WinterWxLuvr Posted February 19, 2021 Author Share Posted February 19, 2021 1 minute ago, Scraff said: Tell us more Ron Paul. Sure. Need to process more info between teaching virtual classes LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Of course I like to see that but I have seen that map SO MANY times this winter. It's remarkable in fact how many times models have spit out a very similar map to this. DC on the southern end of a big pink snowfall distribution. I'm going to have nightmares about this map for many seasons to come. Yesterdays event was so odd even up here in NE Philly. I got like 3-4" and then crust, but I drove 15-20 minutes up route 1 here to my grandmothers who got close to 9-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: This is happening Sort of like Field of Dreams: If you say it, it will come 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 9 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Two models going our way. ICON and RGEM Obviously the two you want in your corner when the chips are down. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Obviously the two you want in your corner when the chips are down. I don't know...won't feel totally confident until the JMA comes on board. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Obviously the two you want in your corner when the chips are down. If there's one thing we excel at, it's getting cold air in place just hours before a late-winter storm when the previous days have highs near 60F. #LockItIn 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 So we've got the euro taking next Friday's snow south, GFS getting some snow in here before petering out, Para with dry cold, CMC with a harrowing R/S line through DC, and ICON with a flush hit. Honestly, a week out, not the worst signal for the possibility of something maybe lurking. If it survives the weekend, it'll be worth talking more in depth about. For now though it does not exist in my expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: LOL at Ky, Missouri and Iowa Iowa Southeast. Makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 if the icon storm verifies...no matter what has already happened...i would call this a good winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 GFS shows snow monday 12z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ji said: GFS shows snow monday 12z And then some rain. This one obviously isn’t a big deal but maybe some western folks can pick up a little something to add to their seasonal totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 9 minutes ago, blizzardmeiser said: Iowa Southeast. Makes sense. It's a USGS map, so I'm imaging it has more to do with fault lines and tectonic plates than geography. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Tilt on the shortwave looks improved on GFS so far thru 141 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Full cave by the GFS to the CMC from yesterday. Interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 32 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Yesterdays event was so odd even up here in NE Philly. I got like 3-4" and then crust, but I drove 15-20 minutes up route 1 here to my grandmothers who got close to 9-10" thank god. was worried for you all. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 19, 2021 Author Share Posted February 19, 2021 26 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Obviously the two you want in your corner when the chips are down. ICON smoked the others at range for the past storm. Don’t make me break out maps lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Tilt on the shortwave looks improved on GFS so far thru 141 We can’t take you seriously until you fix your name. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 The GFS looks a lot like the ICON through 153. A little quicker with the sw. But similar for sure. imminent pummeling incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 19, 2021 Author Share Posted February 19, 2021 You guys are loving me right now lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 19, 2021 Author Share Posted February 19, 2021 That my friends is the best gfs look we’ve had. Look at that high position 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Central VA gets demolished this run. Perfect spot for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me. Fool me three times shame on GFS. Fool 146 times in one winter... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 2 hours ago, mattie g said: Too bad we’re not in the Northeast... His primary forecast area is Philly which averages like 1” more then Baltimore and half what I do. People in here act like there is some huge sudden wall that divides snow climo between DC and Philly but in reality it’s a gradual thing up the coastal plain. Baltimore does marginally better then DC and Philly marginally better then Baltimore. Once you get to northern NJ is where you hit a sharper change in snow climo. The bigger divide in snow climo in the mid Atlantic is elevation dependent running NW of the cities. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Central VA gets demolished this run. Perfect spot for us. Not far enough south for perfect location. If the storm was tomorrow and it was there, I would then be fine.. just seems to be seasonal trends! 100+ mile shifts.. not small ones 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 8 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: That my friends is the best gfs look we’ve had. Look at that high position It is in a perfect spot for us this run. Winds streaming in from due north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Fool me once, shame on you.. fool me 25 consecutive times, I need my head examined 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 11 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: His primary forecast area is Philly which averages like 1” more then Baltimore and half what I do. People in here act like there is some huge sudden wall that divides snow climo between DC and Philly but in reality it’s a gradual thing up the coastal plain. Baltimore does marginally better then DC and Philly marginally better then Baltimore. Once you get to northern NJ is where you hit a sharper change in snow climo. The bigger divide in snow climo in the mid Atlantic is elevation dependent running NW of the cities. Historically. Yes. Last few years. Definitely no. Which has created a perception. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 CMC still in for Monday. If anything it looks a little better this run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 19, 2021 Author Share Posted February 19, 2021 There’s no denying us 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 22 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: His primary forecast area is Philly which averages like 1” more then Baltimore and half what I do. People in here act like there is some huge sudden wall that divides snow climo between DC and Philly but in reality it’s a gradual thing up the coastal plain. Baltimore does marginally better then DC and Philly marginally better then Baltimore. Once you get to northern NJ is where you hit a sharper change in snow climo. The bigger divide in snow climo in the mid Atlantic is elevation dependent running NW of the cities. You took my post a little too seriously. Like you, I grew up in South Jersey, so I’m very well aware of the climo up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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