Deck Pic Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 It's not 18z good, but it's still reasonably decent...the storm is slower and less wet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 precip encroaching at 60, a bit slower than 12z .niiice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, Deck Pic said: It's not 18z good, but it's still reasonably decent...the storm is slower and less wet Not out as far as you, but it did seem a bit drier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Hmmm...it's a colder run...might be better than I thought....Western burbs really get mauled 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 3 hours ago, EHoffman said: Meh, I still expect us to go non-frozen at some point for sure. And a bunch of sleet during the day is gonna struggle to accumulate on roads. It'll be sloppy, for sure. I mean the NAM is mostly during the day no? Slop has a hard time accumulating on the roads in DC during the day in mid-late February. Cripes. Anyway, my extra ice melt should be arriving tomorrow. Don't need another skating rink like last time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, Deck Pic said: Hmmm...it's a colder run...might be better than I thought....Western burbs really get mauled I was gonna say, that High is further west at 66, prime position...DC goes over to sleet according to pivotal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Lotta sleet on the Euro, drier than 18z by a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 The euro is a beat down west of 95. Colder column for most, just a tad slower. Good evolution out in front. Euro tends to be the slightest bit slower in these scenarios, but we’re still bleeding in the RIGHT direction with regards to our column. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: precip encroaching at 60, a bit slower than 12z It still seems to be an outlier on how slowly it takes to get precip into our general area. I'd imagine that hurts us a good bit as was mentioned with the 18z Euro discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 It's not 18z insane, but it's still a filthy run...esp in the places you would expect 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Yeah, def not as good as 12/18z. Still a fun storm tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 My first impressions are again better confluence and the storm seems south/weaker but also less thump so less dynamic cooling to help mix our warm layers so it might be a wash. Seems dryer and slower again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, Deck Pic said: It's not 18z insane, but it's still a filthy run...esp in the places you would expect for western folks, yeah. For Urban folks, kind of a letdown, but nothing catastrophic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: for western folks, yeah. For Urban folks, kind of a letdown, but nothing catastrophic. I guess no thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: My first impressions are again better confluence and the storm seems south/weaker but also less thump so less dynamic cooling to help mix our warm layers so it might be a wash. Seems dryer and slower again. We like this run. But I personally want to see 2”/hr rates, not get 5” of snow from 1/2”/he steady snow, we’ve gotten that already. I want the thumpiest of thumps. We’ve kept seeing these in models 48-72h out then watched rates/dynamics lessen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, ravensrule said: I guess no thread No, there will be one...but this sure does shut down the whole "no threads, it'll make things baaad". There was no thread and Euro got drier and less snowier for the urban crew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: for western folks, yeah. For Urban folks, kind of a letdown, but nothing catastrophic. I dont think you necessarily mix until like hour 68-69...at that point you have 5-6"...its a colder run 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: My first impressions are again better confluence and the storm seems south/weaker but also less thump so less dynamic cooling to help mix our warm layers so it might be a wash. Seems dryer and slower again. Is there any reason as to why it's so slow with onset of precip? It's been heading that way for most of the day, which is at the same time going against other guidance. But yes, the thermals overhead improving still inspire some confidence for the general subforum even with a drier solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: for western folks, yeah. For Urban folks, kind of a letdown, but nothing catastrophic. Randy; a 6” letdown? I mean I want to see the 1-2”/hr rates, so in that regard the euro could be better. Column ain’t bad for your neck though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 This is what I expected. Same old places getting the same old goods. Was there any talk of the CMC? Looked pretty warm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 NW of about a leesburg to Westminster line stays all snow this run. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, DDweatherman said: Randy; a 6” letdown? I mean I want to see the 1-2”/hr rates, so in that regard the euro could be better. Column ain’t bad for your neck though. Maybe I'm looking at shitty graphics? And I don't have snow maps. At any rate...folks, a thread. We are well under 72 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: NW of about a leesburg to Westminster line stays all snow this run. So NW of Ji's house right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: NW of about a leesburg to Westminster line stays all snow this run. On this note, the column has seen nice improvements. If we got the euro thermals and gfs evolution... its 10” for a lot of folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 hour ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Is it just me or has lake affect calm down in recent years? I remember when buffalo got like 7 feet of snow once.Is it just me or has lake affect calm down in recent years? I remember when buffalo got like 7 feet of snow once. Yeah they had snowpack into June or something crazy like that. Boston did too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Temp lock so people will move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 6 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: Were you Ralph then? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Weird models.. we have a super powerful warm pattern coming up in the 6-10 day. I wouldn't be surprised if it breaches 70 one day near DC. 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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