Ji Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 That was one helluva gfs runIts super weird seeing the gfs give us snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Yea that was the January one. Was the February storm snow/sleet mix up here? Was all sleet in northern VA. Not sure about here but it was all sleet in Reisterstown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Not buying that warmup behind it on Friday either. Snow cover region wide on the backside of that low I’m betting low 30’s max 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 This thread may reach half a million views. That’s pretty amazing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Gfs really cut back on the primary to our west again. Almost coastalish now. Crazy There are some places in Ohio that went from being rain to being too far NW to get any precip in the last 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 WB GFS 0Z 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Not buying that warmup behind it on Friday either. Snow cover region wide on the backside of that low I’m betting low 30’s max It doesnt last long anyways. Temps plummet later that night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Yea that was the January one. Was the February storm snow/sleet mix up here? Was all sleet in northern VA. Yeah that storm was a huge temp rollercoaster. In CT we had a few inches of snow, heavy rain with temps in the mid 40s, then another inch of snow and a flash freeze. School buses were getting into accidents the next morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 28 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: @WinterWxLuvr Look at the left hand side of the sounding. The bar graph shows omega/lift at various altitudes. The denritic growth zone (DGZ) is marked in red. Super short answer is you want the biggest bars between the red lines. On this sounding car alarms are going off and visibility is -.5 miles. Yes, it's a minus sign. You can only see what happened half a mile ago cuz it's atomic puking Maybe I’m not reading it right but the temp seems to spike between 600-700. And pretty big time too. So it just stays all snow despite that warm layer? Or what am I doing wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 WB PARA 0Z 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, Wetbulbs88 said: Maybe I’m not reading it right but the temp seems to spike between 600-700. And pretty big time too. So it just stays all snow despite that warm layer? Or what am I doing wrong? 600 to 700 is to the left of the freezing line in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, Wetbulbs88 said: Maybe I’m not reading it right but the temp seems to spike between 600-700. And pretty big time too. So it just stays all snow despite that warm layer? Or what am I doing wrong? That warm layer is still below freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Maybe I’m not reading it right but the temp seems to spike between 600-700. And pretty big time too. So it just stays all snow despite that warm layer? Or what am I doing wrong? Look at the 0 line. It moves up to the right. You want all of the bands to be below that line for snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, Weather Will said: WB PARA 0Z A puking followed by a glacier encased in ice. Yeah go ahead and sign me the f up 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Maybe I’m not reading it right but the temp seems to spike between 600-700. And pretty big time too. So it just stays all snow despite that warm layer? Or what am I doing wrong? The freezing line runs diagonal (dotted line) from 0c...not straight up and down vertical. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 CMC is more mixy when looking at it on that crazy site. It does flip back to snow with the coastal. Something that few of the models have done at 0Z tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 hour ago, pazzo83 said: how much for philly? That’s like a 2005 battlecry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 This is still awfully close if not snow for DC up to 0z. Not that I trust the gfs thermals, its a good sign. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 hour ago, pazzo83 said: how much for philly? Almost 25 years ago and you guys still don't let me ever live that one down. Sorry I ever asked. 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 hour ago, WVclimo said: The 12k NAM output for here matches February 14, 2007. 3-6" of snow then 3" of sleet before a quarter-inch of freezing rain. That one was one of the most impactful winter storms I've seen here. Only time I could walk on top of snowpack without breaking through. Just a surreal scene. Epic lake effect around that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Almost 25 years ago and you guys still don't let me ever live that one down. Sorry I ever asked. Wow--I knew the reverberation in this forum was long...but dang it was THAT long since you said that? Lol (wait do you literally mean 25 years?) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Almost 25 years ago and you guys still don't let me ever live that one down. Sorry I ever asked.That was you?Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 11 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Maybe I’m not reading it right but the temp seems to spike between 600-700. And pretty big time too. So it just stays all snow despite that warm layer? Or what am I doing wrong? Zero line is dotted. All levels good. Rides the 0 line but it's 100% an all snow pounding in that frame 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Almost 25 years ago and you guys still don't let me ever live that one down. Sorry I ever asked. In one of HMs threads on Twitter last week Colin canceled winter im like what talk about holding onto character for 20 years...yeesh 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Wow--I knew the reverberation in this forum was long...but dang it was THAT long since you said that? Lol (wait do you literally mean 25 years?) Was in an MIRC chat with Ian, Randy may have been there, Marcus, Jerry from the NE forum and others...1998ish. I was at college class. Came home and popped on and asked. They never let me live it down. Then asked again tongue in cheek years later on eastern and that was all she wrote. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Epic lake effect around that time. That low was 976mb just offshore of Portland, Maine. Very underrated storm with high impact over a huge area of the country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Alright, this is the one at Day three that won't slip through our fingers. Just this one. 4 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 10 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Zero line is dotted. All levels good. Rides the 0 line but it's 100% an all snow pounding in that frame So I think I’m reading this wrong. Because I’m looking at the line as it curves and it bends way warmer than 0° before it falls to the ground. How are you supposed to actually read it? Edit: I don’t know why but when I dictate these replies it pays a duplicate.Currently smoking a cigarette in my attic window like a teenager. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 8 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Zero line is dotted. All levels good. Rides the 0 line but it's 100% an all snow pounding in that frame Yes, it is CLOSE at the 850's, but squeaks by! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, Wetbulbs88 said: So I think I’m reading this wrong. Because I’m looking at the line as it curves and it bends way warmer than 0° before it falls to the ground. How are you supposed to actually read it? Edit: I don’t know why but when I dictate these replies it pays a duplicate. The dotted line that goes diagonal from the 0c at the bottom is the 0c line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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