LP08 Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Would have expected a little more resistance from moving north and flooding every level with warm air from this look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 the GGEM with a snow to sleet to dry slot thumper with the primary heading towards buffalo. Nice seeing the JV models show meterogically impossible things 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 PARA with some more meterogical impossibiolites. A major storm without precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, Ji said: the GGEM with a snow to sleet to dry slot thumper with the primary heading towards buffalo. Nice seeing the JV models show meterogically impossible things Did you think the GFS classic was meteorologically impossible with that strong low plowing north and delivering an epic rainstorm? Real question not snark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 yay light blue at 198 on 0z EURO to wintry mix at 204 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Euro is...different. I mean, it's not rain. from Blue to Red Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 216 has a 1003mb SLP in C AL and a 1001mb SLP in W MI... its like it split in two after having 1 SLP at 192 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Euro is...different. I mean, it's not rain. from Blue to Red Sped up progression a decent bit too. Also lol at lp taking a trip from south Illinois to north Illinois Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Euro is...different. I mean, it's not rain. from Blue to Red well 210 is freezing rain or dryslot... so i guess we take? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Just now, yoda said: well 216 is freezing rain or dryslot... so i guess we take? Yes, because looking forward to 222, we're about to get a nice slug of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 frozen n and w of i95 at 222 still lol ETA: sounding at DCA at 222 is FZRN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 It's just a messy, weird evolution. But...you know..200 hr+ and stuff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 00z EURO basically says hope you like ice at the end of my run tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 If somebody mentions the storm behind it at 240 is the one, I'm going to slap puppies. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Most of this is the Day 9 into 10 stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Pretty great precip signature, now within 8 1/2 days lp clusters Some pretty great hits in there, the best snow mean since the fluke 12z run yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 @Cobalt I only see 11 of 50 with great hits through 240 Around 22 through 360... I see the mean is 6" through 360 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 3 hours ago, LP08 said: Would have expected a little more resistance from moving north and flooding every level with warm air from this look. Its the PAC side that is overwhelming the pattern downstream. The natural response to that monster trof on the W Coast is to raise heights/ pump a ridge in the SE. Need a larger -NAO block to counter that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 WB OZ EPS.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 I'll take what the 06z GFS is smoking from hr 195 to hr 207 (Mon Jan 25th) and run with 2-4" 992mb SLP up in S MN... but decent snow here? Alrighty then 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 LOL... snow and 24 degrees... right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 06z GFS then decides to cruise in a 1050mb HP into the Plains... cold and dry indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 I'll take what the 06z GFS is smoking from hr 195 to hr 207 (Mon Jan 25th) and run with 2-4" 992mb SLP up in S MN... but decent snow here? Alrighty thenOf course you would take it.....it's like you apply for a job that has a salary range between 80 and 120k and you ask for 50Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ji said: Of course you would take it.....it's like you apply for a job that has a salary range between 80 and 120k and you ask for 50 Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk lol its the only blue you get the entire run anyway ETA: well besides 372 and 378 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 EPS looks fantastical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 The transfer is ideal on the mean. 2 very good runs in a row. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 The transfer is ideal on the mean. 2 very good runs in a row.It be nice to see it on the opSent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 lol its the only blue you get the entire run anyway ETA: well besides 372 and 378 lolI don't want it then. I didn't wait this long for 2-3Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Yesterday I mentioned that issue with the ULL/lower heights rotating west of the block. You know, the post with 15 arrows lol....Well, this is unfortunately the trend last night. This allows heights to really rise. Still, this far out we could see the 50/50 trend better and other things change. All options on the table, but that’s one thing I wasn’t a fan of. This ULL being there helps the ridge build better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 8 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Yesterday I mentioned that issue with the ULL/lower heights rotating west of the block. You know, the post with 15 arrows lol....Well, this is unfortunately the trend last night. This allows heights to really rise. Still, this far out we could see the 50/50 trend better and other things change. All options on the table, but that’s one thing I wasn’t a fan of. This ULL being there helps the ridge build better. I guess it's a chicken/egg thing but the biggest culprit in this is the central PAC ridge blob with the full lat trof centered on the West Coast. Those full lat features are wreaking havoc downstream. If the -NAO wasn't there we would have a severe SER. We r lucky to even have a threat of any frozen at all with that look out West. @CAPE what has been the time frame for the EPS caving to the GEFS this season? Between 156-180 hrs? IIRC it was you that was tracking this. Maybe was @psuhoffman? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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