idea. Just for giggles as I've literally have only briefly scanned lr guidance off and on all winter so far, and I'm not in tune like the heavy lifters... but... I do see potential for a general idea something like this: Not much of a chance for a big clean storm storm during the period leading into and shortly after the arctic front but some sort of west track cad, modest trailing wave/anafront, or clipper style event would be the most probable way to score something quickly. Unless it backs way off in depth, cold shots like this can really dry things out all over the eastern half of the conus so there could be boring period before the next big chance window opens. Snow could come easy regardless of track too. Need the NS to keep dropping shortwaves relatively close together to maximize the chances and avoid ZR to rain after an extended cold period. No idea whatsoever how active the NS will be but persistance argues against any extended lull in precip/storm chances. IMO- we're only getting started today. I'm expecting a compressed active winter period along the east coast in general thru the majority of Feb. Nothing specific on guidance telling me this. Just my personal experience. This doesnt translate into multiple stacked up events here. It could but not something worth discussing today. This is the first time I'm interested in the LR all season. But I'm busy AF so I'll let you guys sweat the details until something sets the hook in the mid/short range 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 MECS on euro lol , looks like winter is back on the table boys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Incoming on Euro! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Incoming on Euro! Miller A! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Hmmmm.... So today is our January 30, 2010? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 967 mb 507 DM triple phaser. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 So this one would be a true Miller A? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Block looks legit to me on the euro. it would make sense given the constant weak state of the arctic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, JakkelWx said: Block looks legit to me on the euro. it would make sense given the constant weak state of the arctic. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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